Long Trade on BNB (CatchTheWave)
With 7.79 BNB at 614.86$ per unit. Take profit: 616.915 (0.33 %) & Stop Loss: 613.8325 (0.17 %)
Long Trade on BNB (CatchTheWave)
With 7.79 BNB at 614.86$ per unit. Take profit: 616.915 (0.33 %) & Stop Loss: 613.8325 (0.17 %)
Position
Entry 614.86$
Qty 7.7859 BNB
Size 4787.238$ (margin 100$) (leverage 48)
Risk Setup
TP 616.915 (+0.33%)
TP $ 16$
SL 613.8325 (-0.17%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8135
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -2.38×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 11/08 23:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.233009 15m : 0.520677 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 11/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium_confirmed (+1) 11/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5622 | r1h: -0.267% · r4h: 0.360% · r1d: 2.69% · r3d: 2.57% · ema21_slope: 0.0883% · dist_ema21: 0.892% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5698 | rs_1h: -0.195% · rs_4h: 0.190% · rs_1d: 3.13% · rs_3d: 4.19% · beta_24h: 0.688 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3190 | rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.542 · trend: 66.31% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7744 | ADX: 32.9 (trend) · Chop: 34.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.455% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.106% | 0.6R | -0.387% | 2.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.106% | 0.6R | -0.387% | 2.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.106% | 0.6R | -0.981% | 5.9R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.106% | 0.6R | -0.981% | 5.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.106% | 0.6R | -1.013% | 6.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -2.4ATR | 0.83 | bear_high | -4.75% | +0.79 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | 0.80 | range_medium | -0.65% | +0.42 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_medium_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid | — | — | 0.57 | bear_low | -0.91% | +0.32 | 11/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_low |
37%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.52 | range_low | -0.18% | +0.06 | 11/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 19b | — | 4.783×ATR | p65 | +1.84×ATR | p88 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 4.184×ATR | p66 | +2.588×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 4.012×ATR | p75 | +1.782×ATR | p78 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 0.555×ATR | p0 | +0.438×ATR | p25 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63637.5
0.00087157
63693
0.233009
63804.5
-0.00174877
63693
0.520677
64390.4
-0.00974514
63763
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620.15
197
0.7449
0.6643
0.3178
0.2732
0.3542
1
0.5327
0.5132
0.6659
0.832
0.6895
0.8651
0.2322
0.149
1
1.3921
2.9515
0.5
0.5
1
2
0.9474
0.5061
0.4874
6.9671
0.7
1.5461
5.2856
2.9515
0.5528
0.2132
0.72
0.4671
0.5312
0.6516
0.8977
0.8651
-1.7307
11.096
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:12 | 614.86000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:18 | 614.86000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 23:24 | 614.10000000 | -0.124% |
| 4 | 23:30 | 613.04000000 | -0.296% |
| 5 | 23:36 | 613.16000000 | -0.276% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 21:10:00 | 613.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 21:50:00 | 611.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 22:00:00 | 613.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 22:55:00 | 614.49 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 23:50:00 | 617.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 00:25:00 | 614.38 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:10:00 | 620.15 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 01:30:00 | 615.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:50:00 | 619.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 03:05:00 | 614.85 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 06:00:00 | 600.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 07:00:00 | 598.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 11:15:00 | 606.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 12:00:00 | 614.88 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:30:00 | 605.23 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 18:15:00 | 610.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 18:30:00 | 607.97 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 21:00:00 | 613.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 01:00:00 | 620.15 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 614.85 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 14:00:00 | 611.46 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:00:00 | 610.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 04:00:00 | 601.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 10:00:00 | 606.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 17:00:00 | 597.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 23:00:00 | 598.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 07:00:00 | 598.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 12:00:00 | 614.88 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 605.23 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:00:00 | 620.15 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 614.86 | 613.8325 | 616.915 | 2 | 704.09 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 613.8325 - 614.86 = -1.0275
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 614.86 - 616.915 = -2.0549999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.0549999999999 / -1.0275 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4787.238 | 100 | 7.7859 | 48.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.0275 = -7.79
Taille de position USD = -7.79 x 614.86 = -4789.76
Donc, tu peux acheter -7.79 avec un stoploss a 613.8325
Avec un position size USD de -4789.76$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -7.79 x -1.0275 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -7.79 x -2.0549999999999 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.33 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.17 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.17 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2033 % | 121.66 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 614.86 | 613.8325 | 616.915 | 2 | 704.09 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 613.8325 - 614.86 = -1.0275
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 614.86 - 616.915 = -2.0549999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.0549999999999 / -1.0275 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.106% | 0.6R | -0.387% | 2.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.106% | 0.6R | -0.387% | 2.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.106% | 0.6R | -0.981% | 5.9R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.106% | 0.6R | -0.981% | 5.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.106% | 0.6R | -1.013% | 6.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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