Short Trade on AERO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 813.12 AERO at 0.415$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4045 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4247 (2.36 %)
10 Aug 2026 at 12:10:05
hyperliquid
AERO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
10 Aug 2026 12:10
→ 18:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.4149$
Qty 813.118 AERO
Size 337.3627$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4045 (+2.51%)
TP $ 8.46$
SL 0.4247 (-2.36%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 1.06
Status
win
PnL
+0.37%
/ +1.24$
MAE -0.82%
MFE +0.43%
0.2R
expires
10 Aug 18:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 64763)
#38 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 12:00
score du 10/08/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5996
Quality Score
0.5
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 12:02
10/08 12:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#38 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.36 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#38 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.36 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.62×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.10×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (+1) 10/08 12:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 10/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 10/08 11:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.362%
(0.0098)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.251% | 0.1R | -0.325% | 0.1R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.280% | 0.1R | -0.325% | 0.1R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.280% | 0.1R | -0.817% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.431% | 0.2R | -0.817% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.431% | 0.2R | -0.817% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.431% | 0.2R | -1.155% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 3 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.97
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.54 | range_medium | +0.49% | -0.42 | 10/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
48%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.55 | range_low | -0.74% | -0.06 | 10/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
52%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.57 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.06% | +0.01 | 10/08 11:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 4.21×ATR | p78 | -1.679×ATR | p85 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 4.394×ATR | p80 | -1.546×ATR | p71 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 7.685×ATR | p100 | -1.754×ATR | p77 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.42473867
- tp_price: 0.4045275
- atr: 0.00393547
- expires_at: 2026-08-10T22:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 51
- total: 52
- score: 0.3363
- delta_2h: -0.0519
- extension_atr: -1.3
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5996
- confidence: 0.98
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4149 | 0.4247 | 0.4045 | 1.06 | 0.3995 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4149
- Stop Loss: 0.4247
- Take Profit: 0.4045
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4247 - 0.4149 = 0.0098
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4149 - 0.4045 = 0.0104
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0104 / 0.0098 = 1.0612
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 337.3627 | 100 | 813.118 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0098
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0098 = 816.33
Taille de position USD = 816.33 x 0.4149 = 338.7
Donc, tu peux acheter 816.33 avec un stoploss a 0.4247
Avec un position size USD de 338.7$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 816.33 x 0.0098 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 816.33 x 0.0104 = 8.49
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.49$
Résumé
- Taille de position 816.33
- Taille de position USD 338.7
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 8.49
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.0612
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 8.46 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.36 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.24 $ | 0.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8171 % | 34.59 % | 19 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4149 | 0.4247 | 0.4045 | 1.06 | 0.3995 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4149
- Stop Loss: 0.4247
- Take Profit: 0.4045
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4247 - 0.4149 = 0.0098
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4149 - 0.4045 = 0.0104
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0104 / 0.0098 = 1.0612
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
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Extra SL data
Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.362%
(0.0098)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.251% | 0.1R | -0.325% | 0.1R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.280% | 0.1R | -0.325% | 0.1R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.280% | 0.1R | -0.817% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.431% | 0.2R | -0.817% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.431% | 0.2R | -0.817% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.431% | 0.2R | -1.155% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 3 days ago
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