Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_score)
With 1613.07 NIL at 0.0367$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04168 (13.51 %)
Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_score)
With 1613.07 NIL at 0.0367$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04168 (13.51 %)
Position
Entry 0.03672$
Qty 1613.0658 NIL
Size 59.2366$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 59.23$
SL 0.04168 (-13.51%)
SL $ 8$
RR
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0130
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.74×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.99×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.20×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 11/08 08:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 11/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 11/08 07:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2293 | r1h: -3.629% · r4h: -4.821% · r1d: -17.52% · r3d: 6.55% · ema21_slope: -0.3798% · dist_ema21: -5.597% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2033 | rs_1h: -3.799% · rs_4h: -5.244% · rs_1d: -16.31% · rs_3d: 7.51% · beta_24h: 1.656 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1493 | rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.785 · trend: -54.58% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3386 | ADX: 12.2 (weak) · Chop: 70.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5708 | ATR%: 4.288% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.125% | 0.1R | -1.038% | 0.1R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.462% | 0.2R | -1.038% | 0.1R | 2.4× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +3.982% | 0.3R | -1.038% | 0.1R | 3.8× | 36 |
| 4h | +3.982% | 0.3R | -1.038% | 0.1R | 3.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.395% | 0.3R | -1.038% | 0.1R | 4.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.779% | 0.4R | -1.038% | 0.1R | 5.6× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.34 | bear_high | -4.08% | +0.68 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.36 | range_medium | +0.02% | +0.46 | 11/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.04 | range_low | -0.37% | -0.78 | 11/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.09% | -0.49 | 11/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 2.304×ATR | p0 | +0.542×ATR | p37 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 3.648×ATR | p55 | -0.168×ATR | p10 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 22b | — | 8.206×ATR | p94 | -1.797×ATR | p72 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 3.178×ATR | p55 | -1.928×ATR | p74 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03672 | 0.04168 | 0.04479 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04168 - 0.03672 = 0.00496
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03672 - = 0.03672
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.03672 / 0.00496 = 7.4032
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59.2366 | 59.2366 | 1613.0658 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00496 = 1612.9
Taille de position USD = 1612.9 x 0.03672 = 59.23
Donc, tu peux acheter 1612.9 avec un stoploss a 0.04168
Avec un position size USD de 59.23$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1612.9 x 0.00496 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1612.9 x 0.03672 = 59.23
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 59.23$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 59.23 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 13.51 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.83 $ | 3.09 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0376 % | 7.68 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03672 | 0.04168 | 0.04479 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04168 - 0.03672 = 0.00496
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03672 - = 0.03672
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.03672 / 0.00496 = 7.4032
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.125% | 0.1R | -1.038% | 0.1R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.462% | 0.2R | -1.038% | 0.1R | 2.4× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +3.982% | 0.3R | -1.038% | 0.1R | 3.8× | 36 |
| 4h | +3.982% | 0.3R | -1.038% | 0.1R | 3.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.395% | 0.3R | -1.038% | 0.1R | 4.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.779% | 0.4R | -1.038% | 0.1R | 5.6× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Aucun commentaire.