Short Trade on kBONK (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 138672.21 kBONK at 0.00228$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002226 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002341 (2.54 %)
12 Aug 2026 at 05:10:06
hyperliquid
kBONK
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
12 Aug 2026 05:10
→ 10:20
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.002283$
Qty 138672.2136 kBONK
Size 316.5887$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002226 (+2.5%)
TP $ 7.9$
SL 0.002341 (-2.54%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR 0.98
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +7.9$
MAE -0.70%
MFE +2.93%
1.2R
expires
12 Aug 11:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 66651)
#44 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 12/08/2026 04:00
score du 12/08/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2900
Quality Score
0.447
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
996,312 $
volume USDT au moment du signal
12/08 05:01
12/08 05:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#44 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.54 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#44 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.54 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.08×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 12/08 05:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 12/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 12/08 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4471
Score SMA
0.4757
Rank
#44
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2900
Rank Norm SMA
0.1659
Calculé le
12/08/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3403 | r1h: -0.523% · r4h: -1.511% · r1d: -2.23% · r3d: -7.76% · ema21_slope: -0.0782% · dist_ema21: -1.857% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3833 | rs_1h: -0.473% · rs_4h: -1.285% · rs_1d: -1.62% · rs_3d: -6.00% · beta_24h: 1.566 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2745 | rvol_20: 0.66× · zscore_50: -0.299 · trend: 2.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6286 | ADX: 37.4 (trend) · Chop: 60.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.056% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.541%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.701% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.139% | 0.5R | -0.701% | 0.3R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.234% | 0.9R | -0.701% | 0.3R | 3.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.935% | 1.2R | -0.701% | 0.3R | 4.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.935% | 1.2R | -0.701% | 0.3R | 4.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.935% | 1.2R | -0.701% | 0.3R | 4.2× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.44
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -4.49% | -0.95 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.46 | range_medium | -0.66% | -0.60 | 12/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.26 | bear_low | -0.81% | -0.08 | 12/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near 0.3ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.11% | -0.16 | 12/08 04:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 39b | — | 14.75×ATR | p100 | -2.903×ATR | p97 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 24b | — | 5.397×ATR | p81 | -2.426×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 2.641×ATR | p47 | -1.702×ATR | p81 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 5.902×ATR | p93 | -1.426×ATR | p70 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.00234069
- tp_price: 0.00222592
- atr: 2.308E-5
- expires_at: 2026-08-12T15:10:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 48
- total: 50
- score: 0.3403
- delta_2h: -0.1096
- extension_atr: -1.44
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.29
- confidence: 0.959
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:10 | 0.00228300 | 0% |
| 2 | 06:10 | 0.00229200 | +0.394% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002283 | 0.002341 | 0.002226 | 0.98 | 0.002976 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002283
- Stop Loss: 0.002341
- Take Profit: 0.002226
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002341 - 0.002283 = 5.8E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002283 - 0.002226 = 5.7E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.7E-5 / 5.8E-5 = 0.9828
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 316.5887 | 100 | 138672.2136 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 5.8E-5
Taille de position = 8 / 5.8E-5 = 137931.03
Taille de position USD = 137931.03 x 0.002283 = 314.9
Donc, tu peux acheter 137931.03 avec un stoploss a 0.002341
Avec un position size USD de 314.9$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 137931.03 x 5.8E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 137931.03 x 5.7E-5 = 7.86
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.86$
Résumé
- Taille de position 137931.03
- Taille de position USD 314.9
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 7.86
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9828
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 7.9 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.54 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 7.9 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7008 % | 27.59 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002283 | 0.002341 | 0.002226 | 0.98 | 0.002976 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002283
- Stop Loss: 0.002341
- Take Profit: 0.002226
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002341 - 0.002283 = 5.8E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002283 - 0.002226 = 5.7E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.7E-5 / 5.8E-5 = 0.9828
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.541%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.701% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.139% | 0.5R | -0.701% | 0.3R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.234% | 0.9R | -0.701% | 0.3R | 3.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.935% | 1.2R | -0.701% | 0.3R | 4.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.935% | 1.2R | -0.701% | 0.3R | 4.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.935% | 1.2R | -0.701% | 0.3R | 4.2× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
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