Long Trade on PENGU (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 33354.18 PENGU at 0.00671$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006882 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006474 (3.57 %)
10 Aug 2026 at 02:10:08
hyperliquid
PENGU
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
10 Aug 2026 02:10
→ 08:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.006714$
Qty 33354.1797 PENGU
Size 223.94$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.006882 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.6$
SL 0.006474 (-3.57%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.7
Status
win
PnL
+0.43%
/ +0.97$
MAE -1.12%
MFE +0.71%
0.2R
expires
10 Aug 08:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 64268)
#8 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 02:00
score du 10/08/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8185
Quality Score
0.7
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 02:02
10/08 02:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#8 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#8 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.66×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.08×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.27×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 10/08 02:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 09/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 10/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 10/08 01:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.575%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.313% | 0.1R | -0.938% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.566% | 0.2R | -0.938% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.566% | 0.2R | -1.117% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.715% | 0.2R | -1.117% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.715% | 0.2R | -1.624% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.715% | 0.2R | -2.666% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 2 hours ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.74
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.74 | bear_high | -2.42% | +0.51 | 09/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.66 | bull_medium | +1.11% | +0.66 | 10/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 49% | early | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.46 | range_low | +0.43% | +0.36 | 10/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.39 | range_low | +0.05% | +0.15 | 10/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 2.656×ATR | p6 | +0.936×ATR | p79 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 2.314×ATR | p16 | +1.528×ATR | p82 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.064×ATR | p18 | +0.868×ATR | p51 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 2.622×ATR | p43 | +1.475×ATR | p81 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.00647415
- tp_price: 0.00688185
- atr: 9.594E-5
- expires_at: 2026-08-10T12:10:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 7
- total: 49
- score: 0.7121
- delta_2h: 0.0119
- extension_atr: 1.74
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8185
- confidence: 0.875
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:10 | 0.00671400 | 0% |
| 2 | 04:10 | 0.00667800 | -0.536% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006714 | 0.006474 | 0.006882 | 0.7 | 0.00636 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.006714
- Stop Loss: 0.006474
- Take Profit: 0.006882
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.006474 - 0.006714 = -0.00024
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006714 - 0.006882 = -0.000168
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000168 / -0.00024 = 0.7
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 223.94 | 100 | 33354.1797 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00024
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00024 = -33333.33
Taille de position USD = -33333.33 x 0.006714 = -223.8
Donc, tu peux acheter -33333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.006474
Avec un position size USD de -223.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -33333.33 x -0.00024 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -33333.33 x -0.000168 = 5.6
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.6$
Résumé
- Taille de position -33333.33
- Taille de position USD -223.8
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.6
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.6 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.57 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.97 $ | 0.43 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1171 % | 31.25 % | 16 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006714 | 0.006474 | 0.006882 | 0.7 | 0.00636 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.006714
- Stop Loss: 0.006474
- Take Profit: 0.006882
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.006474 - 0.006714 = -0.00024
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006714 - 0.006882 = -0.000168
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000168 / -0.00024 = 0.7
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
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Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.575%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.313% | 0.1R | -0.938% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.566% | 0.2R | -0.938% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.566% | 0.2R | -1.117% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.715% | 0.2R | -1.117% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.715% | 0.2R | -1.624% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.715% | 0.2R | -2.666% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 2 hours ago