Short Trade on VIRTUAL (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 1313.63 VIRTUAL at 0.538$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5331 (0.84 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5437 (1.13 %)
12 Aug 2026 at 03:15:10
hyperliquid
VIRTUAL
SHORT
momentum_pullback_v1
hyperliquid
12 Aug 2026 03:15
→ 05:50
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.5376$
Qty 1313.6289 VIRTUAL
Size 706.1675$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5331 (+0.84%)
TP $ 5.91$
SL 0.5437 (-1.13%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.74
Status
loss
PnL
-1.13%
/ -8.01$
MAE -14.54%
MFE +0.69%
0.6R
expires
12 Aug 15:15
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 66613)
#21 / 44
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 12/08/2026 03:00
score du 12/08/2026 03:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6130
Quality Score
0.550
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
12/08 03:02
12/08 03:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#21 / 44
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.13 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#21 / 44
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.13 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 4.26×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.38×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.50×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 12/08 03:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 12/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 12/08 02:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5503
Score SMA
0.5176
Rank
#21
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6130
Rank Norm SMA
0.4656
Calculé le
12/08/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3902 | r1h: -0.911% · r4h: -0.491% · r1d: -2.88% · r3d: -5.77% · ema21_slope: -0.0598% · dist_ema21: -0.427% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4050 | rs_1h: -0.607% · rs_4h: -0.353% · rs_1d: -2.37% · rs_3d: -3.93% · beta_24h: 2.614 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6085 | rvol_20: 1.78× · zscore_50: 1.257 · trend: 39.41% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7354 | ADX: 28.8 (trend) · Chop: 38.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.895% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.135%
(0.0061)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.076% | 0.1R | -0.357% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.686% | 0.6R | -0.357% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.686% | 0.6R | -2.710% | 2.4R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.686% | 0.6R | -9.351% | 8.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.686% | 0.6R | -14.539% | 12.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.8
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near -1.5ATR | — | 0.65 | bear_high | -4.49% | -0.77 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.65 | bear_medium | -0.78% | -0.28 | 12/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.57 | bear_low | -1.03% | -0.18 | 12/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.31% | -0.01 | 12/08 02:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 22b | — | 5.33×ATR | p75 | -1.151×ATR | p68 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 3.012×ATR | p30 | -0.896×ATR | p58 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 4.61×ATR | p91 | -0.545×ATR | p30 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 3.526×ATR | p78 | -1.343×ATR | p61 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_pullback_v1 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.54366
- tp_price: 0.53312386
- atr: 0.00177845
- expires_at: 2026-08-12T19:15:10+00:00
Details
- rank: 35
- total: 44
- score: 0.3902
- avg_rank_8h: 37
- rank_velocity: -2
- pullback_depth_atr: 5.07
- trigger_price: 0.53884
- fip_24h: 0.25
- confidence: 0.791
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:15 | 0.53757000 | -0.006% |
| 2 | 03:30 | 0.53757000 | -0.006% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5376 | 0.5437 | 0.5331 | 0.74 | 0.6872 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5376
- Stop Loss: 0.5437
- Take Profit: 0.5331
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5437 - 0.5376 = 0.0061
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5376 - 0.5331 = 0.0044999999999999
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0044999999999999 / 0.0061 = 0.7377
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 706.1675 | 100 | 1313.6289 | 7.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0061
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0061 = 1311.48
Taille de position USD = 1311.48 x 0.5376 = 705.05
Donc, tu peux acheter 1311.48 avec un stoploss a 0.5437
Avec un position size USD de 705.05$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1311.48 x 0.0061 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1311.48 x 0.0044999999999999 = 5.9
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.9$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1311.48
- Taille de position USD 705.05
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.9
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7377
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.84 % | 5.91 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.13 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -1.13 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4807 % | 130.49 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5376 | 0.5437 | 0.5331 | 0.74 | 0.6872 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5376
- Stop Loss: 0.5437
- Take Profit: 0.5331
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5437 - 0.5376 = 0.0061
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5376 - 0.5331 = 0.0044999999999999
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0044999999999999 / 0.0061 = 0.7377
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5331
[entry_price] => 0.5376
[stop_loss] => 0.54431
[rr_ratio] => 0.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-12 09:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5331
[entry_price] => 0.5376
[stop_loss] => 0.54492
[rr_ratio] => 0.61
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-12 09:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5331
[entry_price] => 0.5376
[stop_loss] => 0.54553
[rr_ratio] => 0.57
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-12 09:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5331
[entry_price] => 0.5376
[stop_loss] => 0.54675
[rr_ratio] => 0.49
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-12 09:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.135%
(0.0061)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.076% | 0.1R | -0.357% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.686% | 0.6R | -0.357% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.686% | 0.6R | -2.710% | 2.4R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.686% | 0.6R | -9.351% | 8.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.686% | 0.6R | -14.539% | 12.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
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