Long Trade on CRV (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 855.82 CRV at 0.275$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2983 (8.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2656 (3.38 %)
12 Aug 2026 at 02:07:58
hyperliquid
CRV
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
12 Aug 2026 02:07
→ 14:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.2749$
Qty 855.82 CRV
Size 235.2735$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2983 (+8.51%)
TP $ 20.03$
SL 0.2656 (-3.38%)
SL $ 7.96$
RR 2.52
Status
loss
PnL
-2.33%
/ -5.48$
MAE -3.06%
MFE +4.04%
1.2R
expires
12 Aug 14:07
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 66550)
#1 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 12/08/2026 02:00
score du 12/08/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9831
Quality Score
0.780
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
14.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
12/08 02:00
12/08 02:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#1 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.38 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.38 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.59×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.00×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.78×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 12/08 02:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 12/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 12/08 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.7797
Score SMA
0.7087
Rank
#1
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9831
Rank Norm SMA
0.9714
Calculé le
12/08/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8270 | r1h: 3.621% · r4h: 0.145% · r1d: 4.65% · r3d: 21.19% · ema21_slope: 0.1553% · dist_ema21: 2.895% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8134 | rs_1h: 3.501% · rs_4h: 0.100% · rs_1d: 4.90% · rs_3d: 22.67% · beta_24h: 2.100 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5621 | rvol_20: 1.34× · zscore_50: 1.047 · trend: 68.21% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7721 | ADX: 42.8 (trend) · Chop: 48.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.296% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.383%
(0.0093)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.051% | 0.3R | -0.509% | 0.2R | 2.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.038% | 1.2R | -0.509% | 0.2R | 7.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.038% | 1.2R | -0.509% | 0.2R | 7.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.038% | 1.2R | -0.509% | 0.2R | 7.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.038% | 1.2R | -3.063% | 0.9R | 1.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.038% | 1.2R | -7.712% | 2.3R | 0.5× | 288 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 6.48
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
choppy 47% | late | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -4.75% | +0.99 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.43 | bear_medium | -0.83% | +0.96 | 12/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.24 | range_low | -0.75% | +0.39 | 12/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | — | range_low | -0.03% | +0.12 | 12/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 6.182×ATR | p73 | +3.925×ATR | p100 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.157×ATR | p0 | +1.893×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 2.43×ATR | p44 | +1.152×ATR | p51 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 4.851×ATR | p91 | +1.688×ATR | p82 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8145
- reason: up_bo width=2.17×ATR dur=28b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.26556224
- tp_price: 0.29827941
- atr:
- score: 0.81449443656973
- expires_at: 2026-08-12T18:07:50.764203
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.81449443656973
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0028
- obi_top10 : -0.0317
- micro_price : 0.27493072
- spread_pct : 0.036377
- mid_price : 0.27495
- bid_wall_price : 0.272
- bid_wall_size : 718560.4
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.276
- ask_wall_size : 501646.2
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0179
- obi_top5_std : 0.0407
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7203
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.272695
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.259635
- balance_zone_mid:
0.266165
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786417200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786514400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.1667
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
28
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8145
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786510800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.272695
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8214
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3675
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.00602763 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
28
inside_close_ratio
0.8214
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3675
Signaux confirmants (15)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:07 | 0.27491000 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 02:14 | 0.27491000 | +0.004% |
| 3 | 02:19 | 0.27500000 | +0.036% |
| 4 | 02:25 | 0.27500000 | +0.036% |
| 5 | 02:32 | 0.27500000 | +0.036% |
| 6 | 02:37 | 0.27505000 | +0.055% |
| 7 | 02:43 | 0.27505000 | +0.055% |
| 8 | 02:49 | 0.27492000 | +0.007% |
| 9 | 02:55 | 0.27492000 | +0.007% |
| 10 | 03:02 | 0.27492000 | +0.007% |
| 11 | 03:07 | 0.27735000 | +0.891% |
| 12 | 03:13 | 0.27735000 | +0.891% |
| 13 | 03:19 | 0.27746000 | +0.931% |
| 14 | 03:25 | 0.27746000 | +0.931% |
| 15 | 03:32 | 0.27746000 | +0.931% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7203ms
Confidence avant OB :
81%
→
81%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.003
avg -0.018
± 0.041
OBI Top 10
-0.032
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.2750
Micro Price
0.2749
Spread
0.0364%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.2720
Size
718,560.40
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.2760
Size
501,646.20
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2749 | 0.2656 | 0.2983 | 2.52 | 0.321 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2749
- Stop Loss: 0.2656
- Take Profit: 0.2983
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2656 - 0.2749 = -0.0093
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2749 - 0.2983 = -0.0234
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0234 / -0.0093 = 2.5161
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 235.2735 | 100 | 855.82 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0093
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0093 = -860.22
Taille de position USD = -860.22 x 0.2749 = -236.47
Donc, tu peux acheter -860.22 avec un stoploss a 0.2656
Avec un position size USD de -236.47$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -860.22 x -0.0093 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -860.22 x -0.0234 = 20.13
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.13$
Résumé
- Taille de position -860.22
- Taille de position USD -236.47
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.13
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5161
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.51 % | 20.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.38 % | 7.96 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -5.48 $ | -2.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.7064 % | 80 % | 17 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2749 | 0.2656 | 0.2983 | 2.52 | 0.321 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2749
- Stop Loss: 0.2656
- Take Profit: 0.2983
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2656 - 0.2749 = -0.0093
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2749 - 0.2983 = -0.0234
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0234 / -0.0093 = 2.5161
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.383%
(0.0093)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.051% | 0.3R | -0.509% | 0.2R | 2.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.038% | 1.2R | -0.509% | 0.2R | 7.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.038% | 1.2R | -0.509% | 0.2R | 7.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.038% | 1.2R | -0.509% | 0.2R | 7.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.038% | 1.2R | -3.063% | 0.9R | 1.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.038% | 1.2R | -7.712% | 2.3R | 0.5× | 288 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
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