Short Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_score)
With 0.6 ZEC at 475.66$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 488.9135 (2.79 %)
Short Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_score)
With 0.6 ZEC at 475.66$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 488.9135 (2.79 %)
Position
Entry 475.66$
Qty 0.6036 ZEC
Size 287.1161$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 287.12$
SL 488.9135 (-2.79%)
SL $ 8$
RR
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3406
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 4.22×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.95×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.25×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (+1) 11/08 11:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 11/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 11/08 10:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3089 | r1h: -1.371% · r4h: -0.992% · r1d: -4.75% · r3d: -5.19% · ema21_slope: -0.1540% · dist_ema21: -2.459% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3713 | rs_1h: -1.010% · rs_4h: -0.572% · rs_1d: -3.72% · rs_3d: -3.40% · beta_24h: 1.091 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9715 | rvol_20: 4.02× · zscore_50: 3.812 · trend: 78.62% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8069 | ADX: 43.2 (trend) · Chop: 44.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.898% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.278% | 0.5R | -0.015% | 0.0R | 87.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.863% | 0.7R | -0.015% | 0.0R | 126.7× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +1.863% | 0.7R | -0.015% | 0.0R | 126.7× | 36 |
| 4h | +1.863% | 0.7R | -0.015% | 0.0R | 126.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.863% | 0.7R | -1.859% | 0.7R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.863% | 0.7R | -1.884% | 0.7R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.48 | bear_high | -3.51% | -0.27 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.64 | range_medium | -0.29% | -0.33 | 11/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.52 | bear_low | -0.92% | -0.33 | 11/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_medium_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.49 | range_low | -0.45% | -0.10 | 11/08 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 1.419×ATR | p0 | -0.337×ATR | p18 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 5.385×ATR | p91 | -2.061×ATR | p92 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 2.36×ATR | p47 | -2.794×ATR | p98 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 5.196×ATR | p89 | -2.68×ATR | p96 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 475.66 | 488.9135 | 793.87 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 488.9135 - 475.66 = 13.2535
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 475.66 - = 475.66
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 475.66 / 13.2535 = 35.8894
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 287.1161 | 100 | 0.6036 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 13.2535 = 0.6
Taille de position USD = 0.6 x 475.66 = 285.4
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.6 avec un stoploss a 488.9135
Avec un position size USD de 285.4$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.6 x 13.2535 = 7.95
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.95$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.6 x 475.66 = 285.4
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 285.4$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 287.12 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.79 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.2 $ | 0.77 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0147 % | 0.53 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 475.66 | 488.9135 | 793.87 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 488.9135 - 475.66 = 13.2535
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 475.66 - = 475.66
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 475.66 / 13.2535 = 35.8894
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.278% | 0.5R | -0.015% | 0.0R | 87.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.863% | 0.7R | -0.015% | 0.0R | 126.7× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +1.863% | 0.7R | -0.015% | 0.0R | 126.7× | 36 |
| 4h | +1.863% | 0.7R | -0.015% | 0.0R | 126.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.863% | 0.7R | -1.859% | 0.7R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.863% | 0.7R | -1.884% | 0.7R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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