Short Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 2.99 ETH at 1893.6$ per unit. Take profit: 1888.2521 (0.28 %) & Stop Loss: 1896.2739 (0.14 %)
Short Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 2.99 ETH at 1893.6$ per unit. Take profit: 1888.2521 (0.28 %) & Stop Loss: 1896.2739 (0.14 %)
Position
Entry 1893.6$
Qty 2.9918 ETH
Size 5665.3353$ (margin 100$) (leverage 57)
Risk Setup
TP 1888.2521 (+0.28%)
TP $ 16$
SL 1896.2739 (-0.14%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4072
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.51×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.00×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.85×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 11/08 07:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.873013 15m : 0.682177 |
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 11/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 11/08 07:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4800 | r1h: 0.058% · r4h: 0.651% · r1d: -1.64% · r3d: -1.81% · ema21_slope: -0.0447% · dist_ema21: 0.131% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4963 | rs_1h: 0.104% · rs_4h: 0.190% · rs_1d: -0.50% · rs_3d: -0.68% · beta_24h: 1.041 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3974 | rvol_20: 1.06× · zscore_50: 0.313 · trend: 14.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5276 | ADX: 31.3 (trend) · Chop: 67.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.371% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.375% | 2.7R | -0.164% | 1.2R | 2.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.576% | 4.1R | -0.164% | 1.2R | 3.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.160% | 15.3R | -0.164% | 1.2R | 13.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.160% | 15.3R | -0.164% | 1.2R | 13.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.160% | 15.3R | -0.164% | 1.2R | 13.2× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 31% | late | — | — | 0.91 | bear_high | -4.08% | +0.00 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.88 | range_medium | -0.06% | -0.06 | 11/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.83 | range_low | -0.37% | +0.08 | 11/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion_after_compression | range_low |
43%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.09% | +0.04 | 11/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 46b | — | 6.902×ATR | p85 | -0.169×ATR | p8 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 23b | — | 3.336×ATR | p43 | -0.784×ATR | p47 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.939×ATR | p57 | +1.276×ATR | p76 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 2.792×ATR | p43 | +2.625×ATR | p92 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64159.3
0.0033139
64372
0.873013
64261
0.00172647
64372
0.682177
64607.8
-0.00453202
64315
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1870.1
195
0.3948
0.6492
0.3403
0.2204
0.4383
0.777
0.4902
0.3859
0.3655
0.24
0.5752
0.3329
0.0119
-0.0709
0.3333
1.1484
-0.4807
0.55
0.45
-1
17
1
0.5591
0.4538
6.2278
0.7
0.777
1.4518
-0.4807
0.9142
0.3299
0.4
-0.4578
0.3635
0.617
0.7376
0.3329
-7.2537
3.6194
1
1
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:00 | 1893.60000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 08:06 | 1893.10000000 | -0.026% |
| 3 | 08:12 | 1894.90000000 | +0.069% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 05:35:00 | 1876 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 06:00:00 | 1871.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 06:30:00 | 1870.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 07:20:00 | 1870.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 07:35:00 | 1878.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 08:10:00 | 1874.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 08:50:00 | 1880.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 10:05:00 | 1888 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 11:10:00 | 1894.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 12:00:00 | 1894 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 12:00:00 | 1922.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 17:00:00 | 1867.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 18:45:00 | 1867 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 20:30:00 | 1880.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 23:30:00 | 1869.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 04:00:00 | 1880.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 05:15:00 | 1870.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 07:15:00 | 1870.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 11:00:00 | 1894.7 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 02:00:00 | 1911.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 14:00:00 | 1925.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 1911.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 1927 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:00:00 | 1937.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 1905.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 07:00:00 | 1929.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 18:00:00 | 1867 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 07:00:00 | 1870.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 11:00:00 | 1894.7 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1893.6 | 1896.2739 | 1888.2521 | 2 | 2327.6 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1896.2739 - 1893.6 = 2.6739
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1893.6 - 1888.2521 = 5.3479
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.3479 / 2.6739 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5665.3353 | 100 | 2.9918 | 57.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 2.6739 = 2.99
Taille de position USD = 2.99 x 1893.6 = 5661.86
Donc, tu peux acheter 2.99 avec un stoploss a 1896.2739
Avec un position size USD de 5661.86$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2.99 x 2.6739 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2.99 x 5.3479 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.28 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.14 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.14 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1637 % | 115.93 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1893.6 | 1896.2739 | 1888.2521 | 2 | 2327.6 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1896.2739 - 1893.6 = 2.6739
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1893.6 - 1888.2521 = 5.3479
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.3479 / 2.6739 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.375% | 2.7R | -0.164% | 1.2R | 2.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.576% | 4.1R | -0.164% | 1.2R | 3.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.160% | 15.3R | -0.164% | 1.2R | 13.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.160% | 15.3R | -0.164% | 1.2R | 13.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.160% | 15.3R | -0.164% | 1.2R | 13.2× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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