Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 28799.77 XPL at 0.0786$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07914 (0.71 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0783 (0.36 %)
Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 28799.77 XPL at 0.0786$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07914 (0.71 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0783 (0.36 %)
Position
Entry 0.07858$
Qty 28799.7696 XPL
Size 2263.1435$ (margin 100$) (leverage 23)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07914 (+0.71%)
TP $ 16.13$
SL 0.0783 (-0.36%)
SL $ 8.06$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6887
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.07×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.81×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.35×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 11/08 06:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.347527 15m : 0.246429 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 11/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 11/08 05:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5274 | r1h: 0.011% · r4h: -0.901% · r1d: 0.05% · r3d: 4.66% · ema21_slope: 0.0624% · dist_ema21: -0.131% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5286 | rs_1h: -0.166% · rs_4h: -1.295% · rs_1d: 1.15% · rs_3d: 5.78% · beta_24h: 0.915 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1592 | rvol_20: 0.16× · zscore_50: -1.067 · trend: -27.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5405 | ADX: 16.3 (weak) · Chop: 50.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.150% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.536% | 1.5R | -0.564% | 1.6R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.658% | 1.9R | -0.564% | 1.6R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.658% | 1.9R | -0.739% | 2.1R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.658% | 1.9R | -4.341% | 12.2R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.933% | 2.6R | -4.341% | 12.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -4.08% | -0.31 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
44%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.40 | range_medium | -0.26% | +0.49 | 11/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.2ATR | near -0.1ATR | 0.37 | range_low | -0.52% | +0.06 | 11/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | normal | range_medium |
38%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.02% | -0.16 | 11/08 05:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 38b | — | 7.072×ATR | p85 | +0.058×ATR | p3 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.172×ATR | p0 | +0.38×ATR | p28 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.963×ATR | p28 | -0.122×ATR | p8 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 0.764×ATR | p3 | -0.879×ATR | p44 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64069.9
0.00335721
64285
0.347527
64264
0.000326669
64285
0.246429
64576.2
-0.00455726
64282
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 26
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0.080941
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0.0878
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0.6667
-0.6214
0.1352
0.75
0.25
1
7
1
0.5026
0.6562
3.7038
0.6
1.3037
3.5497
0.1352
0.0155
0.2791
0.26
-0.2625
0.4444
0.4053
0.5945
0.731
-2.9294
7.9588
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 05:35:00 | 0.08036 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 06:00:00 | 0.079526 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 06:35:00 | 0.080045 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 06:50:00 | 0.079207 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 08:00:00 | 0.079432 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 08:35:00 | 0.078657 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 08:55:00 | 0.079284 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 09:15:00 | 0.078527 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 09:45:00 | 0.079164 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 10:05:00 | 0.078547 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 12:15:00 | 0.079958 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 12:45:00 | 0.078607 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 14:15:00 | 0.080026 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 15:00:00 | 0.078174 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 15:45:00 | 0.08026 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 16:45:00 | 0.078308 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 23:00:00 | 0.077206 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 03:30:00 | 0.080941 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 04:00:00 | 0.079791 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 09:15:00 | 0.078527 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 02:00:00 | 0.075211 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 15:00:00 | 0.077499 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 0.075535 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:00:00 | 0.079414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 0.076149 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 08:00:00 | 0.080949 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 15:00:00 | 0.08026 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 23:00:00 | 0.077206 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 03:00:00 | 0.080941 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 09:00:00 | 0.078527 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07858 | 0.0783 | 0.07914 | 2 | 0.08213 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0783 - 0.07858 = -0.00028
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07858 - 0.07914 = -0.00056
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00056 / -0.00028 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2263.1435 | 100 | 28799.7696 | 23.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00028 = -28571.43
Taille de position USD = -28571.43 x 0.07858 = -2245.14
Donc, tu peux acheter -28571.43 avec un stoploss a 0.0783
Avec un position size USD de -2245.14$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -28571.43 x -0.00028 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -28571.43 x -0.00056 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.71 % | 16.13 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.36 % | 8.06 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.06 $ | -0.36 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5638 % | 158.24 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07858 | 0.0783 | 0.07914 | 2 | 0.08213 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0783 - 0.07858 = -0.00028
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07858 - 0.07914 = -0.00056
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00056 / -0.00028 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.536% | 1.5R | -0.564% | 1.6R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.658% | 1.9R | -0.564% | 1.6R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.658% | 1.9R | -0.739% | 2.1R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.658% | 1.9R | -4.341% | 12.2R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.933% | 2.6R | -4.341% | 12.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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