Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 26967.81 XPL at 0.0796$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08015 (0.74 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07926 (0.38 %)
Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 26967.81 XPL at 0.0796$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08015 (0.74 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07926 (0.38 %)
Position
Entry 0.07956$
Qty 26967.8072 XPL
Size 2145.5318$ (margin 100$) (leverage 21)
Risk Setup
TP 0.08015 (+0.74%)
TP $ 15.91$
SL 0.07926 (-0.38%)
SL $ 8.09$
RR 1.97
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7111
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.89×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.20×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.68×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 11/08 02:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.247368 15m : 0.235605 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 11/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 11/08 01:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5284 | r1h: -0.228% · r4h: -0.213% · r1d: 0.60% · r3d: 5.95% · ema21_slope: 0.0394% · dist_ema21: 0.864% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5752 | rs_1h: -0.253% · rs_4h: -0.195% · rs_1d: 2.25% · rs_3d: 7.40% · beta_24h: 1.235 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1991 | rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.508 · trend: -25.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5593 | ADX: 20.0 (weak) · Chop: 51.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.209% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.610% | 1.6R | -0.444% | 1.2R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.610% | 1.6R | -0.665% | 1.8R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.610% | 1.6R | -1.298% | 3.4R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.610% | 1.6R | -1.962% | 5.2R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.610% | 1.6R | -5.519% | 14.6R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -4.25% | -0.41 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.40 | range_medium | -0.43% | +0.58 | 11/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.41 | bear_low | -0.90% | +0.24 | 11/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.39 | range_low | -0.46% | +0.01 | 11/08 01:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 38b | — | 7.485×ATR | p90 | -0.166×ATR | p8 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 0.552×ATR | p0 | +0.992×ATR | p62 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 2.842×ATR | p57 | +0.701×ATR | p45 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 2.538×ATR | p50 | -0.067×ATR | p4 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64025.1
-0.000705378
63980
0.247368
64319.9
-0.00528544
63980
0.235605
64605.5
-0.00959046
63986
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0.077206
193
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0.2398
0.4575
1
0.4117
0.5151
0.4838
0.3735
0.427
0.8887
0.1286
0.0809
1
0.7085
1.5365
0.7
0.3
-1
6
1
0.5205
0.3341
2.7228
0.6
1.5103
2.632
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0.4838
0.335
0.44
-0.1357
0.4861
0.4302
0
0.8887
-1.0742
8.5805
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:04 | 0.07955900 | -0.001% |
| 2 | 02:51 | 0.07950100 | -0.074% |
| 3 | 02:57 | 0.07920700 | -0.444% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 02:20:00 | 0.080752 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 02:50:00 | 0.080746 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 03:00:00 | 0.080233 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 03:35:00 | 0.080941 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 04:10:00 | 0.079791 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 04:40:00 | 0.079827 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 04:55:00 | 0.080388 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 05:20:00 | 0.079796 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 05:35:00 | 0.08036 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 06:00:00 | 0.079526 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 12:15:00 | 0.079958 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 12:45:00 | 0.078607 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 14:15:00 | 0.080026 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 15:00:00 | 0.078174 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 15:45:00 | 0.08026 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 16:45:00 | 0.078308 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 23:00:00 | 0.077206 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 03:30:00 | 0.080941 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 04:00:00 | 0.079791 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 06:00:00 | 0.079526 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 0.076753 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 02:00:00 | 0.075211 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 15:00:00 | 0.077499 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 0.075535 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:00:00 | 0.079414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 0.076149 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 08:00:00 | 0.080949 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 15:00:00 | 0.08026 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 23:00:00 | 0.077206 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 03:00:00 | 0.080941 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07956 | 0.07926 | 0.08015 | 1.97 | 0.07558 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07926 - 0.07956 = -0.00030000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07956 - 0.08015 = -0.00058999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00058999999999999 / -0.00030000000000001 = 1.9667
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2145.5318 | 100 | 26967.8072 | 21.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00030000000000001 = -26666.67
Taille de position USD = -26666.67 x 0.07956 = -2121.6
Donc, tu peux acheter -26666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.07926
Avec un position size USD de -2121.6$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -26666.67 x -0.00030000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -26666.67 x -0.00058999999999999 = 15.73
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.73$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.74 % | 15.91 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.38 % | 8.09 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.09 $ | -0.38 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4437 % | 117.66 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07956 | 0.07926 | 0.08015 | 1.97 | 0.07558 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07926 - 0.07956 = -0.00030000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07956 - 0.08015 = -0.00058999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00058999999999999 / -0.00030000000000001 = 1.9667
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.610% | 1.6R | -0.444% | 1.2R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.610% | 1.6R | -0.665% | 1.8R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.610% | 1.6R | -1.298% | 3.4R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.610% | 1.6R | -1.962% | 5.2R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.610% | 1.6R | -5.519% | 14.6R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
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