Long Trade on CRV (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 529.77 CRV at 0.281$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3184 (13.47 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2655 (5.38 %)
12 Aug 2026 at 04:19:41
hyperliquid
CRV
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
12 Aug 2026 04:19
→ 14:20
· 10 hours
Position
Entry 0.2806$
Qty 529.7662 CRV
Size 148.6683$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3184 (+13.47%)
TP $ 20.03$
SL 0.2655 (-5.38%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-5.38%
/ -8$
MAE -5.98%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
12 Aug 16:19
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 66638)
#1 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 12/08/2026 04:00
score du 12/08/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9884
Quality Score
0.828
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
15.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
12/08 04:15
12/08 04:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#1 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.38 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.38 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | 0.50×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 12/08 04:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 12/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 12/08 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.8277
Score SMA
0.7095
Rank
#1
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9884
Rank Norm SMA
0.9702
Calculé le
12/08/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9319 | r1h: 2.819% · r4h: 7.049% · r1d: 8.08% · r3d: 24.32% · ema21_slope: 0.1891% · dist_ema21: 4.607% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.9782 | rs_1h: 2.869% · rs_4h: 7.275% · rs_1d: 8.69% · rs_3d: 26.07% · beta_24h: 2.176 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4348 | rvol_20: 1.04× · zscore_50: 0.542 · trend: 34.81% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7776 | ADX: 41.4 (trend) · Chop: 46.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.235% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.381%
(0.0151)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.379% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.871% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.060% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.683% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.984% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -10.043% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
choppy 46% | late | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.67 | bear_high | -4.49% | +0.99 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.42 | range_medium | -0.66% | +0.98 | 12/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.25 | bear_low | -0.79% | +0.52 | 12/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.06% | +0.22 | 12/08 04:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 5.811×ATR | p67 | +3.744×ATR | p99 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 15b | — | 5.353×ATR | p87 | +2.574×ATR | p95 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 3.164×ATR | p60 | +1.44×ATR | p65 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 16b | — | 6.484×ATR | p97 | +1.735×ATR | p81 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.9287
- reason: up_bo width=2.05×ATR dur=30b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)|ob:obi_moderate(+0.05)
- stop_price: 0.265529
- tp_price: 0.3183825
- atr:
- score: 0.80865206008926
- expires_at: 2026-08-12T20:19:34.062630
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.80865206008926
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2741
- obi_top10 : 0.1814
- micro_price : 0.27913068
- spread_pct : 0.035829
- mid_price : 0.27915
- bid_wall_price : 0.278
- bid_wall_size : 1100213.2
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.2548
- obi_top5_std : 0.0172
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6899
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.272695
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.259635
- balance_zone_mid:
0.266165
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786417200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786521600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.0535
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
30
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8087
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786510800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.272695
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7667
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
3
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.2476
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.00636 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
30
inside_close_ratio
0.7667
bars_since_breakout
3
distance_to_edge_atr
1.2476
Signaux confirmants (28)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:19 | 0.28063000 | +0.011% |
| 2 | 04:25 | 0.28063000 | +0.011% |
| 3 | 04:32 | 0.28063000 | +0.011% |
| 4 | 04:37 | 0.27837000 | -0.795% |
| 5 | 04:43 | 0.27837000 | -0.795% |
| 6 | 04:49 | 0.27827000 | -0.83% |
| 7 | 04:55 | 0.27827000 | -0.83% |
| 8 | 05:02 | 0.27827000 | -0.83% |
| 9 | 05:07 | 0.27928000 | -0.47% |
| 10 | 05:13 | 0.27928000 | -0.47% |
| 11 | 05:19 | 0.27800000 | -0.927% |
| 12 | 05:25 | 0.27800000 | -0.927% |
| 13 | 05:32 | 0.27800000 | -0.927% |
| 14 | 05:37 | 0.27751000 | -1.101% |
| 15 | 05:43 | 0.27751000 | -1.101% |
| 16 | 05:49 | 0.27641000 | -1.493% |
| 17 | 05:55 | 0.27641000 | -1.493% |
| 18 | 06:02 | 0.27641000 | -1.493% |
| 19 | 06:07 | 0.27851000 | -0.745% |
| 20 | 06:13 | 0.27851000 | -0.745% |
| 21 | 06:19 | 0.27945000 | -0.41% |
| 22 | 06:25 | 0.27945000 | -0.41% |
| 23 | 06:32 | 0.27945000 | -0.41% |
| 24 | 06:37 | 0.27761000 | -1.066% |
| 25 | 06:43 | 0.27761000 | -1.066% |
| 26 | 06:49 | 0.27888000 | -0.613% |
| 27 | 06:55 | 0.27888000 | -0.613% |
| 28 | 07:02 | 0.27888000 | -0.613% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6899ms
Confidence avant OB :
81%
→
93%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.274
avg 0.255
± 0.017
OBI Top 10
0.181
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.2792
Micro Price
0.2791
Spread
0.0358%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.2780
Size
1,100,213.20
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2806 | 0.2655 | 0.3184 | 2.5 | 0.3025 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2806
- Stop Loss: 0.2655
- Take Profit: 0.3184
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2655 - 0.2806 = -0.0151
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2806 - 0.3184 = -0.0378
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0378 / -0.0151 = 2.5033
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 148.6683 | 100 | 529.7662 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0151
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0151 = -529.8
Taille de position USD = -529.8 x 0.2806 = -148.66
Donc, tu peux acheter -529.8 avec un stoploss a 0.2655
Avec un position size USD de -148.66$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -529.8 x -0.0151 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -529.8 x -0.0378 = 20.03
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.03$
Résumé
- Taille de position -529.8
- Taille de position USD -148.66
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.03
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5033
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 13.47 % | 20.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.38 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -5.38 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.3813 % | 100 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2806 | 0.2655 | 0.3184 | 2.5 | 0.3025 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2806
- Stop Loss: 0.2655
- Take Profit: 0.3184
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2655 - 0.2806 = -0.0151
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2806 - 0.3184 = -0.0378
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0378 / -0.0151 = 2.5033
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.381%
(0.0151)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.379% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.871% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.060% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.683% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.984% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -10.043% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
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