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Long Trade on VVV

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10 Aug 2026 at 14:16:27 hyperliquid

Long Trade on VVV (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 31.35 VVV at 11.947$ per unit. Take profit: 12.585 (5.34 %) & Stop Loss: 11.6918 (2.14 %)

VVV LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 10 Aug 2026 14:16 → 02:10 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 11.947$

Qty 31.3493 VVV

Size 374.5299$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 12.585 (+5.34%)

TP $ 20$

SL 11.6918 (-2.14%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -1.12% / -4.2$ MAE -1.47% MFE +0.31% 0.1R expires 11 Aug 02:16 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 64860)
#15 / 54 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6982

Quality Score
0.6
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
64 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 14:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#15 / 54 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
64 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+1
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.14 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#15 / 54 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
64 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.14 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.32×ATR
4h near -0.15×ATR
1d clear 1.96×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (-1)

10/08 14:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

09/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

10/08 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

10/08 13:00

Score : +1 / ±6

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.136% (0.2552)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.050% 0.0R -0.912% 0.4R 0.1× 12
2h +0.109% 0.1R -0.912% 0.4R 0.1× 24
4h +0.251% 0.1R -1.431% 0.7R 0.2× 48
8h +0.251% 0.1R -1.431% 0.7R 0.2× 96
12h ★ +0.310% 0.1R -1.473% 0.7R 0.2× 144
24h +0.310% 0.1R -4.997% 2.3R 0.1× 288

computed 3 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.22
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression range_high
37%
noisy_chop 41% early near 0.4ATR — 0.43 bear_high -2.50% -0.30 09/08 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate balanced expansion range_high
43%
noisy_chop 38% early — near -0.1ATR 0.48 range_medium -0.65% +0.38 10/08 12:00
1h ↑ up range range strong explosive normal bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 42% early — near 0.3ATR 0.41 bear_low_confirmed -1.30% +0.30 10/08 13:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced compression range_medium
40%
noisy_chop 43% mid — — 0.34 bear_low -1.42% +0.16 10/08 13:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 15b — 3.175×ATR p35 +0.197×ATR p10
4h ↑ up early 4b — 1.161×ATR p0 +0.766×ATR p49
1h ↓ down early 3b — 1.318×ATR p0 +0.177×ATR p13
15m ↓ down mid 13b — 3.707×ATR p65 -0.75×ATR p45

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.6422
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.73×ATR dur=33b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 11.69181077
  5. tp_price: 12.58497308
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.64221256293385
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-11T06:16:19.472334
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.64221256293385
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
    5. ¸
  5. market_structures
    6. ¸
  6. market_structure_v2
    7. ¸
  7. trend_analyzer_1h
    8. ¸
  8. orderbook_context
  9. obi_top5 : 0.0817
  10. obi_top10 : 0.0907
  11. micro_price : 11.92068627
  12. spread_pct : 0.050348
  13. mid_price : 11.92
  14. bid_wall_price : 11.8
  15. bid_wall_size : 11105.75
  16. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  17. ask_wall_price : 12
  18. ask_wall_size : 9072.55
  19. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  20. snapshots_count : 5
  21. obi_top5_mean : 0.0817
  22. obi_top5_std : 0
  23. pressure_side : neutral
  24. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  25. collection_ms : 7066
  26. aggregation_tick : 0.1
  27. error :
    28. ¸
  28. strategy_details
  29. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  30. strategy_details
  31. balance_zone_top: 
    11.914
  32. balance_zone_bottom: 
    11.5
  33. balance_zone_mid: 
    11.707
  34. balance_zone_start_time: 
    1786269600
  35. balance_zone_end_time: 
    1786384800
  36. balance_zone_width_atr: 
    2.7256
  37. balance_zone_duration_bars: 
    33
  38. balance_zone_quality: loose
  39. balance_zone_maturity: established
  40. balance_zone_confidence: 
    0.6422
  41. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  42. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  43. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  44. balance_zone_breakout_time: 
    1786381200
  45. balance_zone_breakout_price: 
    11.914
  46. strategy_details
  47. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio: 
    0.697
  48. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout: 
    1
  49. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr: 
    0.2173
  50. balance_metrics_has_retested: 
    1
  51. balance_metrics_retest_count: 
    1
  52. balance_metrics_touch_upper: 
    6
  53. balance_metrics_touch_lower: 
    4
  54. regime : bull_high
  55. atr_entry : 0.15189231
    56. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
33
inside_close_ratio
0.697
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.2173

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7066ms Confidence avant OB : 64% → 64%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.082
avg 0.082 ± 0.000
OBI Top 10 0.091

Microstructure

Mid Price
11.9200
Micro Price
11.9207
Spread
0.0503%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
11.8000
Size
11,105.75

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
12.0000
Size
9,072.55

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
11.947 11.6918 12.585 2.5 12.014
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 11.947
  • Stop Loss: 11.6918
  • Take Profit: 12.585

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 11.6918 - 11.947 = -0.2552

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 11.947 - 12.585 = -0.638

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.638 / -0.2552 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
374.5299 100 31.3493 4.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.2552

Taille de position = 8 / -0.2552 = -31.35

Taille de position USD = -31.35 x 11.947 = -374.54

Donc, tu peux acheter -31.35 avec un stoploss a 11.6918

Avec un position size USD de -374.54$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -31.35 x -0.2552 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -31.35 x -0.638 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -31.35
  • Taille de position USD -374.54
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.34 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.14 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-4.2 $ -1.12
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.4732 % 68.97 % 10
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
11.947 11.6918 12.585 2.5 12.014
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 11.947
  • Stop Loss: 11.6918
  • Take Profit: 12.585

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 11.6918 - 11.947 = -0.2552

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 11.947 - 12.585 = -0.638

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.638 / -0.2552 = 2.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.136% (0.2552)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.050% 0.0R -0.912% 0.4R 0.1× 12
2h +0.109% 0.1R -0.912% 0.4R 0.1× 24
4h +0.251% 0.1R -1.431% 0.7R 0.2× 48
8h +0.251% 0.1R -1.431% 0.7R 0.2× 96
12h ★ +0.310% 0.1R -1.473% 0.7R 0.2× 144
24h +0.310% 0.1R -4.997% 2.3R 0.1× 288

computed 3 days ago

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