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Short Trade on KAITO

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11 Aug 2026 at 17:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_score)

With 225.2 KAITO at 0.625$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6605 (5.68 %)

KAITO SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 11 Aug 2026 17:10 → 20:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.625$

Qty 225.2006 KAITO

Size 140.7504$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 140.75$

SL 0.6605 (-5.68%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR

Status win PnL +2.20% / +3.1$ MAE -0.02% MFE +2.81% 0.5R expires 11 Aug 20:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 66169)
#45 / 45 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 11/08/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0417

Quality Score
0.430
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
14.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
11/08 17:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#45 / 45 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.68 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#45 / 45 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.68 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near 0.18×ATR
1d near -0.55×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1)

Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1)

11/08 17:00

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3)

10/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

11/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

11/08 16:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.4297
Score SMA
0.4017
Rank
#45 / 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0417
Rank Norm SMA
0.0364
Calculé le
11/08/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2565 r1h: -0.251% · r4h: -2.812% · r1d: -5.39% · r3d: -10.97% · ema21_slope: -0.1285% · dist_ema21: -2.427%
Force Relative 25% 0.2855 rs_1h: -0.463% · rs_4h: -3.086% · rs_1d: -4.60% · rs_3d: -8.81% · beta_24h: -0.560
Volume 20% 0.4883 rvol_20: 1.61× · zscore_50: 0.632 · trend: 1.45%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5580 ADX: 20.8 (weak) · Chop: 52.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.012% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.680% (0.0355)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.826% 0.3R -0.019% 0.0R 95.1× 12
2h +1.826% 0.3R -0.019% 0.0R 95.1× 24
3h ★ +2.813% 0.5R -0.019% 0.0R 146.5× 36
4h +2.813% 0.5R -0.019% 0.0R 146.5× 48
8h +3.090% 0.5R -0.019% 0.0R 160.9× 96
12h +13.176% 2.3R -0.019% 0.0R 686.3× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.2
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading expansion bear_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 42% mid near -0.6ATR — 0.38 bear_high -4.82% -1.00 10/08 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 41% late near 0.2ATR — 0.00 bear_medium -0.90% -0.75 11/08 16:00
1h ↓ down range range strong fading compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 38% mid — — -0.09 bear_low -1.20% -0.29 11/08 16:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 44% late near -0.1ATR — -0.04 range_low -0.51% -0.35 11/08 16:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 13b — 6.172×ATR p78 -1.766×ATR p80
4h ↓ down late 61b — 19.994×ATR p100 -2.353×ATR p88
1h ↓ down mid 14b — 2.954×ATR p63 -1.633×ATR p76
15m ↑ up late 3b — 2.595×ATR p41 -1.662×ATR p88

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.66052389
  2. atr: 0.0118413
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-12T00:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 46
  2. total: 47
  3. score: 0.2565
  4. confidence: 0.978

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.625 0.6605 0.3472
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.625
  • Stop Loss: 0.6605
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.6605 - 0.625 = 0.0355

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.625 - = 0.625

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.625 / 0.0355 = 17.6056

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
140.7504 100 225.2006 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0355

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0355 = 225.35

Taille de position USD = 225.35 x 0.625 = 140.84

Donc, tu peux acheter 225.35 avec un stoploss a 0.6605

Avec un position size USD de 140.84$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 225.35 x 0.0355 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 225.35 x 0.625 = 140.84

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 140.84$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 225.35
  • Taille de position USD 140.84
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 140.84
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 17.6056

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 140.75 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.68 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
3.1 $ 2.20
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0192 % 0.34 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.625 0.6605 0.3472
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.625
  • Stop Loss: 0.6605
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.6605 - 0.625 = 0.0355

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.625 - = 0.625

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.625 / 0.0355 = 17.6056

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.680% (0.0355)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.826% 0.3R -0.019% 0.0R 95.1× 12
2h +1.826% 0.3R -0.019% 0.0R 95.1× 24
3h ★ +2.813% 0.5R -0.019% 0.0R 146.5× 36
4h +2.813% 0.5R -0.019% 0.0R 146.5× 48
8h +3.090% 0.5R -0.019% 0.0R 160.9× 96
12h +13.176% 2.3R -0.019% 0.0R 686.3× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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