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Short Trade on NIL

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11 Aug 2026 at 05:10:03 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_score)

With 1481.6 NIL at 0.0373$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0427 (14.48 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 11 Aug 2026 05:10 → 08:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.0373$

Qty 1481.6022 NIL

Size 55.2638$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 55.26$

SL 0.0427 (-14.48%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status win PnL +1.61% / +0.89$ MAE -3.83% MFE +2.07% 0.1R expires 11 Aug 08:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 65610)
#50 / 50 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 11/08/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0129

Quality Score
0.281
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
11/08 05:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#50 / 50 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
14.48 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#50 / 50 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
14.48 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.09×ATR
4h clear 1.13×ATR
1d clear 2.20×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

11/08 05:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

10/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

11/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

11/08 04:00

Score : +2 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.2805
Score SMA
0.4988
Rank
#50 / 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0129
Rank Norm SMA
0.3481
Calculé le
11/08/2026 05:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2854 r1h: -3.054% · r4h: -2.870% · r1d: -16.50% · r3d: 7.47% · ema21_slope: -0.3503% · dist_ema21: -5.164%
Force Relative 25% 0.2608 rs_1h: -3.133% · rs_4h: -3.001% · rs_1d: -14.78% · rs_3d: 8.80% · beta_24h: 0.859
Volume 20% 0.1712 rvol_20: 0.55× · zscore_50: -0.563 · trend: -50.33%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.2754 ADX: 14.2 (weak) · Chop: 80.5 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.5417 ATR%: 4.375% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -14.477% (0.0054)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.265% 0.0R -3.413% 0.2R 0.1× 12
2h +0.265% 0.0R -3.826% 0.3R 0.1× 24
3h ★ +2.072% 0.1R -3.826% 0.3R 0.5× 36
4h +2.662% 0.2R -3.826% 0.3R 0.7× 48
8h +5.475% 0.4R -3.826% 0.3R 1.4× 96
12h +5.882% 0.4R -3.826% 0.3R 1.5× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.68
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 41% early — near 0.1ATR 0.34 bear_high -4.08% +0.68 10/08 20:00
4h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 43% mid — — 0.36 range_medium -0.36% +0.55 11/08 04:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 45% late — — 0.05 range_low -0.74% -0.96 11/08 04:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading expansion_after_compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 45% mid near 0.2ATR — — range_low -0.25% -0.34 11/08 04:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 10b — 2.304×ATR p0 +0.542×ATR p37
4h ↓ down mid 5b — 3.629×ATR p55 -0.087×ATR p5
1h ↓ down late 19b — 7.478×ATR p92 -1.766×ATR p72
15m ↓ down mid 3b — 2.917×ATR p42 -2.102×ATR p72

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.04269956
  2. atr: 0.00179985
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-11T12:10:03+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 52
  2. total: 52
  3. score: 0.2854
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.0373 0.0427 0.04256
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.0373
  • Stop Loss: 0.0427
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0427 - 0.0373 = 0.0054

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.0373 - = 0.0373

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0373 / 0.0054 = 6.9074

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
55.2638 55.2638 1481.6022 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0054

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0054 = 1481.48

Taille de position USD = 1481.48 x 0.0373 = 55.26

Donc, tu peux acheter 1481.48 avec un stoploss a 0.0427

Avec un position size USD de 55.26$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1481.48 x 0.0054 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1481.48 x 0.0373 = 55.26

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 55.26$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1481.48
  • Taille de position USD 55.26
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 55.26
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 6.9074

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 55.26 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
14.48 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
0.89 $ 1.61
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.8257 % 26.43 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.0373 0.0427 0.04256
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.0373
  • Stop Loss: 0.0427
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0427 - 0.0373 = 0.0054

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.0373 - = 0.0373

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0373 / 0.0054 = 6.9074

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -14.477% (0.0054)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.265% 0.0R -3.413% 0.2R 0.1× 12
2h +0.265% 0.0R -3.826% 0.3R 0.1× 24
3h ★ +2.072% 0.1R -3.826% 0.3R 0.5× 36
4h +2.662% 0.2R -3.826% 0.3R 0.7× 48
8h +5.475% 0.4R -3.826% 0.3R 1.4× 96
12h +5.882% 0.4R -3.826% 0.3R 1.5× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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