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Long Trade on NIL

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10 Aug 2026 at 08:10:08 hyperliquid

Long Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1416.7 NIL at 0.0456$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04676 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03997 (12.38 %)

NIL LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 10 Aug 2026 08:10 → 09:15 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.04562$

Qty 1416.699 NIL

Size 64.6241$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.04676 (+2.5%)

TP $ 1.62$

SL 0.03997 (-12.38%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.2

Status win PnL +2.50% / +1.61$ MAE -15.46% MFE +8.99% 0.7R expires 10 Aug 14:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 64559)
#2 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8420

Quality Score
0.8
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 08:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#2 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
12.38 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
12.38 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.85×ATR
4h near -0.03×ATR
1d near -0.95×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

10/08 08:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

09/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

10/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

10/08 07:00

Score : +6 / ±6

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -12.385% (0.0057)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.216% 0.2R -2.812% 0.2R 0.8× 12
2h +8.985% 0.7R -6.642% 0.5R 1.4× 24
4h +8.985% 0.7R -11.955% 1.0R 0.8× 48
6h ★ +8.985% 0.7R -15.463% 1.3R 0.6× 72
8h +8.985% 0.7R -17.519% 1.4R 0.5× 96

computed 36 minutes ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.58
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 43% mid — near -0.9ATR 0.34 bear_high -2.50% +0.94 09/08 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 49% late — near 0.0ATR 0.37 bull_medium +1.04% +0.99 10/08 04:00
1h ↑ up transition bearish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 41% early — — 0.03 range_low +0.35% +0.89 10/08 07:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_high
71%
noisy_chop 46% early — near -0.2ATR 0.00 range_low +0.00% +0.72 10/08 07:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 9b — 3.518×ATR p33 +1.574×ATR p72
4h ↑ up late 8b — 3.576×ATR p54 +2.027×ATR p90
1h ↓ down early 1b — 1.312×ATR p6 +0.741×ATR p33
15m ↓ down early 7b — 1.743×ATR p6 +0.316×ATR p14

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.03996907
  2. tp_price: 0.0467564
  3. atr: 0.00225877
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-10T18:10:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 1
  2. total: 49
  3. score: 0.9542
  4. delta_2h: 0.0438
  5. extension_atr: 1.2
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.842
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04562 0.03997 0.04676 0.2 0.03958
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04562
  • Stop Loss: 0.03997
  • Take Profit: 0.04676

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.03997 - 0.04562 = -0.00565

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04562 - 0.04676 = -0.00114

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00114 / -0.00565 = 0.2018

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
64.6241 64.6241 1416.699 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00565

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00565 = -1415.93

Taille de position USD = -1415.93 x 0.04562 = -64.59

Donc, tu peux acheter -1415.93 avec un stoploss a 0.03997

Avec un position size USD de -64.59$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1415.93 x -0.00565 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1415.93 x -0.00114 = 1.61

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.61$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1415.93
  • Taille de position USD -64.59
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 1.61
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2018

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 1.62 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
12.38 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
1.61 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.8124 % 22.71 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04562 0.03997 0.04676 0.2 0.03958
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04562
  • Stop Loss: 0.03997
  • Take Profit: 0.04676

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.03997 - 0.04562 = -0.00565

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04562 - 0.04676 = -0.00114

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00114 / -0.00565 = 0.2018

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.05692
            [stop_loss] => 0.03997
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-10 17:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.059745
            [stop_loss] => 0.03997
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-10 17:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.06257
            [stop_loss] => 0.03997
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-10 17:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.065395
            [stop_loss] => 0.03997
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-10 17:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.06822
            [stop_loss] => 0.03997
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-10 17:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.071045
            [stop_loss] => 0.03997
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-10 17:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.07387
            [stop_loss] => 0.03997
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-10 17:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.076695
            [stop_loss] => 0.03997
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-10 17:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.07952
            [stop_loss] => 0.03997
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-10 17:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.082345
            [stop_loss] => 0.03997
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-10 17:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.08517
            [stop_loss] => 0.03997
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-10 17:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -12.385% (0.0057)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.216% 0.2R -2.812% 0.2R 0.8× 12
2h +8.985% 0.7R -6.642% 0.5R 1.4× 24
4h +8.985% 0.7R -11.955% 1.0R 0.8× 48
6h ★ +8.985% 0.7R -15.463% 1.3R 0.6× 72
8h +8.985% 0.7R -17.519% 1.4R 0.5× 96

computed 36 minutes ago