11 Aug 2026 at 20:10:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on UNI (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 88.59 UNI at 3.753$ per unit. Take profit: 3.6594 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 3.8435 (2.41 %)

UNI SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 11 Aug 2026 20:10 → 02:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 3.7532$

Qty 88.5857 UNI

Size 332.4798$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 3.6594 (+2.5%)

TP $ 8.31$

SL 3.8435 (-2.41%)

SL $ 8$

RR 1.04

Status loss PnL -0.56% / -1.85$ MAE -1.37% MFE +0.49% 0.2R expires 12 Aug 02:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 66288)
#43 / 46 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 11/08/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1915

Quality Score
0.467
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
8.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
11/08 20:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#43 / 46 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.41 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#43 / 46 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.41 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear
4h near 0.15×ATR
1d clear 2.72×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1)

Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1)

11/08 20:00

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

10/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

11/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

11/08 19:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.4674
Score SMA
0.5110
Rank
#43 / 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1915
Rank Norm SMA
0.3962
Calculé le
11/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3383 r1h: -0.285% · r4h: 0.187% · r1d: -4.93% · r3d: -6.47% · ema21_slope: -0.3019% · dist_ema21: -1.764%
Force Relative 25% 0.3983 rs_1h: -0.245% · rs_4h: 0.022% · rs_1d: -4.40% · rs_3d: -4.43% · beta_24h: 1.781
Volume 20% 0.2370 rvol_20: 0.25× · zscore_50: -0.562 · trend: 5.87%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7929 ADX: 35.1 (trend) · Chop: 27.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.009% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.406% (0.0903)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.488% 0.2R -0.853% 0.4R 0.6× 12
2h +0.488% 0.2R -1.164% 0.5R 0.4× 24
4h +0.488% 0.2R -1.370% 0.6R 0.4× 48
6h ★ +0.488% 0.2R -1.370% 0.6R 0.4× 72
8h +7.951% 3.3R -1.370% 0.6R 5.8× 96
12h +7.951% 3.3R -1.370% 0.6R 5.8× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.42
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 33% early 0.64 bear_high -4.82% +0.19 10/08 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate fading normal bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 43% late near 0.1ATR 0.55 bear_medium -1.13% -0.36 11/08 16:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind normal bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 51% late 0.39 bear_low -1.18% -0.53 11/08 19:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bear_medium
57%
noisy_chop 45% early range_low -0.45% +0.06 11/08 19:30
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 11b 3.664×ATR p25 -0.683×ATR p40
4h ↓ down late 12b 4.274×ATR p80 -1.948×ATR p91
1h ↑ up late 7b 1.737×ATR p10 -1.501×ATR p80
15m ↓ down early 6b 1.551×ATR p0 -0.015×ATR p1

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 3.84350803
  2. tp_price: 3.65937
  3. atr: 0.03612321
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-12T06:10:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 45
  2. total: 46
  3. score: 0.3383
  4. delta_2h: -0.0419
  5. extension_atr: -1.43
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1915
  9. confidence: 0.978

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 20:10 3.75320000 0%
2 21:10 3.76680000 +0.362%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.7532 3.8435 3.6594 1.04 4.2811
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.7532
  • Stop Loss: 3.8435
  • Take Profit: 3.6594

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.8435 - 3.7532 = 0.0903

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.7532 - 3.6594 = 0.0938

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0938 / 0.0903 = 1.0388

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
332.4798 100 88.5857 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0903

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0903 = 88.59

Taille de position USD = 88.59 x 3.7532 = 332.5

Donc, tu peux acheter 88.59 avec un stoploss a 3.8435

Avec un position size USD de 332.5$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 88.59 x 0.0903 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 88.59 x 0.0938 = 8.31

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.31$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 88.59
  • Taille de position USD 332.5
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 8.31
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.0388

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 8.31 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.41 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-1.85 $ -0.56
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.3695 % 56.92 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.7532 3.8435 3.6594 1.04 4.2811
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.7532
  • Stop Loss: 3.8435
  • Take Profit: 3.6594

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.8435 - 3.7532 = 0.0903

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.7532 - 3.6594 = 0.0938

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0938 / 0.0903 = 1.0388

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.406% (0.0903)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.488% 0.2R -0.853% 0.4R 0.6× 12
2h +0.488% 0.2R -1.164% 0.5R 0.4× 24
4h +0.488% 0.2R -1.370% 0.6R 0.4× 48
6h ★ +0.488% 0.2R -1.370% 0.6R 0.4× 72
8h +7.951% 3.3R -1.370% 0.6R 5.8× 96
12h +7.951% 3.3R -1.370% 0.6R 5.8× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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