Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 116.32 VVV at 11.792$ per unit. Take profit: 11.9296 (1.17 %) & Stop Loss: 11.7232 (0.58 %)
Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 116.32 VVV at 11.792$ per unit. Take profit: 11.9296 (1.17 %) & Stop Loss: 11.7232 (0.58 %)
Position
Entry 11.792$
Qty 116.3185 VVV
Size 1371.6281$ (margin 100$) (leverage 14)
Risk Setup
TP 11.9296 (+1.17%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 11.7232 (-0.58%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4965
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.84×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.63×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.08×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 12/08 03:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.147805 15m : 0.250887 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 12/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 12/08 03:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5881 | r1h: -1.054% · r4h: 3.356% · r1d: 0.98% · r3d: 6.74% · ema21_slope: 0.0083% · dist_ema21: 2.106% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6318 | rs_1h: -0.750% · rs_4h: 3.494% · rs_1d: 1.49% · rs_3d: 8.59% · beta_24h: 0.867 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 4.43× · zscore_50: 4.340 · trend: 123.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6877 | ADX: 22.5 (weak) · Chop: 33.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.127% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.831% | 1.4R | -0.042% | 0.1R | 19.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.188% | 3.8R | -0.102% | 0.2R | 21.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.011% | 5.2R | -0.102% | 0.2R | 29.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.011% | 5.2R | -0.738% | 1.3R | 4.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.011% | 5.2R | -2.239% | 3.8R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.43 | bear_high | -4.49% | +0.30 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_high |
45%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.46 | range_medium | -0.73% | +0.59 | 12/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.32 | bear_low | -0.86% | +0.26 | 12/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 54% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.19% | +0.29 | 12/08 03:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 17b | — | 3.353×ATR | p43 | +0.227×ATR | p12 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.055×ATR | p4 | +0.831×ATR | p57 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 1.345×ATR | p0 | +1.582×ATR | p82 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.083×ATR | p3 | +0.745×ATR | p41 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63700
4.57633E-5
63703
0.147805
63772
-0.00108297
63703
0.250887
64352.7
-0.00975532
63725
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
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12.05
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0.6073
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0.5603
0.6396
0.1845
0.0626
1
1.2343
1.2612
0.5
0.5
1
2
1
0.4481
0.4768
5.6001
0.6
1.1111
4.906
1.2612
0
0.2212
0.62
0.0874
0.6041
0.5735
0
0.6396
-3.086
5.4776
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 01:35:00 | 11.509 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:50:00 | 11.597 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 02:35:00 | 11.508 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 02:50:00 | 11.557 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 04:55:00 | 11.913 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 05:20:00 | 11.834 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 05:55:00 | 12.05 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:25:00 | 11.793 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 07:00:00 | 11.972 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 07:30:00 | 11.79 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 14:15:00 | 11.743 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 16:00:00 | 11.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 17:00:00 | 11.492 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 18:30:00 | 11.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 20:00:00 | 11.469 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 21:15:00 | 11.386 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:45:00 | 11.597 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 02:30:00 | 11.508 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 05:45:00 | 12.05 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 07:30:00 | 11.79 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 18:00:00 | 12.103 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 11.551 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 09:00:00 | 12.311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 21:00:00 | 11.776 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 03:00:00 | 11.984 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 05:00:00 | 11.771 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 09:00:00 | 11.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 16:00:00 | 11.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 18:00:00 | 11.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 05:00:00 | 12.05 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.792 | 11.7232 | 11.9296 | 2 | 15.979 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.7232 - 11.792 = -0.0688
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.792 - 11.9296 = -0.1376
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1376 / -0.0688 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1371.6281 | 100 | 116.3185 | 14.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0688 = -116.28
Taille de position USD = -116.28 x 11.792 = -1371.17
Donc, tu peux acheter -116.28 avec un stoploss a 11.7232
Avec un position size USD de -1371.17$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -116.28 x -0.0688 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -116.28 x -0.1376 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.17 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.58 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.01 $ | 1.17 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1018 % | 17.45 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.792 | 11.7232 | 11.9296 | 2 | 15.979 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.7232 - 11.792 = -0.0688
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.792 - 11.9296 = -0.1376
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1376 / -0.0688 = 2
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.831% | 1.4R | -0.042% | 0.1R | 19.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.188% | 3.8R | -0.102% | 0.2R | 21.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.011% | 5.2R | -0.102% | 0.2R | 29.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.011% | 5.2R | -0.738% | 1.3R | 4.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.011% | 5.2R | -2.239% | 3.8R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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