10 Aug 2026 at 23:10:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ACE (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 817.31 ACE at 0.116$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1136 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1263 (8.41 %)

ACE SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 10 Aug 2026 23:10 → 01:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.1165$

Qty 817.3106 ACE

Size 95.2167$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1136 (+2.49%)

TP $ 2.37$

SL 0.1263 (-8.41%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.3

Status win PnL +2.49% / +2.37$ MAE -0.60% MFE +9.96% 1.2R expires 11 Aug 05:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 65295)
#48 / 50 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5394

Quality Score
0.394
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 23:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#48 / 50 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-4 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.41 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#48 / 50 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-4 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.41 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.74×ATR
4h near -1.61×ATR
1d clear 3.00×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1)

10/08 23:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

10/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

10/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : range_high (0)

10/08 22:00

Score : -5 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.3944
Score SMA
0.4197
Rank
#48 / 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5394
Rank Norm SMA
0.1983
Calculé le
10/08/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3432 r1h: -1.533% · r4h: -4.384% · r1d: -2.69% · r3d: 8.85% · ema21_slope: -0.0135% · dist_ema21: -2.746%
Force Relative 25% 0.4162 rs_1h: -1.511% · rs_4h: -4.424% · rs_1d: -1.08% · rs_3d: 10.18% · beta_24h: -0.799
Volume 20% 0.1273 rvol_20: 0.30× · zscore_50: -1.293 · trend: -39.88%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5523 ADX: 25.2 (trend) · Chop: 57.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.7905 ATR%: 3.628% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.412% (0.0098)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.888% 0.2R -0.601% 0.1R 3.1× 12
2h +1.888% 0.2R -0.601% 0.1R 3.1× 24
4h +9.957% 1.2R -0.601% 0.1R 16.6× 48
6h ★ +9.957% 1.2R -0.601% 0.1R 16.6× 72
8h +9.957% 1.2R -0.601% 0.1R 16.6× 96
12h +9.957% 1.2R -0.601% 0.1R 16.6× 144

computed 6 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.98
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate fading expansion bull_high_confirmed
66%
noisy_chop 39% mid near -0.5ATR 0.31 bear_high -4.25% +1.00 10/08 20:00
4h ↑ up range range strong grind compression bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 38% mid near -1.6ATR 0.04 range_medium -0.40% +0.41 10/08 20:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading normal range_high
42%
noisy_chop 43% mid near -0.7ATR -0.05 bear_low -0.95% +0.43 10/08 22:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_high
46%
noisy_chop 39% mid near 0.0ATR -0.01 range_low -0.59% -0.32 10/08 22:30
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 12b 3.079×ATR p24 +1.384×ATR p75
4h ↓ down mid 14b 4.111×ATR p71 -0.195×ATR p14
1h ↓ down mid 2b 2.909×ATR p60 -0.914×ATR p54
15m ↑ up mid 6b 0×ATR p0 -1.314×ATR p69

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.1262882
  2. tp_price: 0.1135875
  3. atr: 0.00391528
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-11T09:10:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 49
  2. total: 51
  3. score: 0.3432
  4. delta_2h: -0.3909
  5. extension_atr: -0.56
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5394
  9. confidence: 0.96

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 23:10 0.11650000 0%
2 00:10 0.11570000 -0.687%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1165 0.1263 0.1136 0.3 0.2315
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1165
  • Stop Loss: 0.1263
  • Take Profit: 0.1136

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1263 - 0.1165 = 0.0098

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1165 - 0.1136 = 0.0029

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0029 / 0.0098 = 0.2959

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
95.2167 95.2167 817.3106 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0098

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0098 = 816.33

Taille de position USD = 816.33 x 0.1165 = 95.1

Donc, tu peux acheter 816.33 avec un stoploss a 0.1263

Avec un position size USD de 95.1$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 816.33 x 0.0098 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 816.33 x 0.0029 = 2.37

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.37$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 816.33
  • Taille de position USD 95.1
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.37
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2959

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 2.37 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.41 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
2.37 $ 2.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6009 % 7.14 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1165 0.1263 0.1136 0.3 0.2315
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1165
  • Stop Loss: 0.1263
  • Take Profit: 0.1136

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1263 - 0.1165 = 0.0098

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1165 - 0.1136 = 0.0029

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0029 / 0.0098 = 0.2959

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.412% (0.0098)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.888% 0.2R -0.601% 0.1R 3.1× 12
2h +1.888% 0.2R -0.601% 0.1R 3.1× 24
4h +9.957% 1.2R -0.601% 0.1R 16.6× 48
6h ★ +9.957% 1.2R -0.601% 0.1R 16.6× 72
8h +9.957% 1.2R -0.601% 0.1R 16.6× 96
12h +9.957% 1.2R -0.601% 0.1R 16.6× 144

computed 6 days ago

Commentaires

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