10 Aug 2026 at 03:36:24 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ETH (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 0.69 ETH at 1929.8$ per unit. Take profit: 1958.813 (1.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1918.1948 (0.6 %)

ETH LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 10 Aug 2026 03:36 → 05:30 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 1929.8$

Qty 0.6893 ETH

Size 1330.3025$ (margin 100$) (leverage 13)

Risk Setup

TP 1958.813 (+1.5%)

TP $ 20$

SL 1918.1948 (-0.6%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -0.60% / -8$ MAE -0.66% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 10 Aug 15:36

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 64282)
#18 / 48 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 03:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6693

Quality Score
0.6
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
81 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
348.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 03:30

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#18 / 48 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.60 % TIGHT
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#18 / 48 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.60 % TIGHT
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.62×ATR
4h clear 0.73×ATR
1d clear 6.76×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

10/08 03:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

09/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

10/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

10/08 03:00

Score : +2 / ±6

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -0.601% (11.6052)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -0.301% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -0.658% 1.1R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -0.814% 1.4R 0.0× 48
8h +0.000% 0.0R -3.099% 5.2R 0.0× 96

computed 18 minutes ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression range_high
36%
noisy_chop 30% late 0.91 bear_high -2.50% +0.18 09/08 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 38% early 0.88 bull_medium +1.32% -0.02 10/08 00:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal range_low
32%
noisy_chop 39% early near -1.6ATR 0.85 range_low +0.67% -0.01 10/08 03:00
15m ↑ up range range weak compressed compression range_low
35%
noisy_chop 41% late 0.88 range_low +0.39% -0.00 10/08 03:30
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 45b 7.805×ATR p87 +0.771×ATR p45
4h ↓ down early 16b 0.948×ATR p0 +1.004×ATR p59
1h ↑ up early 3b 1.783×ATR p10 +0.529×ATR p43
15m ↑ up late 12b 3.951×ATR p62 +1.749×ATR p83

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.8099
  3. reason: up_bo width=1.72×ATR dur=42b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
  4. stop_price: 1918.19481984
  5. tp_price: 1958.8129504
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.73992998601683
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-10T19:36:17.002392
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.73992998601683
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.2483
  14. obi_top10 : 0.2483
  15. micro_price : 1927.79669634
  16. spread_pct : 0.000519
  17. mid_price : 1927.795
  18. bid_wall_price :
  19. bid_wall_size :
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price :
  22. ask_wall_size :
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.2449
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0021
  27. pressure_side : bid
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7134
  30. aggregation_tick : 10
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    1926.4
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    1911.7
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    1919.05
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1786197600
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1786345200
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    1.7189
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    42
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.7399
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1786341600
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    1926.4
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.9048
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.3976
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    1
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    1
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    11
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    8
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 8.55180159
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
42
inside_close_ratio
0.9048
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3976

Signaux confirmants (5)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 03:36 1929.80000000 0%
2 03:42 1929.80000000 0%
3 03:48 1927.20000000 -0.135%
4 03:54 1927.20000000 -0.135%
5 04:00 1927.20000000 -0.135%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7134ms Confidence avant OB : 74%81%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.248
avg 0.245 ± 0.002
OBI Top 10 0.248

Microstructure

Mid Price
1,927.7950
Micro Price
1,927.7967
Spread
0.0005%

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1929.8 1918.1948 1958.813 2.5 1875.8
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1929.8
  • Stop Loss: 1918.1948
  • Take Profit: 1958.813

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1918.1948 - 1929.8 = -11.6052

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1929.8 - 1958.813 = -29.013

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -29.013 / -11.6052 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1330.3025 100 0.6893 13.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -11.6052

Taille de position = 8 / -11.6052 = -0.69

Taille de position USD = -0.69 x 1929.8 = -1331.56

Donc, tu peux acheter -0.69 avec un stoploss a 1918.1948

Avec un position size USD de -1331.56$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -0.69 x -11.6052 = 8.01

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -0.69 x -29.013 = 20.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.02$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -0.69
  • Taille de position USD -1331.56
  • Perte potentielle 8.01
  • Gain potentiel 20.02
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.5 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.6 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.60
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6166 % 102.53 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1929.8 1918.1948 1958.813 2.5 1875.8
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1929.8
  • Stop Loss: 1918.1948
  • Take Profit: 1958.813

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1918.1948 - 1929.8 = -11.6052

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1929.8 - 1958.813 = -29.013

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -29.013 / -11.6052 = 2.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1958.813
            [entry_price] => 1929.8
            [stop_loss] => 1917.03428
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-10 09:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1958.813
            [entry_price] => 1929.8
            [stop_loss] => 1915.87376
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-10 09:45:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1958.813
            [entry_price] => 1929.8
            [stop_loss] => 1914.71324
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-10 11:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1958.813
            [entry_price] => 1929.8
            [stop_loss] => 1912.3922
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-10 12:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -0.601% (11.6052)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -0.301% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -0.658% 1.1R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -0.814% 1.4R 0.0× 48
8h +0.000% 0.0R -3.099% 5.2R 0.0× 96

computed 18 minutes ago