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Short Trade on KAITO

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10 Aug 2026 at 15:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 188.63 KAITO at 0.651$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6348 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6935 (6.51 %)

KAITO SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 10 Aug 2026 15:10 → 21:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.6511$

Qty 188.6314 KAITO

Size 122.8198$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.6348 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.07$

SL 0.6935 (-6.51%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.38

Status win PnL +0.11% / +0.14$ MAE -2.52% MFE +1.75% 0.3R expires 10 Aug 21:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 64915)
#53 / 54 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 15:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1281

Quality Score
0.4
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
21.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 15:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#53 / 54 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.51 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#53 / 54 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.51 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near -0.24×ATR
1d near -0.38×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 3

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (+1)

10/08 15:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3)

09/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

10/08 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

10/08 14:00

Score : +6 / ±6

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.512% (0.0424)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.184% 0.0R -1.299% 0.2R 0.1× 12
2h +0.184% 0.0R -2.304% 0.4R 0.1× 24
4h +0.184% 0.0R -2.522% 0.4R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +1.752% 0.3R -2.522% 0.4R 0.7× 72
8h +1.752% 0.3R -2.522% 0.4R 0.7× 96
12h +2.384% 0.4R -2.522% 0.4R 1.0× 144

computed 4 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.45
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading expansion bear_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 39% mid near -0.4ATR — 0.38 bear_high -4.25% -1.00 09/08 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate fading normal bear_high_confirmed
51%
choppy 52% late near -0.2ATR — 0.00 range_medium -0.59% -0.99 10/08 12:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate grind normal bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 35% mid — — -0.13 bear_low_confirmed -1.37% -0.37 10/08 14:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 39% late near -0.6ATR — 0.00 bear_low -1.38% -0.19 10/08 14:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 12b — 5.687×ATR p72 -1.603×ATR p73
4h ↓ down late 54b — 15.424×ATR p100 -1.944×ATR p80
1h ↑ up mid 2b — 0.807×ATR p0 -1.299×ATR p65
15m ↓ down late 9b — 2.508×ATR p35 -1.262×ATR p81

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.69352076
  2. tp_price: 0.63483225
  3. atr: 0.0169643
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-11T01:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 54
  2. total: 54
  3. score: 0.2147
  4. delta_2h: -0.1114
  5. extension_atr: -0.7
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1281
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.6511 0.6935 0.6348 0.38 0.3502
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.6511
  • Stop Loss: 0.6935
  • Take Profit: 0.6348

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.6935 - 0.6511 = 0.0424

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.6511 - 0.6348 = 0.0163

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0163 / 0.0424 = 0.3844

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
122.8198 100 188.6314 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0424

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0424 = 188.68

Taille de position USD = 188.68 x 0.6511 = 122.85

Donc, tu peux acheter 188.68 avec un stoploss a 0.6935

Avec un position size USD de 122.85$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 188.68 x 0.0424 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 188.68 x 0.0163 = 3.08

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.08$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 188.68
  • Taille de position USD 122.85
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.08
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3844

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.07 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.51 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
0.14 $ 0.11
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.5219 % 38.73 % 5
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.6511 0.6935 0.6348 0.38 0.3502
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.6511
  • Stop Loss: 0.6935
  • Take Profit: 0.6348

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.6935 - 0.6511 = 0.0424

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.6511 - 0.6348 = 0.0163

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0163 / 0.0424 = 0.3844

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.512% (0.0424)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.184% 0.0R -1.299% 0.2R 0.1× 12
2h +0.184% 0.0R -2.304% 0.4R 0.1× 24
4h +0.184% 0.0R -2.522% 0.4R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +1.752% 0.3R -2.522% 0.4R 0.7× 72
8h +1.752% 0.3R -2.522% 0.4R 0.7× 96
12h +2.384% 0.4R -2.522% 0.4R 1.0× 144

computed 4 days ago

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