Short Trade on ZEC (BosPullback)
With 0.89 ZEC at 499.76$ per unit. Take profit: 477.2106 (4.51 %) & Stop Loss: 508.7798 (1.8 %)
Short Trade on ZEC (BosPullback)
With 0.89 ZEC at 499.76$ per unit. Take profit: 477.2106 (4.51 %) & Stop Loss: 508.7798 (1.8 %)
Position
Entry 499.76$
Qty 0.8869 ZEC
Size 443.2579$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 477.2106 (+4.51%)
TP $ 20$
SL 508.7798 (-1.8%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2742
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.75×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.25×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.91×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 10/08 11:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 09/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 10/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 10/08 11:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.276% | 0.2R | -0.874% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.235% | 0.7R | -0.874% | 0.5R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.235% | 0.7R | -0.874% | 0.5R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.235% | 0.7R | -0.874% | 0.5R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.021% | 1.1R | -0.874% | 0.5R | 2.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.729% | 3.2R | -0.874% | 0.5R | 6.6× | 288 |
computed 2 days ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.48 | bear_high | -2.50% | -0.28 | 09/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near -1.2ATR | — | 0.65 | range_medium | +0.49% | -0.05 | 10/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.57 | range_low | -0.41% | -0.17 | 10/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.47 | bear_low_confirmed | -0.90% | -0.04 | 10/08 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 12b | — | 2.09×ATR | p0 | +0.409×ATR | p20 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.846×ATR | p32 | -0.685×ATR | p39 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 1.31×ATR | p0 | -1.388×ATR | p74 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 3.224×ATR | p57 | -1.378×ATR | p70 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
508.29
148
0.2589
0.5099
0.4037
0.29
0.4967
0.6337
0.3727
0.3667
0.3078
0.94
0.6715
0.3321
-0.1042
-0.049
0
-1.273
-1.609
0.45
0.55
-1
3
1
0.42
0.4439
2.9418
0.55
0.6337
1.8642
-1.609
0.4402
0.2234
0.9
0.3659
0.6226
0.5146
0.9165
0.3321
-5.2488
2.6096
1
0
1
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499.31
508.29
508.29
499.31
507.61
498.21
502.91
0.745
513.72
505.46
509.59
0.736
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 499.76 | 508.7798 | 477.2106 | 2.5 | 486.51 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 508.7798 - 499.76 = 9.0198
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 499.76 - 477.2106 = 22.5494
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 22.5494 / 9.0198 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 443.2579 | 100 | 0.8869 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 9.0198 = 0.89
Taille de position USD = 0.89 x 499.76 = 444.79
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.89 avec un stoploss a 508.7798
Avec un position size USD de 444.79$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.89 x 9.0198 = 8.03
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.03$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.89 x 22.5494 = 20.07
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.07$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.51 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.8 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20 $ | 4.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8744 % | 48.45 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 499.76 | 508.7798 | 477.2106 | 2.5 | 486.51 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 508.7798 - 499.76 = 9.0198
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 499.76 - 477.2106 = 22.5494
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 22.5494 / 9.0198 = 2.5
Array
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Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.276% | 0.2R | -0.874% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.235% | 0.7R | -0.874% | 0.5R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.235% | 0.7R | -0.874% | 0.5R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.235% | 0.7R | -0.874% | 0.5R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.021% | 1.1R | -0.874% | 0.5R | 2.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.729% | 3.2R | -0.874% | 0.5R | 6.6× | 288 |
computed 2 days ago
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