Short Trade on UNI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 77.53 UNI at 3.931$ per unit. Take profit: 3.673 (6.56 %) & Stop Loss: 4.0342 (2.63 %)
10 Aug 2026 at 13:20:03
hyperliquid
UNI
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
10 Aug 2026 13:20
→ 01:15
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 3.931$
Qty 77.5332 UNI
Size 304.7831$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 3.673 (+6.56%)
TP $ 20$
SL 4.0342 (-2.63%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.47%
/ -4.47$
MAE -2.47%
MFE +0.38%
0.1R
expires
11 Aug 01:19
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 64784)
#46 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 13:00
score du 10/08/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1705
Quality Score
0.5
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 13:15
10/08 13:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#46 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.63 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#46 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.63 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.29×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.28×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.34×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (+1) 10/08 13:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 09/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 10/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 10/08 13:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.625%
(0.1032)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.125% | 0.1R | -0.310% | 0.1R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.377% | 0.1R | -0.310% | 0.1R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.377% | 0.1R | -0.842% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.377% | 0.1R | -0.842% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.377% | 0.1R | -2.468% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 143 |
| 24h | +6.347% | 2.4R | -2.468% | 0.9R | 2.6× | 288 |
computed 3 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.2
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | — | — | 0.64 | bear_high | -2.50% | +0.77 | 09/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_high |
36%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.55 | range_medium | -0.65% | -0.14 | 10/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.42 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.23% | -0.21 | 10/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.57 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.45% | -0.05 | 10/08 13:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 2.429×ATR | p0 | +0.455×ATR | p28 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.283×ATR | p20 | -1.033×ATR | p68 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -1.825×ATR | p85 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 1.367×ATR | p0 | -1.652×ATR | p79 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8208
- reason: down_bo width=3.00×ATR dur=39b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 4.03418157
- tp_price: 3.67304608
- atr:
- score: 0.82081653120004
- expires_at: 2026-08-11T05:19:55.860962
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.82081653120004
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.006
- obi_top10 : -0.001
- micro_price : 3.92221498
- spread_pct : 0.025497
- mid_price : 3.9225
- bid_wall_price : 3.9
- bid_wall_size : 79688
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 3.93
- ask_wall_size : 94273.2
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.004
- obi_top5_std : 0.0029
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6929
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
4.0899
- balance_zone_bottom:
3.9705
- balance_zone_mid:
4.0302
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786244400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786381200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9988
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
39
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8208
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786374000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
3.9705
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7949
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.9921
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
8
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.03981569 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
39
inside_close_ratio
0.7949
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
0.9921
Signaux confirmants (8)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:20 | 3.93100000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:26 | 3.93100000 | 0% |
| 3 | 13:32 | 3.93100000 | 0% |
| 4 | 13:38 | 3.93680000 | +0.148% |
| 5 | 13:44 | 3.93680000 | +0.148% |
| 6 | 13:49 | 3.93580000 | +0.122% |
| 7 | 13:55 | 3.93580000 | +0.122% |
| 8 | 14:02 | 3.93580000 | +0.122% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6929ms
Confidence avant OB :
82%
→
82%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.006
avg -0.004
± 0.003
OBI Top 10
-0.001
Microstructure
Mid Price
3.9225
Micro Price
3.9222
Spread
0.0255%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
3.9000
Size
79,688.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
3.9300
Size
94,273.20
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.931 | 4.0342 | 3.673 | 2.5 | 3.2866 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 3.931
- Stop Loss: 4.0342
- Take Profit: 3.673
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.0342 - 3.931 = 0.1032
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.931 - 3.673 = 0.258
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.258 / 0.1032 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 304.7831 | 100 | 77.5332 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.1032
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1032 = 77.52
Taille de position USD = 77.52 x 3.931 = 304.73
Donc, tu peux acheter 77.52 avec un stoploss a 4.0342
Avec un position size USD de 304.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 77.52 x 0.1032 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 77.52 x 0.258 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 77.52
- Taille de position USD 304.73
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.56 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.63 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.47 $ | -1.47 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.4676 % | 93.99 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.931 | 4.0342 | 3.673 | 2.5 | 3.2866 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 3.931
- Stop Loss: 4.0342
- Take Profit: 3.673
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.0342 - 3.931 = 0.1032
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.931 - 3.673 = 0.258
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.258 / 0.1032 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.625%
(0.1032)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.125% | 0.1R | -0.310% | 0.1R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.377% | 0.1R | -0.310% | 0.1R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.377% | 0.1R | -0.842% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.377% | 0.1R | -0.842% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.377% | 0.1R | -2.468% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 143 |
| 24h | +6.347% | 2.4R | -2.468% | 0.9R | 2.6× | 288 |
computed 3 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.