Short Trade on ONDO (BosPullback)
With 2340.63 ONDO at 0.339$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3308 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3428 (1.03 %)
Short Trade on ONDO (BosPullback)
With 2340.63 ONDO at 0.339$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3308 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3428 (1.03 %)
Position
Entry 0.3393$
Qty 2340.6322 ONDO
Size 794.2935$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3308 (+2.51%)
TP $ 19.9$
SL 0.3428 (-1.03%)
SL $ 8.19$
RR 2.43
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2025
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.21×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.52×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 11/08 05:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 11/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 11/08 05:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4175 | r1h: 0.445% · r4h: -0.124% · r1d: -3.70% · r3d: -4.20% · ema21_slope: -0.1502% · dist_ema21: -0.994% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4613 | rs_1h: 0.365% · rs_4h: -0.255% · rs_1d: -1.98% · rs_3d: -2.86% · beta_24h: 0.550 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2122 | rvol_20: 0.67× · zscore_50: -0.237 · trend: -48.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6265 | ADX: 31.7 (trend) · Chop: 55.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.832% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.501% | 0.5R | -0.283% | 0.3R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.501% | 0.5R | -0.442% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.244% | 1.2R | -0.442% | 0.4R | 2.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.476% | 2.4R | -0.442% | 0.4R | 5.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.476% | 2.4R | -0.442% | 0.4R | 5.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.476% | 2.4R | -0.442% | 0.4R | 5.6× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.63 | bear_high | -4.08% | -0.93 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.54 | range_medium | -0.26% | -0.26 | 11/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.55 | range_low | -0.70% | -0.28 | 11/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_low |
47%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near -0.7ATR | — | range_low | -0.08% | +0.00 | 11/08 05:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 4.421×ATR | p67 | -1.384×ATR | p72 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 3.295×ATR | p43 | -1.633×ATR | p84 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 1.574×ATR | p8 | -1.319×ATR | p66 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.699×ATR | p45 | +0.826×ATR | p43 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.34255
142
0.2427
0.6291
0.3703
0.2097
0.5017
0.5167
0.486
0.5513
0.2903
0.2233
0.6115
0.0923
-0.1599
-0.1285
0
-0.8784
-2.5412
0.4
0.6
-1
9
1
0.5806
0.6017
3.7072
0.6
0.5167
1.9155
-2.5412
0.4914
0.2682
0.24
-0.1811
0.4064
0.3724
0.9233
0.0923
-12.9227
1.3138
1
0
1
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0.33604
0.34255
0.34255
0.33604
0.34864
0.34224
0.34544
0.805
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:38 | 0.33935000 | +0.015% |
| 2 | 05:44 | 0.33935000 | +0.015% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3393 | 0.3428 | 0.3308 | 2.43 | 0.3479 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3428 - 0.3393 = 0.0035
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3393 - 0.3308 = 0.0085
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0085 / 0.0035 = 2.4286
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 794.2935 | 100 | 2340.6322 | 8.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0035 = 2285.71
Taille de position USD = 2285.71 x 0.3393 = 775.54
Donc, tu peux acheter 2285.71 avec un stoploss a 0.3428
Avec un position size USD de 775.54$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2285.71 x 0.0035 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2285.71 x 0.0085 = 19.43
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.43$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 19.9 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.03 % | 8.19 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 19.9 $ | 2.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4421 % | 42.86 % | 17 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3393 | 0.3428 | 0.3308 | 2.43 | 0.3479 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3428 - 0.3393 = 0.0035
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3393 - 0.3308 = 0.0085
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0085 / 0.0035 = 2.4286
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.501% | 0.5R | -0.283% | 0.3R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.501% | 0.5R | -0.442% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.244% | 1.2R | -0.442% | 0.4R | 2.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.476% | 2.4R | -0.442% | 0.4R | 5.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.476% | 2.4R | -0.442% | 0.4R | 5.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.476% | 2.4R | -0.442% | 0.4R | 5.6× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
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