Long Trade on BNB (CatchTheWave)
With 5.24 BNB at 608.75$ per unit. Take profit: 611.8024 (0.5 %) & Stop Loss: 607.2238 (0.25 %)
Long Trade on BNB (CatchTheWave)
With 5.24 BNB at 608.75$ per unit. Take profit: 611.8024 (0.5 %) & Stop Loss: 607.2238 (0.25 %)
Position
Entry 608.75$
Qty 5.2418 BNB
Size 3190.9352$ (margin 100$) (leverage 32)
Risk Setup
TP 611.8024 (+0.5%)
TP $ 16$
SL 607.2238 (-0.25%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8013
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.60×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.09×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.90×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 11/08 10:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.50858 15m : 0.447192 |
1H_regime : bull_low_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 11/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 11/08 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5518 | r1h: -0.092% · r4h: 0.751% · r1d: 1.91% · r3d: 2.21% · ema21_slope: 0.0440% · dist_ema21: 1.192% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5863 | rs_1h: 0.140% · rs_4h: 0.950% · rs_1d: 2.52% · rs_3d: 3.50% · beta_24h: 0.606 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8743 | rvol_20: 2.70× · zscore_50: 1.841 · trend: 124.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7616 | ADX: 31.4 (trend) · Chop: 19.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.406% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.138% | 0.6R | -0.578% | 2.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.207% | 0.8R | -0.578% | 2.3R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.304% | 1.2R | -0.578% | 2.3R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.839% | 3.4R | -0.578% | 2.3R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.873% | 7.5R | -0.578% | 2.3R | 3.2× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -1.9ATR | 0.83 | bear_high | -3.51% | +0.74 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.81 | range_medium | -0.29% | +0.38 | 11/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_low_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.55 | bear_low | -0.92% | +0.16 | 11/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_low |
53%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.48% | +0.12 | 11/08 10:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 18b | — | 4.194×ATR | p42 | +1.657×ATR | p83 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 2.718×ATR | p26 | +1.753×ATR | p92 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 1.732×ATR | p8 | +2.364×ATR | p88 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 3.017×ATR | p54 | +0.46×ATR | p26 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64136.9
-0.00603245
63750
0.50858
64198.7
-0.00440501
63916
0.447192
64636.9
-0.0108437
63936
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614.88
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0.9474
0.5925
0.8004
6.9671
0.55
5.0854
8.6511
2.7374
0
0.3348
0.86
0.073
0.4711
0.5303
0.416
0.858
-1.5583
9.4159
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:54 | 608.75000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:00 | 606.75000000 | -0.329% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 08:50:00 | 604.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 09:25:00 | 607.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 10:00:00 | 607.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 10:50:00 | 608.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 11:15:00 | 606.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 12:10:00 | 614.88 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 13:10:00 | 613.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 13:35:00 | 609.94 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 14:45:00 | 611.35 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 14:50:00 | 608.66 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 23:30:00 | 598.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 01:00:00 | 600.61 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 02:30:00 | 599.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 03:15:00 | 600.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 05:00:00 | 599.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 06:00:00 | 600.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 07:00:00 | 598.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 11:15:00 | 606.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 12:00:00 | 614.88 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 14:30:00 | 609.7 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 22:00:00 | 598.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 604.44 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 14:00:00 | 611.46 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:00:00 | 610.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 04:00:00 | 601.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 10:00:00 | 606.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 17:00:00 | 597.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 23:00:00 | 598.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 07:00:00 | 598.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 12:00:00 | 614.88 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 608.75 | 607.2238 | 611.8024 | 2 | 716.27 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 607.2238 - 608.75 = -1.5262
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 608.75 - 611.8024 = -3.0524
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.0524 / -1.5262 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3190.9352 | 100 | 5.2418 | 32.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.5262 = -5.24
Taille de position USD = -5.24 x 608.75 = -3189.85
Donc, tu peux acheter -5.24 avec un stoploss a 607.2238
Avec un position size USD de -3189.85$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5.24 x -1.5262 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5.24 x -3.0524 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.5 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.25 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.25 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4337 % | 173 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 608.75 | 607.2238 | 611.8024 | 2 | 716.27 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 607.2238 - 608.75 = -1.5262
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 608.75 - 611.8024 = -3.0524
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.0524 / -1.5262 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.138% | 0.6R | -0.578% | 2.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.207% | 0.8R | -0.578% | 2.3R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.304% | 1.2R | -0.578% | 2.3R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.839% | 3.4R | -0.578% | 2.3R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.873% | 7.5R | -0.578% | 2.3R | 3.2× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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