Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 293.76 KAITO at 0.604$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5893 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6317 (4.52 %)
12 Aug 2026 at 02:10:06
hyperliquid
KAITO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
12 Aug 2026 02:10
→ 04:25
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.6044$
Qty 293.7635 KAITO
Size 177.5654$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5893 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.44$
SL 0.6317 (-4.52%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 0.55
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +4.44$
MAE -1.84%
MFE +19.87%
4.4R
expires
12 Aug 08:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 66574)
#44 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 12/08/2026 02:00
score du 12/08/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0597
Quality Score
0.370
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
15.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
12/08 02:02
12/08 02:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#44 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.52 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#44 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.52 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.24×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.78×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 12/08 02:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 12/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 12/08 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.3700
Score SMA
0.4072
Rank
#44
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0597
Rank Norm SMA
0.0529
Calculé le
12/08/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2012 | r1h: -1.021% · r4h: -2.445% · r1d: -5.44% · r3d: -12.04% · ema21_slope: -0.2689% · dist_ema21: -3.535% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2477 | rs_1h: -1.140% · rs_4h: -2.491% · rs_1d: -5.19% · rs_3d: -10.56% · beta_24h: -0.112 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2086 | rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: -0.845 · trend: -17.02% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7064 | ADX: 35.1 (trend) · Chop: 48.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.919% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.517%
(0.0273)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.167% | 0.0R | -1.301% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.006% | 0.2R | -1.838% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +12.134% | 2.7R | -1.838% | 0.4R | 6.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +19.868% | 4.4R | -1.838% | 0.4R | 10.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +22.437% | 5.0R | -1.838% | 0.4R | 12.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +26.143% | 5.8R | -1.838% | 0.4R | 14.2× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 80
ML Pullback Score: 4.2
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.38 | bear_high | -4.75% | -1.00 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | -0.01 | bear_medium | -0.83% | -0.88 | 12/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | -0.08 | range_low | -0.75% | -0.49 | 12/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | -0.07 | range_low | -0.03% | -0.25 | 12/08 01:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 6.714×ATR | p83 | -1.898×ATR | p83 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 63b | — | 22.21×ATR | p100 | -2.758×ATR | p96 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 23b | — | 4.711×ATR | p93 | -1.757×ATR | p78 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 2.867×ATR | p50 | -1.316×ATR | p77 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.63168279
- tp_price: 0.58933875
- atr: 0.01089311
- expires_at: 2026-08-12T12:10:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 44
- total: 44
- score: 0.2012
- delta_2h: -0.0671
- extension_atr: -1.8
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0597
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:10 | 0.60445000 | +0.008% |
| 2 | 03:10 | 0.60652000 | +0.351% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6044 | 0.6317 | 0.5893 | 0.55 | 0.3119 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6044
- Stop Loss: 0.6317
- Take Profit: 0.5893
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6317 - 0.6044 = 0.0273
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6044 - 0.5893 = 0.0151
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0151 / 0.0273 = 0.5531
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 177.5654 | 100 | 293.7635 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0273
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0273 = 293.04
Taille de position USD = 293.04 x 0.6044 = 177.11
Donc, tu peux acheter 293.04 avec un stoploss a 0.6317
Avec un position size USD de 177.11$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 293.04 x 0.0273 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 293.04 x 0.0151 = 4.42
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.42$
Résumé
- Taille de position 293.04
- Taille de position USD 177.11
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.42
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5531
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.44 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.52 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.44 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.8382 % | 40.7 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6044 | 0.6317 | 0.5893 | 0.55 | 0.3119 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6044
- Stop Loss: 0.6317
- Take Profit: 0.5893
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6317 - 0.6044 = 0.0273
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6044 - 0.5893 = 0.0151
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0151 / 0.0273 = 0.5531
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5498
[stop_loss] => 0.6317
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-12 09:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.53615
[stop_loss] => 0.6317
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-12 09:45:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5225
[stop_loss] => 0.6317
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-12 10:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.50885
[stop_loss] => 0.6317
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-12 10:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4952
[stop_loss] => 0.6317
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-08-12 10:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.517%
(0.0273)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.167% | 0.0R | -1.301% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.006% | 0.2R | -1.838% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +12.134% | 2.7R | -1.838% | 0.4R | 6.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +19.868% | 4.4R | -1.838% | 0.4R | 10.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +22.437% | 5.0R | -1.838% | 0.4R | 12.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +26.143% | 5.8R | -1.838% | 0.4R | 14.2× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
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