Short Trade on SUI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 588.68 SUI at 0.677$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6432 (5.02 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6908 (2.01 %)
11 Aug 2026 at 11:37:36
hyperliquid
SUI
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
11 Aug 2026 11:37
→ 17:40
· 6 hours
Position
Entry 0.6772$
Qty 588.682 SUI
Size 398.6555$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6432 (+5.02%)
TP $ 20.02$
SL 0.6908 (-2.01%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-2.01%
/ -8.01$
MAE -3.31%
MFE +0.72%
0.4R
expires
11 Aug 23:37
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 65867)
#37 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 11/08/2026 11:00
score du 11/08/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2590
Quality Score
0.471
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
11/08 11:30
11/08 11:30
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#37 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.01 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#37 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.01 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.14×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.35×ATR |
| 1d | near | -3.17×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (+1) 11/08 11:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 11/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 11/08 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4714
Score SMA
0.4889
Rank
#37
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2590
Rank Norm SMA
0.2635
Calculé le
11/08/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4284 | r1h: -0.616% · r4h: -1.050% · r1d: -1.18% · r3d: -2.80% · ema21_slope: -0.0132% · dist_ema21: -0.868% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4661 | rs_1h: -0.255% · rs_4h: -0.629% · rs_1d: -0.14% · rs_3d: -1.01% · beta_24h: 0.929 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3089 | rvol_20: 1.35× · zscore_50: -0.409 · trend: -49.32% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4303 | ADX: 10.6 (weak) · Chop: 57.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.636% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.008%
(0.0136)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.719% | 0.4R | -0.552% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.719% | 0.4R | -0.552% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.719% | 0.4R | -0.704% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.719% | 0.4R | -2.649% | 1.3R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.719% | 0.4R | -3.314% | 1.7R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.719% | 0.4R | -3.314% | 1.7R | 0.2× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.29
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -3.2ATR | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -3.51% | -0.63 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.72 | bear_medium | -0.77% | +0.06 | 11/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.57 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.18% | -0.22 | 11/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_low_confirmed |
32%
|
noisy_chop 53% | late | — | — | 0.65 | range_low | -0.62% | -0.11 | 11/08 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 38b | — | 3.813×ATR | p56 | -0.276×ATR | p17 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 3.119×ATR | p47 | -1.131×ATR | p77 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 4.138×ATR | p86 | -3.021×ATR | p98 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 4.982×ATR | p85 | -2.272×ATR | p96 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8321
- reason: down_bo width=2.66×ATR dur=41b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.69078968
- tp_price: 0.6432258
- atr:
- score: 0.83205887179267
- expires_at: 2026-08-12T03:37:28.721881
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.83205887179267
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0531
- obi_top10 : -0.0452
- micro_price : 0.67283349
- spread_pct : 0.014863
- mid_price : 0.67285
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0463
- obi_top5_std : 0.0379
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6929
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.69664
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.68399
- balance_zone_mid:
0.690315
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786316400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786460400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.665
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
41
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8321
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786456800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.68399
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9512
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.4304
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00474679 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
41
inside_close_ratio
0.9512
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.4304
Signaux confirmants (42)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:37 | 0.67720000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:43 | 0.67720000 | 0% |
| 3 | 12:07 | 0.67809000 | +0.131% |
| 4 | 12:13 | 0.67809000 | +0.131% |
| 5 | 12:19 | 0.67891000 | +0.253% |
| 6 | 12:25 | 0.67891000 | +0.253% |
| 7 | 12:31 | 0.67891000 | +0.253% |
| 8 | 12:37 | 0.67825000 | +0.155% |
| 9 | 12:43 | 0.67825000 | +0.155% |
| 10 | 12:49 | 0.67800000 | +0.118% |
| 11 | 12:55 | 0.67800000 | +0.118% |
| 12 | 13:02 | 0.67800000 | +0.118% |
| 13 | 13:08 | 0.67889000 | +0.25% |
| 14 | 13:13 | 0.67889000 | +0.25% |
| 15 | 13:19 | 0.67826000 | +0.157% |
| 16 | 13:25 | 0.67826000 | +0.157% |
| 17 | 13:31 | 0.67826000 | +0.157% |
| 18 | 13:37 | 0.67920000 | +0.295% |
| 19 | 13:43 | 0.67920000 | +0.295% |
| 20 | 13:49 | 0.68001000 | +0.415% |
| 21 | 13:55 | 0.68001000 | +0.415% |
| 22 | 14:02 | 0.68001000 | +0.415% |
| 23 | 14:07 | 0.67991000 | +0.4% |
| 24 | 14:13 | 0.67991000 | +0.4% |
| 25 | 14:19 | 0.67963000 | +0.359% |
| 26 | 14:25 | 0.67963000 | +0.359% |
| 27 | 14:31 | 0.67963000 | +0.359% |
| 28 | 14:37 | 0.67889000 | +0.25% |
| 29 | 14:43 | 0.67889000 | +0.25% |
| 30 | 14:49 | 0.67865000 | +0.214% |
| 31 | 14:55 | 0.67865000 | +0.214% |
| 32 | 15:02 | 0.67865000 | +0.214% |
| 33 | 15:07 | 0.67937000 | +0.32% |
| 34 | 15:13 | 0.67937000 | +0.32% |
| 35 | 15:19 | 0.67851000 | +0.193% |
| 36 | 15:25 | 0.67851000 | +0.193% |
| 37 | 15:31 | 0.67851000 | +0.193% |
| 38 | 15:37 | 0.68100000 | +0.561% |
| 39 | 15:43 | 0.68100000 | +0.561% |
| 40 | 15:49 | 0.68262000 | +0.8% |
| 41 | 15:55 | 0.68262000 | +0.8% |
| 42 | 16:02 | 0.68262000 | +0.8% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6929ms
Confidence avant OB :
83%
→
83%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.053
avg -0.046
± 0.038
OBI Top 10
-0.045
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.6729
Micro Price
0.6728
Spread
0.0149%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6772 | 0.6908 | 0.6432 | 2.5 | 0.813 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6772
- Stop Loss: 0.6908
- Take Profit: 0.6432
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6908 - 0.6772 = 0.0136
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6772 - 0.6432 = 0.034
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.034 / 0.0136 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 398.6555 | 100 | 588.682 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0136
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0136 = 588.24
Taille de position USD = 588.24 x 0.6772 = 398.36
Donc, tu peux acheter 588.24 avec un stoploss a 0.6908
Avec un position size USD de 398.36$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 588.24 x 0.0136 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 588.24 x 0.034 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 588.24
- Taille de position USD 398.36
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.02 % | 20.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.01 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -2.01 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.1116 % | 105.14 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6772 | 0.6908 | 0.6432 | 2.5 | 0.813 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6772
- Stop Loss: 0.6908
- Take Profit: 0.6432
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6908 - 0.6772 = 0.0136
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6772 - 0.6432 = 0.034
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.034 / 0.0136 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.008%
(0.0136)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.719% | 0.4R | -0.552% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.719% | 0.4R | -0.552% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.719% | 0.4R | -0.704% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.719% | 0.4R | -2.649% | 1.3R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.719% | 0.4R | -3.314% | 1.7R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.719% | 0.4R | -3.314% | 1.7R | 0.2× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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