Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 182.3 KAITO at 0.669$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6527 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7133 (6.56 %)
10 Aug 2026 at 03:10:06
hyperliquid
KAITO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
10 Aug 2026 03:10
→ 09:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.6694$
Qty 182.3021 KAITO
Size 122.0403$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6527 (+2.49%)
TP $ 3.04$
SL 0.7133 (-6.56%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.38
Status
win
PnL
+1.80%
/ +2.2$
MAE -1.94%
MFE +2.36%
0.4R
expires
10 Aug 09:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 64320)
#47 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 03:00
score du 10/08/2026 03:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0421
Quality Score
0.4
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
18.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 03:02
10/08 03:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#47 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.56 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#47 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.56 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.91×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.26×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.22×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 10/08 03:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 09/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 10/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 10/08 02:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.558%
(0.0439)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.781% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.836% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +2.362% | 0.4R | -0.060% | 0.0R | 39.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.362% | 0.4R | -1.941% | 0.3R | 1.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.307% | 0.7R | -1.941% | 0.3R | 2.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.884% | 0.9R | -1.941% | 0.3R | 3.0× | 144 |
computed 59 minutes ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.03
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.38 | bear_high | -2.50% | -1.00 | 09/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.00 | bull_medium | +1.32% | -1.00 | 10/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near -0.9ATR | — | -0.11 | range_low | +0.65% | -0.35 | 10/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.05 | range_low | +0.27% | -0.29 | 10/08 02:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 5.641×ATR | p72 | -1.505×ATR | p70 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 51b | — | 14.235×ATR | p100 | -1.827×ATR | p77 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.009×ATR | p20 | -0.748×ATR | p40 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 5.048×ATR | p92 | -1.044×ATR | p69 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.7133232
- tp_price: 0.652704
- atr: 0.01755328
- expires_at: 2026-08-10T13:10:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 49
- total: 49
- score: 0.2017
- delta_2h: -0.0652
- extension_atr: -0.68
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0421
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:10 | 0.66944000 | +0.006% |
| 2 | 04:10 | 0.66273000 | -0.996% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6694 | 0.7133 | 0.6527 | 0.38 | 0.6498 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6694
- Stop Loss: 0.7133
- Take Profit: 0.6527
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7133 - 0.6694 = 0.0439
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6694 - 0.6527 = 0.0167
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0167 / 0.0439 = 0.3804
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 122.0403 | 100 | 182.3021 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0439
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0439 = 182.23
Taille de position USD = 182.23 x 0.6694 = 121.98
Donc, tu peux acheter 182.23 avec un stoploss a 0.7133
Avec un position size USD de 121.98$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 182.23 x 0.0439 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 182.23 x 0.0167 = 3.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.04$
Résumé
- Taille de position 182.23
- Taille de position USD 121.98
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.04
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3804
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 3.04 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.56 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.2 $ | 1.80 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.9405 % | 29.59 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6694 | 0.7133 | 0.6527 | 0.38 | 0.6498 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6694
- Stop Loss: 0.7133
- Take Profit: 0.6527
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7133 - 0.6694 = 0.0439
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6694 - 0.6527 = 0.0167
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0167 / 0.0439 = 0.3804
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
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Extra SL data
Array
(
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MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.558%
(0.0439)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.781% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.836% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +2.362% | 0.4R | -0.060% | 0.0R | 39.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.362% | 0.4R | -1.941% | 0.3R | 1.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.307% | 0.7R | -1.941% | 0.3R | 2.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.884% | 0.9R | -1.941% | 0.3R | 3.0× | 144 |
computed 59 minutes ago