10 Aug 2026 at 08:10:08 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PENGU (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 35935.68 PENGU at 0.00673$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006902 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006511 (3.31 %)

PENGU LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 10 Aug 2026 08:10 → 14:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.006734$

Qty 35935.6751 PENGU

Size 241.9908$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.006902 (+2.49%)

TP $ 6.04$

SL 0.006511 (-3.31%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.75

Status loss PnL -1.41% / -3.41$ MAE -2.96% MFE +0.13% 0.0R expires 10 Aug 14:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 64554)
#8 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8167

Quality Score
0.7
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
93 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 08:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#8 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.31 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#8 / 47 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.31 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.32×ATR
4h near 0.31×ATR
1d near -0.58×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

10/08 08:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

09/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

10/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

10/08 07:00

Score : 0 / ±6

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.312% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.134% 0.0R -1.144% 0.4R 0.1× 12
2h +0.134% 0.0R -1.916% 0.6R 0.1× 24
4h +0.134% 0.0R -2.955% 0.9R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +0.134% 0.0R -2.955% 0.9R 0.1× 72
8h +0.134% 0.0R -2.955% 0.9R 0.1× 96
12h +0.134% 0.0R -3.846% 1.2R 0.0× 144

computed 1 minute ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.09
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading normal bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 38% mid near -0.6ATR 0.74 bear_high -2.50% +0.63 09/08 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
65%
noisy_chop 40% late near 0.3ATR 0.66 bull_medium +1.04% +0.75 10/08 04:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate fading volatile_reversal bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 39% late near 0.3ATR 0.45 range_low +0.35% +0.49 10/08 07:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_medium
59%
noisy_chop 41% late 0.43 range_low -0.03% +0.09 10/08 07:45
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 12b 2.883×ATR p12 +1.419×ATR p69
4h ↓ down late 4b 1.473×ATR p0 +1.861×ATR p91
1h ↑ up late 11b 3.473×ATR p68 +1.573×ATR p81
15m ↑ up late 7b 2.882×ATR p55 +1.688×ATR p82

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00651138
  2. tp_price: 0.00690235
  3. atr: 8.905E-5
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-10T18:10:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 7
  2. total: 49
  3. score: 0.7192
  4. delta_2h: 0.1122
  5. extension_atr: 1.3
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8167
  9. confidence: 0.925

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.006734 0.006511 0.006902 0.75 0.006452
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.006734
  • Stop Loss: 0.006511
  • Take Profit: 0.006902

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.006511 - 0.006734 = -0.000223

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.006734 - 0.006902 = -0.000168

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000168 / -0.000223 = 0.7534

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
241.9908 100 35935.6751 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000223

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000223 = -35874.44

Taille de position USD = -35874.44 x 0.006734 = -241.58

Donc, tu peux acheter -35874.44 avec un stoploss a 0.006511

Avec un position size USD de -241.58$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -35874.44 x -0.000223 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -35874.44 x -0.000168 = 6.03

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.03$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -35874.44
  • Taille de position USD -241.58
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 6.03
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7534

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 6.04 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.31 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-3.41 $ -1.41
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.9552 % 89.24 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.006734 0.006511 0.006902 0.75 0.006452
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.006734
  • Stop Loss: 0.006511
  • Take Profit: 0.006902

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.006511 - 0.006734 = -0.000223

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.006734 - 0.006902 = -0.000168

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000168 / -0.000223 = 0.7534

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.312% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.134% 0.0R -1.144% 0.4R 0.1× 12
2h +0.134% 0.0R -1.916% 0.6R 0.1× 24
4h +0.134% 0.0R -2.955% 0.9R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +0.134% 0.0R -2.955% 0.9R 0.1× 72
8h +0.134% 0.0R -2.955% 0.9R 0.1× 96
12h +0.134% 0.0R -3.846% 1.2R 0.0× 144

computed 1 minute ago