Long Trade on ICP (CatchTheWave)
With 490.61 ICP at 2.248$ per unit. Take profit: 2.2808 (1.45 %) & Stop Loss: 2.2319 (0.73 %)
Long Trade on ICP (CatchTheWave)
With 490.61 ICP at 2.248$ per unit. Take profit: 2.2808 (1.45 %) & Stop Loss: 2.2319 (0.73 %)
Position
Entry 2.2482$
Qty 490.6148 ICP
Size 1103.0003$ (margin 100$) (leverage 11)
Risk Setup
TP 2.2808 (+1.45%)
TP $ 15.99$
SL 2.2319 (-0.73%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8700
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.53×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.56×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.03×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (-1) 11/08 12:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.076456 15m : -0.008031 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high_confirmed 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 11/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 11/08 11:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5314 | r1h: -2.591% · r4h: -1.110% · r1d: 1.73% · r3d: 6.01% · ema21_slope: 0.0531% · dist_ema21: -1.658% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5162 | rs_1h: -2.246% · rs_4h: 0.188% · rs_1d: 2.89% · rs_3d: 8.36% · beta_24h: -0.603 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7146 | rvol_20: 2.13× · zscore_50: 2.043 · trend: 38.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7552 | ADX: 32.5 (trend) · Chop: 40.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.576% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.992% | 1.4R | -0.298% | 0.4R | 3.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.992% | 1.4R | -0.298% | 0.4R | 3.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.992% | 1.4R | -1.379% | 1.9R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.992% | 1.4R | -1.379% | 1.9R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.992% | 1.4R | -1.379% | 1.9R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.38 | bear_high | -3.51% | +0.54 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.59 | bear_medium | -0.77% | +0.83 | 11/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.25 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.52% | -0.20 | 11/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_medium_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.16 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.01% | -0.01 | 11/08 11:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 1.133×ATR | p0 | +1.343×ATR | p73 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 1.394×ATR | p0 | +1.543×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 2.405×ATR | p56 | -1.101×ATR | p71 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 1b | — | 1.807×ATR | p6 | -1.499×ATR | p64 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64033.2
-0.00790613
63527
-0.076456
64095.9
-0.00887633
63527
-0.008031
64590.2
-0.0153937
63596
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 17:00:00
[1] => 2.3937
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 03:00:00
[1] => 2.1587
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 15:00:00
[1] => 2.2258
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 00:00:00
[1] => 2.1643
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 09:00:00
[1] => 2.2391
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 13:00:00
[1] => 2.2038
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 22:00:00
[1] => 2.2688
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 03:00:00
[1] => 2.3963
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 14:00:00
[1] => 2.3468
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 15:00:00
[1] => 2.2381
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.5537753536731
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1304231267593
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.8567981770251
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 15:15:00
[1] => 2.2193
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 17:30:00
[1] => 2.3286
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 19:45:00
[1] => 2.3538
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 22:30:00
[1] => 2.2688
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 03:15:00
[1] => 2.3963
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 08:00:00
[1] => 2.296
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 09:15:00
[1] => 2.326
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 12:15:00
[1] => 2.2756
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 14:15:00
[1] => 2.3468
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 15:30:00
[1] => 2.2381
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.2014658258053
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.45127563558375
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.8567981770251
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 09:15:00
[1] => 2.3101
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 09:25:00
[1] => 2.326
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 10:25:00
[1] => 2.2882
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 11:00:00
[1] => 2.3016
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 12:20:00
[1] => 2.2756
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 13:15:00
[1] => 2.3114
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 13:20:00
[1] => 2.2967
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 14:00:00
[1] => 2.2885
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 14:25:00
[1] => 2.3468
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 15:40:00
[1] => 2.2381
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.2014658258053
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.45127563558375
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 20
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.8567981770251
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
2.3468
198
0.4623
0.7099
0.4333
0.2458
0.5867
0.5899
0.2944
0.6966
0.4766
0.9199
0.5935
0.6039
-0.0307
0.0307
0.3333
-0.9778
-0.0579
0.7
0.3
-1
3
1
0.5085
0.68
3.9713
0.7
0.5899
2.3427
-0.0579
0.5533
0.2722
0.94
0.2338
0.5624
0.4107
0.1235
0.6039
-3.3262
5.0707
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 09:15:00 | 2.3101 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 09:25:00 | 2.326 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 10:25:00 | 2.2882 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 11:00:00 | 2.3016 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 12:20:00 | 2.2756 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 13:15:00 | 2.3114 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 13:20:00 | 2.2967 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 14:00:00 | 2.2885 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 14:25:00 | 2.3468 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:40:00 | 2.2381 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 15:15:00 | 2.2193 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 17:30:00 | 2.3286 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 19:45:00 | 2.3538 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 22:30:00 | 2.2688 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 03:15:00 | 2.3963 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 08:00:00 | 2.296 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 09:15:00 | 2.326 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 12:15:00 | 2.2756 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 14:15:00 | 2.3468 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:30:00 | 2.2381 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 17:00:00 | 2.3937 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 2.1587 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 2.2258 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 2.1643 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 09:00:00 | 2.2391 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 13:00:00 | 2.2038 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 22:00:00 | 2.2688 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 03:00:00 | 2.3963 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 14:00:00 | 2.3468 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 2.2381 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.2482 | 2.2319 | 2.2808 | 2 | 2.3088 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.2319 - 2.2482 = -0.0163
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.2482 - 2.2808 = -0.0326
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0326 / -0.0163 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1103.0003 | 100 | 490.6148 | 11.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0163 = -490.8
Taille de position USD = -490.8 x 2.2482 = -1103.42
Donc, tu peux acheter -490.8 avec un stoploss a 2.2319
Avec un position size USD de -1103.42$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -490.8 x -0.0163 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -490.8 x -0.0326 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.45 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.73 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.73 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3789 % | 190.19 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.2482 | 2.2319 | 2.2808 | 2 | 2.3088 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.2319 - 2.2482 = -0.0163
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.2482 - 2.2808 = -0.0326
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0326 / -0.0163 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.2808
[entry_price] => 2.2482
[stop_loss] => 2.23027
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-11 18:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.2808
[entry_price] => 2.2482
[stop_loss] => 2.22864
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-11 18:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.2808
[entry_price] => 2.2482
[stop_loss] => 2.22701
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-11 18:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.2808
[entry_price] => 2.2482
[stop_loss] => 2.22375
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-11 18:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.992% | 1.4R | -0.298% | 0.4R | 3.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.992% | 1.4R | -0.298% | 0.4R | 3.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.992% | 1.4R | -1.379% | 1.9R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.992% | 1.4R | -1.379% | 1.9R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.992% | 1.4R | -1.379% | 1.9R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Aucun commentaire.