Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 252525.25 PENGU at 0.00666$ per unit. Take profit: 0.00672 (0.95 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006625 (0.48 %)
Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 252525.25 PENGU at 0.00666$ per unit. Take profit: 0.00672 (0.95 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006625 (0.48 %)
Position
Entry 0.006657$
Qty 252525.2525 PENGU
Size 1681.0606$ (margin 100$) (leverage 17)
Risk Setup
TP 0.00672 (+0.95%)
TP $ 15.91$
SL 0.006625 (-0.48%)
SL $ 8.08$
RR 1.97
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8167
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.54×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.19×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.77×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 10/08 08:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.361478 15m : 0.477365 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 09/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 10/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 10/08 08:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.961% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.961% | 2.0R | -0.781% | 1.6R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.961% | 2.0R | -1.833% | 3.8R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.976% | 2.0R | -1.833% | 3.8R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.976% | 2.0R | -2.734% | 5.7R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 55 minutes ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.74 | bear_high | -2.50% | +0.69 | 09/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | expansion | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.66 | bull_medium | +1.25% | +0.75 | 10/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.45 | range_low | +0.40% | -0.05 | 10/08 08:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.06% | +0.03 | 10/08 08:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 3.063×ATR | p18 | +1.599×ATR | p77 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 2.114×ATR | p0 | +2.176×ATR | p97 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 3.444×ATR | p66 | +1.408×ATR | p73 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 2.063×ATR | p24 | +0.675×ATR | p38 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65079.6
-0.00248418
64918
0.361478
65061.5
-0.00160759
64957
0.477365
64907.2
0.00147584
65003
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0.2555
0.62
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0.5515
0.471
0.8615
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7.7172
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 06:25:00 | 0.006651 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 07:15:00 | 0.006752 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 08:05:00 | 0.006663 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 08:40:00 | 0.006654 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 09:00:00 | 0.00674 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 10:05:00 | 0.006639 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 10:45:00 | 0.006713 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 11:05:00 | 0.006655 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 12:00:00 | 0.006762 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 12:35:00 | 0.006657 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 19:00:00 | 0.006567 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 21:30:00 | 0.006709 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 0.006433 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 01:45:00 | 0.006639 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 02:15:00 | 0.006527 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 04:45:00 | 0.006508 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 07:15:00 | 0.006752 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 10:00:00 | 0.006639 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 12:00:00 | 0.006762 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 12:30:00 | 0.00667 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 0.006206 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 21:00:00 | 0.005919 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:00:00 | 0.006097 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 0.005948 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 0.006312 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:00:00 | 0.006417 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 0.006239 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:00:00 | 0.006907 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 0.006433 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 12:00:00 | 0.006762 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006657 | 0.006625 | 0.00672 | 1.97 | 0.006361 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.006625 - 0.006657 = -3.2E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006657 - 0.00672 = -6.3000000000001E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -6.3000000000001E-5 / -3.2E-5 = 1.9688
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1681.0606 | 100 | 252525.2525 | 17.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -3.2E-5 = -250000
Taille de position USD = -250000 x 0.006657 = -1664.25
Donc, tu peux acheter -250000 avec un stoploss a 0.006625
Avec un position size USD de -1664.25$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -250000 x -3.2E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -250000 x -6.3000000000001E-5 = 15.75
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.75$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.95 % | 15.91 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.48 % | 8.08 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.91 $ | 0.95 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006657 | 0.006625 | 0.00672 | 1.97 | 0.006361 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.006625 - 0.006657 = -3.2E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006657 - 0.00672 = -6.3000000000001E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -6.3000000000001E-5 / -3.2E-5 = 1.9688
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.961% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.961% | 2.0R | -0.781% | 1.6R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.961% | 2.0R | -1.833% | 3.8R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.976% | 2.0R | -1.833% | 3.8R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.976% | 2.0R | -2.734% | 5.7R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 55 minutes ago