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Short Trade on NIL

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10 Aug 2026 at 23:10:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_score)

With 1386.04 NIL at 0.0382$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.044 (15.09 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 10 Aug 2026 23:10 → 02:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.03823$

Qty 1386.0398 NIL

Size 52.9828$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 52.99$

SL 0.044 (-15.09%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -1.87% / -0.99$ MAE -4.23% MFE +0.73% 0.1R expires 11 Aug 02:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 65310)
#50 / 50 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2741

Quality Score
0.291
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 23:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#50 / 50 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
15.09 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#50 / 50 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
15.09 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.13×ATR
4h clear 1.17×ATR
1d clear 2.57×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1)

10/08 23:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

10/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

10/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

10/08 22:00

Score : +2 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.2909
Score SMA
0.5721
Rank
#50 / 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2741
Rank Norm SMA
0.5042
Calculé le
10/08/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2104 r1h: -2.099% · r4h: -4.107% · r1d: -16.94% · r3d: 5.73% · ema21_slope: -0.5361% · dist_ema21: -5.624%
Force Relative 25% 0.2608 rs_1h: -2.077% · rs_4h: -4.147% · rs_1d: -15.32% · rs_3d: 7.05% · beta_24h: -1.018
Volume 20% 0.1365 rvol_20: 0.12× · zscore_50: -0.953 · trend: -60.38%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6584 ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 37.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.3648 ATR%: 4.906% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -15.093% (0.0058)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.727% 0.1R -3.066% 0.2R 0.2× 12
2h +0.727% 0.1R -3.984% 0.3R 0.2× 24
3h ★ +0.727% 0.1R -4.230% 0.3R 0.2× 36
4h +0.727% 0.1R -4.230% 0.3R 0.2× 48
8h +2.762% 0.2R -4.230% 0.3R 0.7× 96
12h +7.774% 0.5R -4.230% 0.3R 1.8× 144

computed 6 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.42
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 40% early — near -0.2ATR 0.34 bear_high -4.25% +0.83 10/08 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
48%
noisy_chop 42% early — — 0.36 range_medium -0.40% -0.53 10/08 20:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 45% late — — 0.06 bear_low -0.95% -0.55 10/08 22:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 41% mid near -1.2ATR — — range_low -0.57% -0.24 10/08 22:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 10b — 2.677×ATR p14 +0.814×ATR p50
4h ↓ down early 3b — 3.214×ATR p45 +0.033×ATR p2
1h ↓ down late 13b — 6.276×ATR p92 -1.21×ATR p54
15m ↓ down mid 8b — 4.522×ATR p79 -2.217×ATR p70

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.04399784
  2. atr: 0.00192395
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-11T06:10:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 50
  2. total: 51
  3. score: 0.2104
  4. confidence: 0.98

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.03823 0.044 0.04764
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.03823
  • Stop Loss: 0.044
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.044 - 0.03823 = 0.00577

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.03823 - = 0.03823

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.03823 / 0.00577 = 6.6256

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
52.9828 52.9828 1386.0398 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00577

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00577 = 1386.48

Taille de position USD = 1386.48 x 0.03823 = 53.01

Donc, tu peux acheter 1386.48 avec un stoploss a 0.044

Avec un position size USD de 53.01$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1386.48 x 0.00577 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1386.48 x 0.03823 = 53.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 53.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1386.48
  • Taille de position USD 53.01
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 53.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 6.6256

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 52.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
15.09 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-0.99 $ -1.87
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.2297 % 28.02 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.03823 0.044 0.04764
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.03823
  • Stop Loss: 0.044
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.044 - 0.03823 = 0.00577

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.03823 - = 0.03823

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.03823 / 0.00577 = 6.6256

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -15.093% (0.0058)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.727% 0.1R -3.066% 0.2R 0.2× 12
2h +0.727% 0.1R -3.984% 0.3R 0.2× 24
3h ★ +0.727% 0.1R -4.230% 0.3R 0.2× 36
4h +0.727% 0.1R -4.230% 0.3R 0.2× 48
8h +2.762% 0.2R -4.230% 0.3R 0.7× 96
12h +7.774% 0.5R -4.230% 0.3R 1.8× 144

computed 6 days ago

Commentaires

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