Short Trade on kBONK (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 133155.79 kBONK at 0.00235$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002291 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.00241 (2.55 %)
11 Aug 2026 at 07:10:04
hyperliquid
kBONK
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
11 Aug 2026 07:10
→ 10:55
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 0.00235$
Qty 133155.7923 kBONK
Size 312.9161$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002291 (+2.51%)
TP $ 7.86$
SL 0.00241 (-2.55%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.98
Status
win
PnL
+2.51%
/ +7.86$
MAE -0.26%
MFE +2.98%
1.2R
expires
11 Aug 13:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 65691)
#44 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 11/08/2026 07:00
score du 11/08/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3161
Quality Score
0.443
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
11/08 07:01
11/08 07:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#44 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#44 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 11/08 07:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 11/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 11/08 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4427
Score SMA
0.4764
Rank
#44
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3161
Rank Norm SMA
0.1749
Calculé le
11/08/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3435 | r1h: -0.426% · r4h: -1.432% · r1d: -5.07% · r3d: -7.29% · ema21_slope: -0.1734% · dist_ema21: -2.591% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3442 | rs_1h: -0.380% · rs_4h: -1.894% · rs_1d: -3.93% · rs_3d: -6.16% · beta_24h: -0.380 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1926 | rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.652 · trend: -22.93% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7675 | ADX: 32.1 (trend) · Chop: 37.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.072% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.553%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.979% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.021% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +2.596% | 1.0R | -0.255% | 0.1R | 10.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.979% | 1.2R | -0.255% | 0.1R | 11.7× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.319% | 1.3R | -0.255% | 0.1R | 13.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.319% | 1.3R | -0.255% | 0.1R | 13.0× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.47
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -4.25% | -0.94 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.47 | range_medium | -0.06% | -0.42 | 11/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.28 | range_low | -0.48% | -0.38 | 11/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.01% | -0.26 | 11/08 06:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 38b | — | 14.31×ATR | p100 | -2.647×ATR | p95 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 18b | — | 3.767×ATR | p56 | -2.248×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -2.407×ATR | p92 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 1.488×ATR | p0 | -1.661×ATR | p78 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.00241008
- tp_price: 0.00229125
- atr: 2.403E-5
- expires_at: 2026-08-11T17:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 48
- total: 50
- score: 0.3435
- delta_2h: -0.012
- extension_atr: -1.88
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3161
- confidence: 0.959
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00235 | 0.00241 | 0.002291 | 0.98 | 0.002638 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.00235
- Stop Loss: 0.00241
- Take Profit: 0.002291
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.00241 - 0.00235 = 6.0E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.00235 - 0.002291 = 5.9E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.9E-5 / 6.0E-5 = 0.9833
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 312.9161 | 100 | 133155.7923 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 6.0E-5
Taille de position = 8 / 6.0E-5 = 133333.33
Taille de position USD = 133333.33 x 0.00235 = 313.33
Donc, tu peux acheter 133333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.00241
Avec un position size USD de 313.33$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 133333.33 x 6.0E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 133333.33 x 5.9E-5 = 7.87
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.87$
Résumé
- Taille de position 133333.33
- Taille de position USD 313.33
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 7.87
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9833
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 7.86 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.55 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 7.86 $ | 2.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2553 % | 10 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00235 | 0.00241 | 0.002291 | 0.98 | 0.002638 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.00235
- Stop Loss: 0.00241
- Take Profit: 0.002291
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.00241 - 0.00235 = 6.0E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.00235 - 0.002291 = 5.9E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.9E-5 / 6.0E-5 = 0.9833
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.553%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.979% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.021% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +2.596% | 1.0R | -0.255% | 0.1R | 10.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.979% | 1.2R | -0.255% | 0.1R | 11.7× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.319% | 1.3R | -0.255% | 0.1R | 13.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.319% | 1.3R | -0.255% | 0.1R | 13.0× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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