Short Trade on SUI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 810.74 SUI at 0.682$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6579 (3.6 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6924 (1.45 %)
10 Aug 2026 at 18:13:10
hyperliquid
SUI
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
10 Aug 2026 18:13
→ 05:50
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.6825$
Qty 810.7358 SUI
Size 553.3434$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6579 (+3.6%)
TP $ 19.94$
SL 0.6924 (-1.45%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 2.48
Status
loss
PnL
-1.45%
/ -8.03$
MAE -1.54%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
11 Aug 06:13
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 65035)
#44 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 18:00
score du 10/08/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2854
Quality Score
0.5
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
10.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 18:00
10/08 18:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#44 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.45 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#44 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.45 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.93×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.03×ATR |
| 1d | near | -3.13×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 10/08 18:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 09/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 10/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 10/08 17:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.451%
(0.0099)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.476% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.476% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.081% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.175% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.541% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.490% | 1.0R | -1.852% | 1.3R | 0.8× | 288 |
computed 4 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near -3.1ATR | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -4.25% | -0.62 | 09/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.70 | range_medium | -0.30% | +0.37 | 10/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near -0.9ATR | near 0.1ATR | 0.63 | bear_low | -1.06% | +0.08 | 10/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_low |
40%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.61 | bear_low | -0.90% | -0.02 | 10/08 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 37b | — | 3.751×ATR | p50 | -0.403×ATR | p24 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.735×ATR | p0 | +0.067×ATR | p4 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.75×ATR | p13 | -0.734×ATR | p54 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 3.831×ATR | p63 | -1.157×ATR | p68 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8251
- reason: down_bo width=1.92×ATR dur=46b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.69238758
- tp_price: 0.65785104
- atr:
- score: 0.82512184662015
- expires_at: 2026-08-11T10:13:02.931688
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.82512184662015
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0396
- obi_top10 : -0.0615
- micro_price : 0.68516662
- spread_pct : 0.014596
- mid_price : 0.68515
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.689
- ask_wall_size : 834891.8
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0372
- obi_top5_std : 0.0027
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7041
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.69667
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.68711
- balance_zone_mid:
0.69189
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786237200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786399200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.9213
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
46
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8251
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786395600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.68711
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7391
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.9225
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
11
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
8
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00497584 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
46
inside_close_ratio
0.7391
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.9225
Signaux confirmants (34)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:13 | 0.68252000 | +0.003% |
| 2 | 18:19 | 0.68566000 | +0.463% |
| 3 | 18:25 | 0.68566000 | +0.463% |
| 4 | 18:31 | 0.68566000 | +0.463% |
| 5 | 18:37 | 0.68304000 | +0.079% |
| 6 | 18:43 | 0.68304000 | +0.079% |
| 7 | 18:49 | 0.68382000 | +0.193% |
| 8 | 18:55 | 0.68382000 | +0.193% |
| 9 | 19:01 | 0.68382000 | +0.193% |
| 10 | 19:07 | 0.68383000 | +0.195% |
| 11 | 19:13 | 0.68383000 | +0.195% |
| 12 | 19:19 | 0.68527000 | +0.406% |
| 13 | 19:25 | 0.68527000 | +0.406% |
| 14 | 19:31 | 0.68527000 | +0.406% |
| 15 | 19:37 | 0.68433000 | +0.268% |
| 16 | 19:43 | 0.68433000 | +0.268% |
| 17 | 19:49 | 0.68427000 | +0.259% |
| 18 | 19:55 | 0.68427000 | +0.259% |
| 19 | 20:01 | 0.68427000 | +0.259% |
| 20 | 20:07 | 0.68366000 | +0.17% |
| 21 | 20:13 | 0.68366000 | +0.17% |
| 22 | 20:19 | 0.68421000 | +0.251% |
| 23 | 20:25 | 0.68421000 | +0.251% |
| 24 | 20:31 | 0.68421000 | +0.251% |
| 25 | 20:37 | 0.68524000 | +0.401% |
| 26 | 20:43 | 0.68524000 | +0.401% |
| 27 | 20:49 | 0.68599000 | +0.511% |
| 28 | 20:55 | 0.68599000 | +0.511% |
| 29 | 21:01 | 0.68599000 | +0.511% |
| 30 | 21:07 | 0.68548000 | +0.437% |
| 31 | 21:13 | 0.68548000 | +0.437% |
| 32 | 21:49 | 0.68664000 | +0.607% |
| 33 | 21:55 | 0.68664000 | +0.607% |
| 34 | 22:01 | 0.68664000 | +0.607% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7041ms
Confidence avant OB :
83%
→
83%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.040
avg -0.037
± 0.003
OBI Top 10
-0.062
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.6852
Micro Price
0.6852
Spread
0.0146%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.6890
Size
834,891.80
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6825 | 0.6924 | 0.6579 | 2.48 | 0.6756 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6825
- Stop Loss: 0.6924
- Take Profit: 0.6579
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6924 - 0.6825 = 0.0099
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6825 - 0.6579 = 0.0246
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0246 / 0.0099 = 2.4848
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 553.3434 | 100 | 810.7358 | 6.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0099
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0099 = 808.08
Taille de position USD = 808.08 x 0.6825 = 551.51
Donc, tu peux acheter 808.08 avec un stoploss a 0.6924
Avec un position size USD de 551.51$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 808.08 x 0.0099 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 808.08 x 0.0246 = 19.88
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.88$
Résumé
- Taille de position 808.08
- Taille de position USD 551.51
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.88
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4848
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.6 % | 19.94 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.45 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.03 $ | -1.45 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5414 % | 106.27 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6825 | 0.6924 | 0.6579 | 2.48 | 0.6756 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6825
- Stop Loss: 0.6924
- Take Profit: 0.6579
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6924 - 0.6825 = 0.0099
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6825 - 0.6579 = 0.0246
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0246 / 0.0099 = 2.4848
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.451%
(0.0099)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.476% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.476% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.081% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.175% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.541% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.490% | 1.0R | -1.852% | 1.3R | 0.8× | 288 |
computed 4 days ago
Commentaires
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