Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 509.23 KAITO at 0.646$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6264 (3.06 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6619 (2.43 %)
10 Aug 2026 at 14:45:11
hyperliquid
KAITO
SHORT
momentum_pullback_v1
hyperliquid
10 Aug 2026 14:45
→ 16:25
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.6462$
Qty 509.2298 KAITO
Size 329.0541$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6264 (+3.06%)
TP $ 10.08$
SL 0.6619 (-2.43%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 1.26
Status
loss
PnL
-2.43%
/ -7.99$
MAE -3.30%
MFE +1.64%
0.7R
expires
11 Aug 02:45
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 64861)
#52 / 54
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 14:00
score du 10/08/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1257
Quality Score
0.4
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
23.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 14:32
10/08 14:32
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#52 / 54
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.43 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#52 / 54
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.43 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.24×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.38×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (+1) 10/08 14:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 09/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 10/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 10/08 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.430%
(0.0157)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.062% | 0.0R | -1.922% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.062% | 0.0R | -3.073% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.062% | 0.0R | -3.299% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.007% | 0.4R | -3.299% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.644% | 0.7R | -3.299% | 1.4R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 4 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.41
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.38 | bear_high | -4.25% | -1.00 | 09/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
choppy 52% | late | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.00 | range_medium | -0.59% | -0.99 | 10/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | -0.13 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.34% | -0.25 | 10/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.00 | bear_low | -1.36% | -0.10 | 10/08 14:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 5.687×ATR | p72 | -1.603×ATR | p73 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 54b | — | 15.424×ATR | p100 | -1.944×ATR | p80 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.332×ATR | p0 | -0.854×ATR | p46 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.741×ATR | p7 | -0.735×ATR | p58 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_pullback_v1 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.66189
- tp_price: 0.62643761
- atr: 0.00789696
- expires_at: 2026-08-11T06:45:11+00:00
Details
- rank: 54
- total: 54
- score: 0.2753
- avg_rank_8h: 49.8
- rank_velocity: 4.2
- pullback_depth_atr: 4.04
- trigger_price: 0.64649
- fip_24h: 0.083
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6462 | 0.6619 | 0.6264 | 1.26 | 0.3719 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6462
- Stop Loss: 0.6619
- Take Profit: 0.6264
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6619 - 0.6462 = 0.0157
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6462 - 0.6264 = 0.0198
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0198 / 0.0157 = 1.2611
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 329.0541 | 100 | 509.2298 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0157
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0157 = 509.55
Taille de position USD = 509.55 x 0.6462 = 329.27
Donc, tu peux acheter 509.55 avec un stoploss a 0.6619
Avec un position size USD de 329.27$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 509.55 x 0.0157 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 509.55 x 0.0198 = 10.09
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 10.09$
Résumé
- Taille de position 509.55
- Taille de position USD 329.27
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 10.09
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.2611
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.06 % | 10.08 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.43 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -2.43 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.4698 % | 101.65 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6462 | 0.6619 | 0.6264 | 1.26 | 0.3719 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6462
- Stop Loss: 0.6619
- Take Profit: 0.6264
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6619 - 0.6462 = 0.0157
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6462 - 0.6264 = 0.0198
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0198 / 0.0157 = 1.2611
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.6264
[entry_price] => 0.6462
[stop_loss] => 0.66347
[rr_ratio] => 1.15
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-10 20:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.6264
[entry_price] => 0.6462
[stop_loss] => 0.66504
[rr_ratio] => 1.05
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-10 20:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.6264
[entry_price] => 0.6462
[stop_loss] => 0.66661
[rr_ratio] => 0.97
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-10 22:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.430%
(0.0157)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.062% | 0.0R | -1.922% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.062% | 0.0R | -3.073% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.062% | 0.0R | -3.299% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.007% | 0.4R | -3.299% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.644% | 0.7R | -3.299% | 1.4R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 4 days ago
Commentaires
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