10 Aug 2026 at 10:14:03 hyperliquid

Long Trade on DOT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 816.28 DOT at 0.818$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8425 (3 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8082 (1.2 %)

DOT LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 10 Aug 2026 10:14 → 11:10 · 55 minutes

Position

Entry 0.818$

Qty 816.2824 DOT

Size 667.7516$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)

Risk Setup

TP 0.8425 (+3%)

TP $ 20$

SL 0.8082 (-1.2%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -1.20% / -8$ MAE -2.34% MFE +0.17% 0.1R expires 10 Aug 22:13

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 64635)
#3 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 10:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5891

Quality Score
0.7
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
82 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 10:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#3 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.20 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#3 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.20 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.91×ATR
4h near -0.60×ATR
1d clear 4.17×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

10/08 10:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

09/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

10/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_medium_confirmed (+1)

10/08 09:00

Score : -2 / ±6

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.198% (0.0098)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.169% 0.1R -1.292% 1.1R 0.1× 12
2h +0.169% 0.1R -1.995% 1.7R 0.1× 24
4h +0.169% 0.1R -2.341% 2.0R 0.1× 48
8h +0.169% 0.1R -2.341% 2.0R 0.1× 96
12h ★ +0.169% 0.1R -2.341% 2.0R 0.1× 144
24h +0.169% 0.1R -3.144% 2.6R 0.1× 288

computed 13 minutes ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.15
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 42% early 0.66 bear_high -2.50% -0.20 09/08 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range bearish_transition moderate grind normal range_high
35%
noisy_chop 38% early near -0.6ATR 0.68 bull_medium +0.80% -0.07 10/08 08:00
1h ↔ neutral range range strong balanced volatile_reversal bull_medium_confirmed
53%
noisy_chop 47% late near -0.9ATR 0.45 range_low -0.31% +0.26 10/08 09:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive expansion_after_compression bull_low_confirmed
54%
noisy_chop 49% late near 0.1ATR range_low -0.65% +0.25 10/08 09:30
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 10b 2.233×ATR p0 -0.096×ATR p4
4h ↑ up early 4b 2.081×ATR p3 +0.462×ATR p21
1h ↑ up late 5b 3.524×ATR p79 +2.07×ATR p89
15m ↓ down late 1b 0.475×ATR p3 +3.352×ATR p100

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.8209
  3. reason: up_bo width=1.73×ATR dur=36b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.80823947
  5. tp_price: 0.84254133
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.8209106305485
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-11T02:13:56.115763
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.8209106305485
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.0623
  14. obi_top10 : 0.1945
  15. micro_price : 0.81737743
  16. spread_pct : 0.122399
  17. mid_price : 0.8175
  18. bid_wall_price :
  19. bid_wall_size :
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.821
  22. ask_wall_size : 489443
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.0482
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0079
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6996
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.81322
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.80429
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.808755
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1786244400
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1786370400
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    1.7322
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    36
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.8209
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1786366800
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.81322
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.75
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.935
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    9
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    5
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00515532
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
36
inside_close_ratio
0.75
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.935

Signaux confirmants (9)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 10:14 0.81804000 +0.005%
2 10:20 0.81868000 +0.083%
3 10:25 0.81868000 +0.083%
4 10:32 0.81868000 +0.083%
5 10:38 0.81665000 -0.165%
6 10:43 0.81665000 -0.165%
7 10:49 0.81589000 -0.258%
8 10:55 0.81589000 -0.258%
9 11:03 0.81589000 -0.258%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6996ms Confidence avant OB : 82%82%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.062
avg 0.048 ± 0.008
OBI Top 10 0.195

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.8175
Micro Price
0.8174
Spread
0.1224%

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.8210
Size
489,443.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.818 0.8082 0.8425 2.5 0.7931
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.818
  • Stop Loss: 0.8082
  • Take Profit: 0.8425

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.8082 - 0.818 = -0.0097999999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.818 - 0.8425 = -0.0245

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0245 / -0.0097999999999999 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
667.7516 100 816.2824 7.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0097999999999999

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0097999999999999 = -816.33

Taille de position USD = -816.33 x 0.818 = -667.76

Donc, tu peux acheter -816.33 avec un stoploss a 0.8082

Avec un position size USD de -667.76$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -816.33 x -0.0097999999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -816.33 x -0.0245 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -816.33
  • Taille de position USD -667.76
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.2 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.20
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.2922 % 107.86 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.818 0.8082 0.8425 2.5 0.7931
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.818
  • Stop Loss: 0.8082
  • Take Profit: 0.8425

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.8082 - 0.818 = -0.0097999999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.818 - 0.8425 = -0.0245

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0245 / -0.0097999999999999 = 2.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.8425
            [entry_price] => 0.818
            [stop_loss] => 0.80722
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-10 15:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.8425
            [entry_price] => 0.818
            [stop_loss] => 0.80624
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-10 15:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.8425
            [entry_price] => 0.818
            [stop_loss] => 0.80526
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-10 15:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.8425
            [entry_price] => 0.818
            [stop_loss] => 0.8033
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-10 15:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.198% (0.0098)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.169% 0.1R -1.292% 1.1R 0.1× 12
2h +0.169% 0.1R -1.995% 1.7R 0.1× 24
4h +0.169% 0.1R -2.341% 2.0R 0.1× 48
8h +0.169% 0.1R -2.341% 2.0R 0.1× 96
12h ★ +0.169% 0.1R -2.341% 2.0R 0.1× 144
24h +0.169% 0.1R -3.144% 2.6R 0.1× 288

computed 13 minutes ago