Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 45215.62 PUMP at 0.00282$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002887 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.00264 (6.28 %)
11 Aug 2026 at 04:10:03
hyperliquid
PUMP
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
11 Aug 2026 04:10
→ 10:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.002817$
Qty 45215.622 PUMP
Size 127.3724$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002887 (+2.48%)
TP $ 3.17$
SL 0.00264 (-6.28%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.4
Status
loss
PnL
-3.27%
/ -4.16$
MAE -4.83%
MFE +0.64%
0.1R
expires
11 Aug 10:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 65561)
#2 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 11/08/2026 04:00
score du 11/08/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8680
Quality Score
0.648
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
58.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
11/08 04:02
11/08 04:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#2 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.28 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#2 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.28 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.21×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 11/08 04:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 11/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 11/08 03:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.6478
Score SMA
0.6486
Rank
#2
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8680
Rank Norm SMA
0.8772
Calculé le
11/08/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7198 | r1h: -1.110% · r4h: 0.813% · r1d: 3.30% · r3d: 24.81% · ema21_slope: 0.1722% · dist_ema21: 1.889% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6546 | rs_1h: -1.264% · rs_4h: 0.930% · rs_1d: 5.03% · rs_3d: 26.16% · beta_24h: 0.751 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3787 | rvol_20: 0.96× · zscore_50: -0.135 · trend: 35.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6165 | ADX: 31.7 (trend) · Chop: 56.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.541% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.283%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.639% | 0.1R | -1.172% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.639% | 0.1R | -2.378% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.639% | 0.1R | -3.230% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.639% | 0.1R | -4.828% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.639% | 0.1R | -4.828% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.639% | 0.1R | -5.218% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.31
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.57 | bear_high | -4.08% | +1.00 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
71%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.43 | range_medium | -0.54% | +0.99 | 11/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | 0.24 | bear_low | -0.82% | +0.55 | 11/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.18 | range_low | -0.34% | +0.12 | 11/08 03:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 28b | — | 7.503×ATR | p89 | +2.883×ATR | p99 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 20b | — | 5.715×ATR | p83 | +1.905×ATR | p84 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.897×ATR | p30 | +0.946×ATR | p47 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 2.93×ATR | p56 | +0.006×ATR | p1 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002817 | 0.00264 | 0.002887 | 0.4 | 0.003184 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002817
- Stop Loss: 0.00264
- Take Profit: 0.002887
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.00264 - 0.002817 = -0.000177
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002817 - 0.002887 = -7.0E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.0E-5 / -0.000177 = 0.3955
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 127.3724 | 100 | 45215.622 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.000177
Taille de position = 8 / -0.000177 = -45197.74
Taille de position USD = -45197.74 x 0.002817 = -127.32
Donc, tu peux acheter -45197.74 avec un stoploss a 0.00264
Avec un position size USD de -127.32$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -45197.74 x -0.000177 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -45197.74 x -7.0E-5 = 3.16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.16$
Résumé
- Taille de position -45197.74
- Taille de position USD -127.32
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.16
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3955
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.48 % | 3.17 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.28 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.16 $ | -3.27 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.8278 % | 76.84 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002817 | 0.00264 | 0.002887 | 0.4 | 0.003184 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002817
- Stop Loss: 0.00264
- Take Profit: 0.002887
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.00264 - 0.002817 = -0.000177
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002817 - 0.002887 = -7.0E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.0E-5 / -0.000177 = 0.3955
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.283%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.639% | 0.1R | -1.172% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.639% | 0.1R | -2.378% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.639% | 0.1R | -3.230% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.639% | 0.1R | -4.828% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.639% | 0.1R | -4.828% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.639% | 0.1R | -5.218% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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