Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_score)
With 182.48 KAITO at 0.657$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7007 (6.68 %)
10 Aug 2026 at 23:10:05
hyperliquid
KAITO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_score
hyperliquid
10 Aug 2026 23:10
→ 02:05
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.6568$
Qty 182.4772 KAITO
Size 119.8565$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 119.85$
SL 0.7007 (-6.68%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR
Status
win
PnL
+2.44%
/ +2.93$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +3.23%
0.5R
expires
11 Aug 02:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 65309)
#49 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 23:00
score du 10/08/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0179
Quality Score
0.333
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
22.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 23:02
10/08 23:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#49 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.68 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#49 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.68 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.36×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.49×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 10/08 23:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 10/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 10/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.3326
Score SMA
0.4108
Rank
#49
/ 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0179
Rank Norm SMA
0.0541
Calculé le
10/08/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2053 | r1h: -1.129% · r4h: -1.361% · r1d: -8.42% · r3d: -20.23% · ema21_slope: -0.1466% · dist_ema21: -2.040% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2147 | rs_1h: -1.107% · rs_4h: -1.402% · rs_1d: -6.80% · rs_3d: -18.90% · beta_24h: -0.360 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1852 | rvol_20: 0.54× · zscore_50: -0.716 · trend: -30.00% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5350 | ADX: 34.3 (trend) · Chop: 69.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.309% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -6.684%
(0.0439)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.148% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.336% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +3.231% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 36 |
| 4h | +3.231% | 0.5R | -0.886% | 0.1R | 3.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.231% | 0.5R | -0.886% | 0.1R | 3.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.319% | 0.5R | -0.886% | 0.1R | 3.8× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.65
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.38 | bear_high | -4.25% | -1.00 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.00 | range_medium | -0.40% | -0.98 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | -0.12 | bear_low | -0.95% | -0.22 | 10/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | normal | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 48% | early | near -0.9ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.59% | -0.29 | 10/08 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 6.177×ATR | p78 | -1.73×ATR | p78 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 56b | — | 16.666×ATR | p100 | -2.025×ATR | p81 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.466×ATR | p0 | -0.921×ATR | p49 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.187×ATR | p21 | -0.872×ATR | p60 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6568 | 0.7007 | 0.3234 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6568
- Stop Loss: 0.7007
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7007 - 0.6568 = 0.0439
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6568 - = 0.6568
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6568 / 0.0439 = 14.9613
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119.8565 | 100 | 182.4772 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0439
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0439 = 182.23
Taille de position USD = 182.23 x 0.6568 = 119.69
Donc, tu peux acheter 182.23 avec un stoploss a 0.7007
Avec un position size USD de 119.69$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 182.23 x 0.0439 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 182.23 x 0.6568 = 119.69
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 119.69$
Résumé
- Taille de position 182.23
- Taille de position USD 119.69
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 119.69
- Risk-Reward Ratio 14.9613
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 119.85 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.68 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.93 $ | 2.44 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6568 | 0.7007 | 0.3234 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6568
- Stop Loss: 0.7007
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7007 - 0.6568 = 0.0439
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6568 - = 0.6568
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6568 / 0.0439 = 14.9613
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -6.684%
(0.0439)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.148% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.336% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +3.231% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 36 |
| 4h | +3.231% | 0.5R | -0.886% | 0.1R | 3.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.231% | 0.5R | -0.886% | 0.1R | 3.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.319% | 0.5R | -0.886% | 0.1R | 3.8× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
Commentaires
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