Long Trade on PENGU

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10 Aug 2026 at 15:00:13 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PENGU (momentum_pullback_v1)

With 49689.44 PENGU at 0.0067$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006818 (1.82 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006535 (2.4 %)

PENGU LONG momentum_pullback_v1 hyperliquid 10 Aug 2026 15:00 → 17:55 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.006696$

Qty 49689.441 PENGU

Size 332.7205$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.006818 (+1.82%)

TP $ 6.06$

SL 0.006535 (-2.4%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.76

Status loss PnL -2.40% / -8$ MAE -4.24% MFE +0.39% 0.2R expires 11 Aug 03:00

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 64857)

#16 / 54 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8030

Quality Score

0.6

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

81 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

3.5M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 14:46

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#16 / 54 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

81 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.40 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#16 / 54 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

81 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.40 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.10×ATR
4h	clear	0.53×ATR
1d	near	-0.49×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	early	OK
4h	↑ up	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 0	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (-1) 10/08 14:00 Score : -1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (-1)

10/08 14:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 09/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 10/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 10/08 14:00 Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

09/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

10/08 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

10/08 14:00

Score : 0 / ±6

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.404% (0.0002)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.388%	0.2R	-0.523%	0.2R	0.7×	12
2h	+0.388%	0.2R	-0.702%	0.3R	0.6×	24
4h	+0.388%	0.2R	-2.912%	1.2R	0.1×	48
8h	+0.388%	0.2R	-3.868%	1.6R	0.1×	96
12h ★	+0.388%	0.2R	-4.241%	1.8R	0.1×	144

computed 4 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.54

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	normal	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 38%	mid	—	near -0.5ATR	0.73	bear_high	-4.25%	+0.71	09/08 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 41%	mid	—	—	0.65	range_medium	-0.59%	+0.81	10/08 12:00
1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	near -0.1ATR	0.44	bear_low_confirmed	-1.37%	+0.34	10/08 14:00
15m	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bull_medium	57%	noisy_chop 36%	early	—	near -0.8ATR	—	bear_low	-1.38%	+0.15	10/08 14:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	mid	12b	—	2.782×ATR	p6	+1.33×ATR	p66
4h	↑ up	mid	4b	—	1.29×ATR	p0	+1.29×ATR	p72
1h	↑ up	early	3b	—	1.191×ATR	p0	+0.345×ATR	p17
15m	↓ down	early	8b	—	0.483×ATR	p0	+0.383×ATR	p30

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_pullback_v1 - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.006535
tp_price: 0.00681784
atr: 4.874E-5
expires_at: 2026-08-11T07:00:13+00:00

Details

rank: 11
total: 54
score: 0.6154
avg_rank_8h: 9.1
rank_velocity: 1.9
pullback_depth_atr: 4.66
trigger_price: 0.006688
fip_24h: -0.083
confidence: 0.811

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.006696	0.006535	0.006818	0.76	0.005998

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.006696
Stop Loss: 0.006535
Take Profit: 0.006818

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.006535 - 0.006696 = -0.000161
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.006696 - 0.006818 = -0.000122
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000122 / -0.000161 = 0.7578

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
332.7205	100	49689.441	3.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.000161

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000161 = -49689.44

Taille de position USD = -49689.44 x 0.006696 = -332.72

Donc, tu peux acheter -49689.44 avec un stoploss a 0.006535

Avec un position size USD de -332.72$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -49689.44 x -0.000161 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -49689.44 x -0.000122 = 6.06

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.06$

Résumé

Taille de position -49689.44
Taille de position USD -332.72
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 6.06
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7578

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
1.82 %	6.06 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
2.4 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-8 $	-2.40

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-2.509 %	104.35 %	10

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.006696	0.006535	0.006818	0.76	0.005998

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.006696
Stop Loss: 0.006535
Take Profit: 0.006818

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.006535 - 0.006696 = -0.000161
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.006696 - 0.006818 = -0.000122
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000122 / -0.000161 = 0.7578

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.006818
            [entry_price] => 0.006696
            [stop_loss] => 0.0065189
            [rr_ratio] => 0.69
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-10 22:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.006818
            [entry_price] => 0.006696
            [stop_loss] => 0.0065028
            [rr_ratio] => 0.63
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-10 22:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.006818
            [entry_price] => 0.006696
            [stop_loss] => 0.0064867
            [rr_ratio] => 0.58
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-11 00:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.404% (0.0002)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.388%	0.2R	-0.523%	0.2R	0.7×	12
2h	+0.388%	0.2R	-0.702%	0.3R	0.6×	24
4h	+0.388%	0.2R	-2.912%	1.2R	0.1×	48
8h	+0.388%	0.2R	-3.868%	1.6R	0.1×	96
12h ★	+0.388%	0.2R	-4.241%	1.8R	0.1×	144

computed 4 days ago

Commentaires

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