Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 211.53 KAITO at 0.644$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6281 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6821 (5.88 %)
10 Aug 2026 at 20:10:07
hyperliquid
KAITO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
10 Aug 2026 20:10
→ 02:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.6442$
Qty 211.5263 KAITO
Size 136.2758$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6281 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.41$
SL 0.6821 (-5.88%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 0.42
Status
win
PnL
+0.53%
/ +0.73$
MAE -2.29%
MFE +1.34%
0.2R
expires
11 Aug 02:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 65162)
#49 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 20:00
score du 10/08/2026 20:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0812
Quality Score
0.4
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
21.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 20:02
10/08 20:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#49 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#49 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.24×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.38×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 10/08 20:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 09/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 10/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 10/08 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.883%
(0.0379)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.700% | 0.1R | -1.537% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.700% | 0.1R | -2.207% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.700% | 0.1R | -2.288% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.338% | 0.2R | -2.288% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.338% | 0.2R | -2.859% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.338% | 0.2R | -2.859% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 5 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.54
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.38 | bear_high | -4.25% | -1.00 | 09/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.00 | range_medium | -0.55% | -1.00 | 10/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | -0.13 | bear_low | -1.13% | -0.16 | 10/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.01 | bear_low | -0.86% | +0.06 | 10/08 19:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 5.687×ATR | p72 | -1.603×ATR | p73 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 55b | — | 16.029×ATR | p100 | -1.799×ATR | p75 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.713×ATR | p4 | -0.401×ATR | p24 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.155×ATR | p22 | -0.434×ATR | p38 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.68207035
- tp_price: 0.62814375
- atr: 0.01512814
- expires_at: 2026-08-11T06:10:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 50
- total: 50
- score: 0.303
- delta_2h: -0.0565
- extension_atr: -1.05
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0812
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:10 | 0.64425000 | +0.008% |
| 2 | 21:10 | 0.64995000 | +0.893% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6442 | 0.6821 | 0.6281 | 0.42 | 0.3411 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6442
- Stop Loss: 0.6821
- Take Profit: 0.6281
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6821 - 0.6442 = 0.0379
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6442 - 0.6281 = 0.0161
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0161 / 0.0379 = 0.4248
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 136.2758 | 100 | 211.5263 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0379
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0379 = 211.08
Taille de position USD = 211.08 x 0.6442 = 135.98
Donc, tu peux acheter 211.08 avec un stoploss a 0.6821
Avec un position size USD de 135.98$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 211.08 x 0.0379 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 211.08 x 0.0161 = 3.4
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.4$
Résumé
- Taille de position 211.08
- Taille de position USD 135.98
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.4
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4248
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.41 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.88 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.73 $ | 0.53 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.2881 % | 38.89 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6442 | 0.6821 | 0.6281 | 0.42 | 0.3411 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6442
- Stop Loss: 0.6821
- Take Profit: 0.6281
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6821 - 0.6442 = 0.0379
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6442 - 0.6281 = 0.0161
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0161 / 0.0379 = 0.4248
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
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Extra SL data
Array
(
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MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.883%
(0.0379)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.700% | 0.1R | -1.537% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.700% | 0.1R | -2.207% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.700% | 0.1R | -2.288% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.338% | 0.2R | -2.288% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.338% | 0.2R | -2.859% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.338% | 0.2R | -2.859% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 5 days ago
Commentaires
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