Long Trade on WLD (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 962.43 WLD at 0.345$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3655 (6 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3364 (2.44 %)
11 Aug 2026 at 23:08:18
hyperliquid
WLD
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
11 Aug 2026 23:08
→ 03:25
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 0.3448$
Qty 962.4292 WLD
Size 331.8071$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3655 (+6%)
TP $ 19.92$
SL 0.3364 (-2.44%)
SL $ 8.08$
RR 2.46
Status
loss
PnL
-2.44%
/ -8.08$
MAE -3.75%
MFE +0.04%
0.0R
expires
12 Aug 11:08
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 66423)
#2 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 11/08/2026 23:00
score du 11/08/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5608
Quality Score
0.690
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
56 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
11/08 23:00
11/08 23:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#2 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
56 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.44 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#2 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
56 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.44 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.63×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.23×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 14.96×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 11/08 23:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 11/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 11/08 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.6900
Score SMA
0.5275
Rank
#2
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5608
Rank Norm SMA
0.5163
Calculé le
11/08/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7615 | r1h: 2.029% · r4h: 3.336% · r1d: 3.12% · r3d: 14.52% · ema21_slope: 0.0674% · dist_ema21: 3.243% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8229 | rs_1h: 2.101% · rs_4h: 3.166% · rs_1d: 3.56% · rs_3d: 16.15% · beta_24h: 0.760 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3169 | rvol_20: 1.10× · zscore_50: -0.413 · trend: -13.49% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6161 | ADX: 15.4 (weak) · Chop: 39.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.449% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.436%
(0.0084)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.041% | 0.0R | -0.850% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.041% | 0.0R | -2.103% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.041% | 0.0R | -2.341% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.041% | 0.0R | -3.231% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.041% | 0.0R | -3.750% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.041% | 0.0R | -5.368% | 2.2R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.03
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -4.75% | -0.77 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.45 | range_medium | -0.65% | +0.87 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.45 | bear_low | -0.91% | +0.45 | 11/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.34 | range_low | -0.18% | +0.30 | 11/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 56b | — | 17.11×ATR | p100 | +0.171×ATR | p6 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.051×ATR | p0 | +1.216×ATR | p59 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 4.572×ATR | p90 | +2.151×ATR | p95 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 5.162×ATR | p90 | +3.186×ATR | p96 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.5586
- reason: up_bo width=2.58×ATR dur=58b phase=fresh|ob:ask_pressure(-0.10)
- stop_price: 0.3364477
- tp_price: 0.36554076
- atr:
- score: 0.65861554947939
- expires_at: 2026-08-12T15:08:10.627800
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.65861554947939
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.3659
- obi_top10 : -0.1439
- micro_price : 0.3458419
- spread_pct : 0.028918
- mid_price : 0.34585
- bid_wall_price : 0.34
- bid_wall_size : 1995365
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.35
- ask_wall_size : 1726380
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.3642
- obi_top5_std : 0.0041
- pressure_side : ask
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7173
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.34308
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.33077
- balance_zone_mid:
0.336925
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786298400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786503600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.5791
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
58
- balance_zone_quality: drifting
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.6586
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786500000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.34308
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6724
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.352
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00477303 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
58
inside_close_ratio
0.6724
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.352
Signaux confirmants (9)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:08 | 0.34476000 | -0.012% |
| 2 | 23:14 | 0.34476000 | -0.012% |
| 3 | 23:20 | 0.34447000 | -0.096% |
| 4 | 23:26 | 0.34447000 | -0.096% |
| 5 | 23:32 | 0.34447000 | -0.096% |
| 6 | 23:38 | 0.34338000 | -0.412% |
| 7 | 23:44 | 0.34338000 | -0.412% |
| 8 | 00:08 | 0.34475000 | -0.015% |
| 9 | 00:14 | 0.34475000 | -0.015% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↓ ask
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7173ms
Confidence avant OB :
66%
→
56%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.366
avg -0.364
± 0.004
OBI Top 10
-0.144
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.3459
Micro Price
0.3458
Spread
0.0289%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.3400
Size
1,995,365.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.3500
Size
1,726,380.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3448 | 0.3364 | 0.3655 | 2.46 | 0.3983 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3448
- Stop Loss: 0.3364
- Take Profit: 0.3655
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3364 - 0.3448 = -0.0084
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3448 - 0.3655 = -0.0207
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0207 / -0.0084 = 2.4643
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 331.8071 | 100 | 962.4292 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0084
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0084 = -952.38
Taille de position USD = -952.38 x 0.3448 = -328.38
Donc, tu peux acheter -952.38 avec un stoploss a 0.3364
Avec un position size USD de -328.38$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -952.38 x -0.0084 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -952.38 x -0.0207 = 19.71
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.71$
Résumé
- Taille de position -952.38
- Taille de position USD -328.38
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.71
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4643
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6 % | 19.92 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.44 % | 8.08 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.08 $ | -2.44 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.6421 % | 108.45 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3448 | 0.3364 | 0.3655 | 2.46 | 0.3983 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3448
- Stop Loss: 0.3364
- Take Profit: 0.3655
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3364 - 0.3448 = -0.0084
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3448 - 0.3655 = -0.0207
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0207 / -0.0084 = 2.4643
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3655
[entry_price] => 0.3448
[stop_loss] => 0.33556
[rr_ratio] => 2.24
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-12 07:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.436%
(0.0084)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.041% | 0.0R | -0.850% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.041% | 0.0R | -2.103% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.041% | 0.0R | -2.341% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.041% | 0.0R | -3.231% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.041% | 0.0R | -3.750% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.041% | 0.0R | -5.368% | 2.2R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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