Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 215401.18 PENGU at 0.00663$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006701 (1.12 %) & Stop Loss: 0.00659 (0.56 %)
Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 215401.18 PENGU at 0.00663$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006701 (1.12 %) & Stop Loss: 0.00659 (0.56 %)
Position
Entry 0.006627$
Qty 215401.1847 PENGU
Size 1427.4637$ (margin 100$) (leverage 14)
Risk Setup
TP 0.006701 (+1.12%)
TP $ 15.94$
SL 0.00659 (-0.56%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8106
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.47×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.18×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.77×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 10/08 09:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.376693 15m : 0.492018 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 09/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 10/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 10/08 09:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.056% | 1.9R | -0.332% | 0.6R | 3.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.056% | 1.9R | -1.388% | 2.5R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.056% | 1.9R | -1.388% | 2.5R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.434% | 2.6R | -1.494% | 2.7R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.434% | 2.6R | -2.595% | 4.7R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 5 hours ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.74 | bear_high | -2.50% | +0.69 | 09/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.66 | bull_medium | +0.80% | +0.74 | 10/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.45 | range_low | -0.31% | +0.00 | 10/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.45 | range_low | -0.65% | +0.00 | 10/08 09:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 3.063×ATR | p18 | +1.599×ATR | p77 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 1.683×ATR | p0 | +1.798×ATR | p89 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.191×ATR | p0 | +0.376×ATR | p18 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.597×ATR | p44 | -0.764×ATR | p49 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65000.8
-0.00719807
64533
0.376693
65044
-0.00773407
64541
0.492018
64889.6
-0.00427856
64612
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0.242
0.68
-0.1303
0.517
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0.8888
0.7379
-2.6428
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Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 08:05:00 | 0.006663 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 08:40:00 | 0.006654 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 09:00:00 | 0.00674 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 10:05:00 | 0.006639 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 10:45:00 | 0.006713 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 11:05:00 | 0.006655 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 12:00:00 | 0.006762 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 12:35:00 | 0.006657 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 13:20:00 | 0.006715 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 13:40:00 | 0.006605 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 19:00:00 | 0.006567 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 21:30:00 | 0.006709 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 0.006433 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 01:45:00 | 0.006639 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 02:15:00 | 0.006527 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 04:45:00 | 0.006508 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 07:15:00 | 0.006752 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 10:00:00 | 0.006639 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 12:00:00 | 0.006762 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 13:30:00 | 0.006605 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 21:00:00 | 0.005919 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:00:00 | 0.006097 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 0.005948 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 0.006312 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:00:00 | 0.006417 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 0.006239 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:00:00 | 0.006907 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 0.006433 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 12:00:00 | 0.006762 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 13:00:00 | 0.006605 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006627 | 0.00659 | 0.006701 | 2 | 0.006353 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.00659 - 0.006627 = -3.7E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006627 - 0.006701 = -7.4E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.4E-5 / -3.7E-5 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1427.4637 | 100 | 215401.1847 | 14.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -3.7E-5 = -216216.22
Taille de position USD = -216216.22 x 0.006627 = -1432.86
Donc, tu peux acheter -216216.22 avec un stoploss a 0.00659
Avec un position size USD de -1432.86$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -216216.22 x -3.7E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -216216.22 x -7.4E-5 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.12 % | 15.94 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.56 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.97 $ | -0.56 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6187 % | 110.82 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006627 | 0.00659 | 0.006701 | 2 | 0.006353 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.00659 - 0.006627 = -3.7E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006627 - 0.006701 = -7.4E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.4E-5 / -3.7E-5 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.056% | 1.9R | -0.332% | 0.6R | 3.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.056% | 1.9R | -1.388% | 2.5R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.056% | 1.9R | -1.388% | 2.5R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.434% | 2.6R | -1.494% | 2.7R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.434% | 2.6R | -2.595% | 4.7R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 5 hours ago