Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 359.54 LINK at 8.725$ per unit. Take profit: 8.7696 (0.51 %) & Stop Loss: 8.7028 (0.26 %)
Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 359.54 LINK at 8.725$ per unit. Take profit: 8.7696 (0.51 %) & Stop Loss: 8.7028 (0.26 %)
Position
Entry 8.7251$
Qty 359.5391 LINK
Size 3137.0145$ (margin 100$) (leverage 31)
Risk Setup
TP 8.7696 (+0.51%)
TP $ 16$
SL 8.7028 (-0.26%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9183
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.50×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.76×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 11/08 23:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.501083 15m : 0.606475 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 11/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 11/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6003 | r1h: -0.289% · r4h: -0.212% · r1d: 4.21% · r3d: 5.68% · ema21_slope: 0.1521% · dist_ema21: 1.426% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6019 | rs_1h: -0.217% · rs_4h: -0.382% · rs_1d: 4.65% · rs_3d: 7.30% · beta_24h: 1.592 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2221 | rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.515 · trend: -7.70% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7839 | ADX: 40.1 (trend) · Chop: 44.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.793% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.233% | 0.9R | -0.143% | 0.6R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.249% | 1.0R | -0.253% | 1.0R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.382% | 1.5R | -0.720% | 2.8R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.661% | 6.5R | -0.720% | 2.8R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.860% | 7.3R | -0.720% | 2.8R | 2.6× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | — | near -1.8ATR | 0.85 | bear_high | -4.75% | +0.52 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.83 | range_medium | -0.65% | +0.61 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.65 | bear_low | -0.91% | +0.40 | 11/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_low |
48%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.62 | range_low | -0.18% | -0.01 | 11/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 3.114×ATR | p13 | +1.535×ATR | p82 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 5.143×ATR | p80 | +2.474×ATR | p97 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 3.796×ATR | p77 | +1.607×ATR | p79 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.504×ATR | p3 | +0.537×ATR | p26 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63637.5
0.000886972
63694
0.501083
63804.5
-0.00173341
63694
0.606475
64390.4
-0.00974514
63763
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8.4995
187
0.7564
0.519
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0.6179
0.4056
0.5559
0.705
0.5239
0.5609
0.8942
0.228
0.1806
1
1.5106
3.8158
0.65
0.35
1
18
1
0.5827
0.282
4.9904
0.55
0.6179
3.0836
3.8158
0
0.2869
0.44
0.0899
0.4692
0.5625
0.8402
0.8942
-1.2506
10.5754
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:13 | 8.72510000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:19 | 8.72670000 | +0.018% |
| 3 | 23:25 | 8.73070000 | +0.064% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 23:30:00 | 8.7554 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 23:50:00 | 8.7869 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 00:15:00 | 8.7496 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 00:35:00 | 8.7913 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 00:55:00 | 8.7395 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:10:00 | 8.809 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 01:30:00 | 8.756 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:45:00 | 8.8224 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 02:25:00 | 8.7527 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 03:10:00 | 8.7251 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 09:15:00 | 8.7117 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 10:45:00 | 8.7071 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 13:00:00 | 8.7053 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:30:00 | 8.4995 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 18:00:00 | 8.6052 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 18:30:00 | 8.5373 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 21:30:00 | 8.809 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 00:45:00 | 8.7395 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:45:00 | 8.8224 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 8.7251 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 8.3656 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:00:00 | 8.3887 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 8.1617 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 12:00:00 | 8.3696 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 18:00:00 | 8.2075 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 01:00:00 | 8.4581 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 09:00:00 | 8.7117 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 8.4995 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:00:00 | 8.8224 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 8.7386 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.7251 | 8.7028 | 8.7696 | 2 | 11.726 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.7028 - 8.7251 = -0.0223
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.7251 - 8.7696 = -0.044500000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.044500000000001 / -0.0223 = 1.9955
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3137.0145 | 100 | 359.5391 | 31.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0223 = -358.74
Taille de position USD = -358.74 x 8.7251 = -3130.04
Donc, tu peux acheter -358.74 avec un stoploss a 8.7028
Avec un position size USD de -3130.04$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -358.74 x -0.0223 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -358.74 x -0.044500000000001 = 15.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.96$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.51 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.26 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -0.26 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3427 % | 134.08 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.7251 | 8.7028 | 8.7696 | 2 | 11.726 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.7028 - 8.7251 = -0.0223
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.7251 - 8.7696 = -0.044500000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.044500000000001 / -0.0223 = 1.9955
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.233% | 0.9R | -0.143% | 0.6R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.249% | 1.0R | -0.253% | 1.0R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.382% | 1.5R | -0.720% | 2.8R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.661% | 6.5R | -0.720% | 2.8R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.860% | 7.3R | -0.720% | 2.8R | 2.6× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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