Long Trade on PUMP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 81883.32 PUMP at 0.00282$ per unit. Take profit: 0.003064 (8.65 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002722 (3.48 %)
10 Aug 2026 at 14:11:04
hyperliquid
PUMP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
10 Aug 2026 14:11
→ 02:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.00282$
Qty 81883.3163 PUMP
Size 230.911$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.003064 (+8.65%)
TP $ 19.98$
SL 0.002722 (-3.48%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2.49
Status
win
PnL
+3.23%
/ +7.45$
MAE -3.30%
MFE +4.29%
1.2R
expires
11 Aug 02:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 64863)
#2 / 54
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 14:00
score du 10/08/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8440
Quality Score
0.8
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
67.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 14:02
10/08 14:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#2 / 54
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.48 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#2 / 54
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.48 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.64×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.30×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (-1) 10/08 14:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 09/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 10/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 10/08 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.475%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.844% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.525% | 0.4R | -1.844% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.525% | 0.4R | -1.844% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.879% | 0.5R | -3.298% | 1.0R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.291% | 1.2R | -3.298% | 1.0R | 1.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.858% | 1.4R | -5.319% | 1.5R | 0.9× | 288 |
computed 3 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.38
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.58 | bear_high | -2.50% | +1.00 | 09/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
70%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.44 | range_medium | -0.65% | +0.95 | 10/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.28 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.30% | +0.61 | 10/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.22 | bear_low | -1.42% | +0.49 | 10/08 13:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 27b | — | 6.608×ATR | p89 | +2.377×ATR | p96 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 17b | — | 4.833×ATR | p71 | +1.496×ATR | p76 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.617×ATR | p8 | +0.888×ATR | p46 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.44×ATR | p53 | +1.178×ATR | p69 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7205
- reason: up_bo width=1.99×ATR dur=29b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.0027223
- tp_price: 0.00306425
- atr:
- score: 0.7205349942698
- expires_at: 2026-08-11T06:10:56.778366
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.7205349942698
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0415
- obi_top10 : 0.0316
- micro_price : 0.00280793
- spread_pct : 0.071276
- mid_price : 0.002807
- bid_wall_price : 0.0028
- bid_wall_size : 76958997.2
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.00282
- ask_wall_size : 58808446.4
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0418
- obi_top5_std : 0.0037
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7115
- aggregation_tick : 1.0E-5
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.002804
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.0026555
- balance_zone_mid:
0.00272975
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786284000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786384800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.993
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
29
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7205
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786381200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.002804
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8276
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.2147
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 7.451E-5 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
29
inside_close_ratio
0.8276
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.2147
Signaux confirmants (19)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:11 | 0.00282000 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:17 | 0.00282000 | 0% |
| 3 | 14:22 | 0.00280600 | -0.496% |
| 4 | 14:28 | 0.00280600 | -0.496% |
| 5 | 14:34 | 0.00280600 | -0.496% |
| 6 | 16:10 | 0.00281400 | -0.213% |
| 7 | 16:16 | 0.00281400 | -0.213% |
| 8 | 16:22 | 0.00281800 | -0.071% |
| 9 | 16:28 | 0.00281800 | -0.071% |
| 10 | 16:34 | 0.00281800 | -0.071% |
| 11 | 16:40 | 0.00280700 | -0.461% |
| 12 | 16:46 | 0.00280700 | -0.461% |
| 13 | 16:52 | 0.00281200 | -0.284% |
| 14 | 16:58 | 0.00281200 | -0.284% |
| 15 | 17:05 | 0.00281200 | -0.284% |
| 16 | 17:10 | 0.00282700 | +0.248% |
| 17 | 17:17 | 0.00282700 | +0.248% |
| 18 | 17:40 | 0.00281700 | -0.106% |
| 19 | 17:46 | 0.00281700 | -0.106% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7115ms
Confidence avant OB :
72%
→
72%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.042
avg 0.042
± 0.004
OBI Top 10
0.032
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0028
Micro Price
0.0028
Spread
0.0713%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0028
Size
76,958,997.20
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0028
Size
58,808,446.40
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00282 | 0.002722 | 0.003064 | 2.49 | 0.002766 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.00282
- Stop Loss: 0.002722
- Take Profit: 0.003064
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002722 - 0.00282 = -9.8E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.00282 - 0.003064 = -0.000244
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000244 / -9.8E-5 = 2.4898
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 230.911 | 100 | 81883.3163 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -9.8E-5
Taille de position = 8 / -9.8E-5 = -81632.65
Taille de position USD = -81632.65 x 0.00282 = -230.2
Donc, tu peux acheter -81632.65 avec un stoploss a 0.002722
Avec un position size USD de -230.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -81632.65 x -9.8E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -81632.65 x -0.000244 = 19.92
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.92$
Résumé
- Taille de position -81632.65
- Taille de position USD -230.2
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.92
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4898
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.65 % | 19.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.48 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 7.45 $ | 3.23 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.2979 % | 94.9 % | 40 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00282 | 0.002722 | 0.003064 | 2.49 | 0.002766 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.00282
- Stop Loss: 0.002722
- Take Profit: 0.003064
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002722 - 0.00282 = -9.8E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.00282 - 0.003064 = -0.000244
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000244 / -9.8E-5 = 2.4898
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.475%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.844% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.525% | 0.4R | -1.844% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.525% | 0.4R | -1.844% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.879% | 0.5R | -3.298% | 1.0R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.291% | 1.2R | -3.298% | 1.0R | 1.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.858% | 1.4R | -5.319% | 1.5R | 0.9× | 288 |
computed 3 days ago
Commentaires
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