Short Trade on CC (BosPullback)
With 3298.55 CC at 0.0939$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08788 (6.46 %) & Stop Loss: 0.09637 (2.58 %)
Short Trade on CC (BosPullback)
With 3298.55 CC at 0.0939$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08788 (6.46 %) & Stop Loss: 0.09637 (2.58 %)
Position
Entry 0.09395$
Qty 3298.5474 CC
Size 309.8919$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.08788 (+6.46%)
TP $ 20.02$
SL 0.09637 (-2.58%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.51
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3306
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.19×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.84×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.34×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 11/08 06:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 11/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 11/08 05:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4333 | r1h: -0.288% · r4h: 0.819% · r1d: -4.01% · r3d: 3.69% · ema21_slope: -0.1581% · dist_ema21: -1.710% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4932 | rs_1h: -0.466% · rs_4h: 0.425% · rs_1d: -2.91% · rs_3d: 4.81% · beta_24h: 0.748 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3046 | rvol_20: 0.78× · zscore_50: -0.008 · trend: -5.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5879 | ADX: 15.0 (weak) · Chop: 42.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.527% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.665% | 0.3R | -0.797% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.665% | 0.3R | -1.841% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.665% | 0.3R | -2.826% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.665% | 0.3R | -7.323% | 2.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.665% | 0.3R | -7.430% | 2.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | near -1.3ATR | — | — | bear_high | -4.08% | -0.98 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | 0.15 | range_medium | -0.26% | +0.57 | 11/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 51% | early | — | — | 0.03 | range_low | -0.52% | -0.42 | 11/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.18 | range_low | -0.02% | -0.03 | 11/08 05:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 27b | — | 8.987×ATR | p94 | -2.309×ATR | p95 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.56×ATR | p17 | -0.612×ATR | p35 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.081×ATR | p5 | -1.148×ATR | p56 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.437×ATR | p31 | -0.303×ATR | p16 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.096241
147
0.3019
0.7679
0.4612
0.313
0.5825
0.4917
0.4551
0.5842
0.4071
0.2139
0.6742
0.4458
-0.147
-0.079
0
-1.4528
-2.1009
0.7
0.3
-1
4
1
0.374
0.6635
4.7337
0.8
0.4917
2.3276
-2.1009
0.5596
0.1898
0.12
-0.0872
0.5821
0.3356
0.77
0.4458
-7.0072
5.6362
1
0
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0.092979
0.096241
0.096241
0.092979
0.093205
0.092979
0.093092
0.5583
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09395 | 0.09637 | 0.08788 | 2.51 | 0.1038 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.09637 - 0.09395 = 0.00242
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.09395 - 0.08788 = 0.00607
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00607 / 0.00242 = 2.5083
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 309.8919 | 100 | 3298.5474 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00242 = 3305.79
Taille de position USD = 3305.79 x 0.09395 = 310.58
Donc, tu peux acheter 3305.79 avec un stoploss a 0.09637
Avec un position size USD de 310.58$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3305.79 x 0.00242 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3305.79 x 0.00607 = 20.07
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.07$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.46 % | 20.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.58 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.98 $ | -2.58 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.7887 % | 108.27 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09395 | 0.09637 | 0.08788 | 2.51 | 0.1038 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.09637 - 0.09395 = 0.00242
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.09395 - 0.08788 = 0.00607
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00607 / 0.00242 = 2.5083
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.665% | 0.3R | -0.797% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.665% | 0.3R | -1.841% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.665% | 0.3R | -2.826% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.665% | 0.3R | -7.323% | 2.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.665% | 0.3R | -7.430% | 2.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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