Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 10.65 TAO at 204.06$ per unit. Take profit: 205.5629 (0.74 %) & Stop Loss: 203.3085 (0.37 %)
Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 10.65 TAO at 204.06$ per unit. Take profit: 205.5629 (0.74 %) & Stop Loss: 203.3085 (0.37 %)
Position
Entry 204.06$
Qty 10.6459 TAO
Size 2172.4029$ (margin 100$) (leverage 22)
Risk Setup
TP 205.5629 (+0.74%)
TP $ 16$
SL 203.3085 (-0.37%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7476
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.21×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.69×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.71×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 12/08 00:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.508797 15m : 0.693141 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 12/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 12/08 00:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5794 | r1h: 0.024% · r4h: 1.639% · r1d: 2.81% · r3d: -1.18% · ema21_slope: 0.0440% · dist_ema21: 1.728% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5678 | rs_1h: -0.084% · rs_4h: 1.286% · rs_1d: 3.35% · rs_3d: 0.32% · beta_24h: 1.654 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2395 | rvol_20: 0.71× · zscore_50: -0.418 · trend: -24.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6915 | ADX: 23.3 (weak) · Chop: 38.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.919% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.270% | 0.7R | -0.304% | 0.8R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.270% | 0.7R | -0.549% | 1.5R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.270% | 0.7R | -0.902% | 2.5R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.627% | 1.7R | -0.902% | 2.5R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.627% | 1.7R | -2.867% | 7.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | near -1.4ATR | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -4.75% | +0.59 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.70 | range_medium | -0.70% | +0.22 | 12/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.46 | bear_low | -0.86% | +0.33 | 12/08 00:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.59 | range_low | -0.18% | +0.14 | 12/08 00:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 2.162×ATR | p0 | +0.461×ATR | p21 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 2.36×ATR | p19 | +1×ATR | p74 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 5.078×ATR | p94 | +1.677×ATR | p85 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 18b | — | 4.591×ATR | p87 | +0.784×ATR | p45 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63706.3
0.000166548
63717
0.508797
63810.6
-0.00159368
63709
0.693141
64377.2
-0.0103808
63709
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196.32
190
0.5976
0.5915
0.2911
0.2129
0.355
1
0.3798
0.5001
0.3757
0.616
0.49
0.6888
0.194
0.077
1
1.2008
1.438
0.55
0.45
-1
9
1
0.5742
0.4251
3.8795
0.7
1.3761
4.7805
1.438
0.5013
0.2137
0.36
0.4679
0.5117
0.5121
0
0.6888
-3.4131
7.555
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:39 | 204.06000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 00:45 | 204.20000000 | +0.069% |
| 3 | 01:04 | 203.93000000 | -0.064% |
| 4 | 01:27 | 203.61000000 | -0.221% |
| 5 | 01:33 | 203.66000000 | -0.196% |
| 6 | 01:39 | 203.59000000 | -0.23% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 23:30:00 | 200.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:20:00 | 205.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 01:35:00 | 204.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 02:10:00 | 204.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 02:20:00 | 204.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 02:30:00 | 205.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 03:10:00 | 204.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 03:55:00 | 204.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 04:20:00 | 205.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 04:35:00 | 204.02 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 08:15:00 | 198.73 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 11:00:00 | 202.29 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 12:15:00 | 200.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 13:00:00 | 203.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:30:00 | 197 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 19:00:00 | 196.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 22:30:00 | 199.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 02:30:00 | 205.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 04:15:00 | 205.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 04:30:00 | 204.13 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 04:00:00 | 210.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:00:00 | 202.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 210.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 200.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 12:00:00 | 206.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 01:00:00 | 198.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 08:00:00 | 198.73 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 13:00:00 | 203.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 19:00:00 | 196.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 02:00:00 | 205.96 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204.06 | 203.3085 | 205.5629 | 2 | 250.97 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 203.3085 - 204.06 = -0.75149999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 204.06 - 205.5629 = -1.5029
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5029 / -0.75149999999999 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2172.4029 | 100 | 10.6459 | 22.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.75149999999999 = -10.65
Taille de position USD = -10.65 x 204.06 = -2173.24
Donc, tu peux acheter -10.65 avec un stoploss a 203.3085
Avec un position size USD de -2173.24$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -10.65 x -0.75149999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -10.65 x -1.5029 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.74 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.37 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4067 % | 110.43 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204.06 | 203.3085 | 205.5629 | 2 | 250.97 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 203.3085 - 204.06 = -0.75149999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 204.06 - 205.5629 = -1.5029
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5029 / -0.75149999999999 = 1.9999
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.270% | 0.7R | -0.304% | 0.8R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.270% | 0.7R | -0.549% | 1.5R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.270% | 0.7R | -0.902% | 2.5R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.627% | 1.7R | -0.902% | 2.5R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.627% | 1.7R | -2.867% | 7.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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