Long Trade on MORPHO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 227.13 MORPHO at 1.959$ per unit. Take profit: 2.0475 (4.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.9242 (1.8 %)
10 Aug 2026 at 06:45:56
hyperliquid
MORPHO
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
10 Aug 2026 06:45
(open)
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 1.9594$
Qty 227.1268 MORPHO
Size 445.0323$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 2.0475 (+4.5%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 1.9242 (-1.8%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
open
PnL
-0.72%
expires
10 Aug 18:45
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 64461)
#6 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 06:00
score du 10/08/2026 06:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6560
Quality Score
0.7
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 06:31
10/08 06:31
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#6 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.93×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.46×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.39×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 10/08 06:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 09/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 10/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 10/08 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
📌 Performance
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 0
ML Pullback Score:
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 30% | early | — | — | 0.58 | bear_high | -2.50% | -0.38 | 09/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.26 | bull_medium | +1.07% | +0.23 | 10/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.31 | range_low | +0.32% | +0.25 | 10/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_medium_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near -1.5ATR | — | range_low | -0.10% | +0.12 | 10/08 06:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 16b | — | 2.251×ATR | p0 | +0.073×ATR | p5 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 4.528×ATR | p76 | +1.648×ATR | p89 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 1.842×ATR | p17 | +1.3×ATR | p69 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 2.277×ATR | p29 | +1.521×ATR | p74 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8996
- reason: up_bo width=2.06×ATR dur=41b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
- stop_price: 1.92417739
- tp_price: 2.04745651
- atr:
- score: 0.82957941909905
- expires_at: 2026-08-10T22:45:48.703671
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.82957941909905
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2215
- obi_top10 : 0.1655
- micro_price : 1.95265
- spread_pct : 0.076848
- mid_price : 1.95265
- bid_wall_price : 1.92
- bid_wall_size : 38050
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 1.96
- ask_wall_size : 23380.8
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1565
- obi_top5_std : 0.102
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7133
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.9431
- balance_zone_bottom:
1.9086
- balance_zone_mid:
1.92585
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786212000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786356000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.0626
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
41
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8296
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786348800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1.9431
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8293
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.9745
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
11
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.01672606 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
41
inside_close_ratio
0.8293
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
0.9745
Signaux confirmants (23)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:45 | 1.95940000 | 0% |
| 2 | 06:51 | 1.95990000 | +0.026% |
| 3 | 06:57 | 1.95990000 | +0.026% |
| 4 | 07:05 | 1.95990000 | +0.026% |
| 5 | 07:10 | 1.95820000 | -0.061% |
| 6 | 07:16 | 1.95820000 | -0.061% |
| 7 | 07:21 | 1.96170000 | +0.117% |
| 8 | 07:27 | 1.96170000 | +0.117% |
| 9 | 07:34 | 1.96170000 | +0.117% |
| 10 | 07:39 | 1.95880000 | -0.031% |
| 11 | 07:46 | 1.95880000 | -0.031% |
| 12 | 07:51 | 1.95670000 | -0.138% |
| 13 | 07:57 | 1.95670000 | -0.138% |
| 14 | 08:05 | 1.95670000 | -0.138% |
| 15 | 08:10 | 1.95730000 | -0.107% |
| 16 | 08:16 | 1.95730000 | -0.107% |
| 17 | 08:21 | 1.95390000 | -0.281% |
| 18 | 08:27 | 1.95390000 | -0.281% |
| 19 | 08:34 | 1.95390000 | -0.281% |
| 20 | 08:39 | 1.94960000 | -0.5% |
| 21 | 08:45 | 1.94960000 | -0.5% |
| 22 | 08:51 | 1.94690000 | -0.638% |
| 23 | 08:57 | 1.94690000 | -0.638% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7133ms
Confidence avant OB :
83%
→
90%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.222
avg 0.157
± 0.102
OBI Top 10
0.166
Microstructure
Mid Price
1.9527
Micro Price
1.9527
Spread
0.0768%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
1.9200
Size
38,050.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
1.9600
Size
23,380.80
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.9594 | 1.9242 | 2.0475 | 2.5 | 1.9453 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.9594
- Stop Loss: 1.9242
- Take Profit: 2.0475
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.9242 - 1.9594 = -0.0352
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.9594 - 2.0475 = -0.0881
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0881 / -0.0352 = 2.5028
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 445.0323 | 100 | 227.1268 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0352
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0352 = -227.27
Taille de position USD = -227.27 x 1.9594 = -445.31
Donc, tu peux acheter -227.27 avec un stoploss a 1.9242
Avec un position size USD de -445.31$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -227.27 x -0.0352 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -227.27 x -0.0881 = 20.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.02$
Résumé
- Taille de position -227.27
- Taille de position USD -445.31
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.02
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5028
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.5 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.8 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0 $ | -0.72 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.9594 | 1.9242 | 2.0475 | 2.5 | 1.9453 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.9594
- Stop Loss: 1.9242
- Take Profit: 2.0475
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.9242 - 1.9594 = -0.0352
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.9594 - 2.0475 = -0.0881
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0881 / -0.0352 = 2.5028
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
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Extra SL data
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