Long Trade on ARB (CatchTheWave)
With 30169.33 ARB at 0.0794$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07993 (0.67 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07913 (0.34 %)
Long Trade on ARB (CatchTheWave)
With 30169.33 ARB at 0.0794$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07993 (0.67 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07913 (0.34 %)
Position
Entry 0.0794$
Qty 30169.3253 ARB
Size 2395.4444$ (margin 100$) (leverage 24)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07993 (+0.67%)
TP $ 15.99$
SL 0.07913 (-0.34%)
SL $ 8.15$
RR 1.96
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6473
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.17×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.55×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 17.73×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 10/08 06:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.520742 15m : 0.542784 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 09/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 10/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 10/08 05:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.290% | 0.9R | -0.453% | 1.3R | 0.6× | 12 |
computed 55 minutes ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.72 | bear_high | -2.50% | -0.70 | 09/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.62 | bull_medium | +1.31% | +0.11 | 10/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.44 | range_low | +0.33% | +0.30 | 10/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_medium |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.07% | +0.16 | 10/08 05:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 29b | — | 5.988×ATR | p85 | -0.42×ATR | p19 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.027×ATR | p0 | +0.894×ATR | p55 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 3.175×ATR | p43 | +0.842×ATR | p49 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 1.571×ATR | p12 | +0.569×ATR | p22 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65132.5
-0.00175903
65018
0.520742
65051
-0.000507997
65018
0.542784
64920.4
0.00148734
65017
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 12:00:00
[1] => 0.07881
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 15:00:00
[1] => 0.07728
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 22:00:00
[1] => 0.0793
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 02:00:00
[1] => 0.07809
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 14:00:00
[1] => 0.08
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 23:00:00
[1] => 0.07788
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 08:00:00
[1] => 0.077
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 22:00:00
[1] => 0.08065
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 00:00:00
[1] => 0.07748
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 07:00:00
[1] => 0.08049
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0187600944217
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.8265358802272
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.884873515746
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 09:15:00
[1] => 0.07713
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 17:00:00
[1] => 0.07877
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 18:15:00
[1] => 0.07835
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 19:15:00
[1] => 0.07835
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 22:00:00
[1] => 0.08065
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 00:30:00
[1] => 0.07748
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 03:00:00
[1] => 0.07905
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 04:00:00
[1] => 0.07835
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 07:00:00
[1] => 0.08049
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 10:00:00
[1] => 0.07938
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.3542054913654
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.025195263290492
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3983371126228
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 04:55:00
[1] => 0.07838
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 06:00:00
[1] => 0.07997
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 06:35:00
[1] => 0.07988
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 06:50:00
[1] => 0.07945
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 07:10:00
[1] => 0.08049
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 08:10:00
[1] => 0.08047
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 08:45:00
[1] => 0.0796
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 09:05:00
[1] => 0.0802
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 09:30:00
[1] => 0.07955
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 10:10:00
[1] => 0.07938
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.99750623441396
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.025195263290492
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.21415973796925
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
0.07748
189
0.6728
0.7547
0.3888
0.2661
0.4892
0.8685
0.355
0.5376
0.5827
0.844
0.7246
0.6012
0.1313
0.063
1
0.7906
1.1904
0.4
0.6
1
12
1
0.4679
0.7271
6.6647
0.65
0.8685
4.9612
1.1904
0.4716
0.2487
0.74
0.838
0.6838
0.5855
0.4916
0.6012
-2.6864
4.0502
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:12 | 0.07940000 | 0% |
| 2 | 06:19 | 0.07942000 | +0.025% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 04:55:00 | 0.07838 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 06:00:00 | 0.07997 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 06:35:00 | 0.07988 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 06:50:00 | 0.07945 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 07:10:00 | 0.08049 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 08:10:00 | 0.08047 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 08:45:00 | 0.0796 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 09:05:00 | 0.0802 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 09:30:00 | 0.07955 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 10:10:00 | 0.07938 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 09:15:00 | 0.07713 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:00:00 | 0.07877 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 18:15:00 | 0.07835 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 19:15:00 | 0.07835 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 22:00:00 | 0.08065 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 00:30:00 | 0.07748 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 03:00:00 | 0.07905 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 04:00:00 | 0.07835 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 07:00:00 | 0.08049 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 10:00:00 | 0.07938 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 0.07881 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 15:00:00 | 0.07728 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 22:00:00 | 0.0793 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 02:00:00 | 0.07809 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 14:00:00 | 0.08 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 23:00:00 | 0.07788 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:00:00 | 0.077 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 22:00:00 | 0.08065 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 0.07748 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 07:00:00 | 0.08049 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0794 | 0.07913 | 0.07993 | 1.96 | 0.08019 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07913 - 0.0794 = -0.00026999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0794 - 0.07993 = -0.00053
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00053 / -0.00026999999999999 = 1.963
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2395.4444 | 100 | 30169.3253 | 24.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00026999999999999 = -29629.63
Taille de position USD = -29629.63 x 0.0794 = -2352.59
Donc, tu peux acheter -29629.63 avec un stoploss a 0.07913
Avec un position size USD de -2352.59$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -29629.63 x -0.00026999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -29629.63 x -0.00053 = 15.7
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.7$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.67 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.34 % | 8.15 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.15 $ | -0.34 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4534 % | 133.31 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0794 | 0.07913 | 0.07993 | 1.96 | 0.08019 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07913 - 0.0794 = -0.00026999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0794 - 0.07993 = -0.00053
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00053 / -0.00026999999999999 = 1.963
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.07993
[entry_price] => 0.0794
[stop_loss] => 0.079103
[rr_ratio] => 1.78
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-10 11:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.07993
[entry_price] => 0.0794
[stop_loss] => 0.079076
[rr_ratio] => 1.64
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-10 11:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.07993
[entry_price] => 0.0794
[stop_loss] => 0.079049
[rr_ratio] => 1.51
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-10 11:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.07993
[entry_price] => 0.0794
[stop_loss] => 0.078995
[rr_ratio] => 1.31
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-10 11:45:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.290% | 0.9R | -0.453% | 1.3R | 0.6× | 12 |
computed 55 minutes ago