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Short Trade on KAITO

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12 Aug 2026 at 08:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_score)

With 161.5 KAITO at 0.494$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5439 (10.01 %)

KAITO SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 12 Aug 2026 08:10 → 11:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.4944$

Qty 161.5045 KAITO

Size 79.8462$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 79.85$

SL 0.5439 (-10.01%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR

Status win PnL +5.65% / +4.51$ MAE -0.22% MFE +5.69% 0.6R expires 12 Aug 11:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 66861)
#49 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 12/08/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0394

Quality Score
0.333
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
23.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
12/08 08:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#49 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.01 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#49 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.01 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near -0.11×ATR
1d clear 1.06×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

12/08 08:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3)

11/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

12/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

12/08 07:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.3329
Score SMA
0.4040
Rank
#49 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0394
Rank Norm SMA
0.0532
Calculé le
12/08/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0662 r1h: 0.119% · r4h: -19.103% · r1d: -23.00% · r3d: -27.23% · ema21_slope: -0.6171% · dist_ema21: -16.150%
Force Relative 25% 0.1269 rs_1h: 0.045% · rs_4h: -19.654% · rs_1d: -22.69% · rs_3d: -26.07% · beta_24h: -1.163
Volume 20% 0.3266 rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.580 · trend: 73.90%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9068 ADX: 48.8 (trend) · Chop: 11.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.7996 ATR%: 3.601% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -10.012% (0.0495)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.569% 0.3R -0.223% 0.0R 11.6× 12
2h +5.180% 0.5R -0.223% 0.0R 23.3× 24
3h ★ +5.692% 0.6R -0.223% 0.0R 25.6× 36
4h +9.711% 1.0R -0.223% 0.0R 43.6× 48
8h +9.711% 1.0R -0.223% 0.0R 43.6× 96
12h +10.194% 1.0R -0.223% 0.0R 45.8× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.23
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind normal bear_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 43% late — — 0.38 bear_high -4.49% -1.00 11/08 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high_confirmed
50%
choppy 50% late near -0.1ATR — -0.02 range_medium -0.24% -1.00 12/08 04:00
1h ↓ down range range strong fading expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
53%
choppy 53% late — — -0.09 range_low -0.15% -0.99 12/08 07:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong explosive expansion_after_compression bear_high
58%
choppy 49% late — — -0.01 range_low +0.49% -0.97 12/08 07:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 14b — 6.728×ATR p83 -1.937×ATR p84
4h ↓ down late 64b — 20.886×ATR p100 -5.541×ATR p100
1h ↓ down late 29b — 9.403×ATR p98 -5.289×ATR p100
15m ↓ down late 4b — 1.142×ATR p0 -2.621×ATR p92

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.54392421
  2. atr: 0.0165114
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-12T15:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 49
  2. total: 49
  3. score: 0.0662
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.4944 0.5439 0.3179
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.4944
  • Stop Loss: 0.5439
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5439 - 0.4944 = 0.0495

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.4944 - = 0.4944

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4944 / 0.0495 = 9.9879

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
79.8462 79.8462 161.5045 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0495

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0495 = 161.62

Taille de position USD = 161.62 x 0.4944 = 79.9

Donc, tu peux acheter 161.62 avec un stoploss a 0.5439

Avec un position size USD de 79.9$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 161.62 x 0.0495 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 161.62 x 0.4944 = 79.9

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 79.9$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 161.62
  • Taille de position USD 79.9
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 79.9
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 9.9879

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 79.85 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
10.01 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
4.51 $ 5.65
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2225 % 2.22 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.4944 0.5439 0.3179
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.4944
  • Stop Loss: 0.5439
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5439 - 0.4944 = 0.0495

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.4944 - = 0.4944

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4944 / 0.0495 = 9.9879

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -10.012% (0.0495)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.569% 0.3R -0.223% 0.0R 11.6× 12
2h +5.180% 0.5R -0.223% 0.0R 23.3× 24
3h ★ +5.692% 0.6R -0.223% 0.0R 25.6× 36
4h +9.711% 1.0R -0.223% 0.0R 43.6× 48
8h +9.711% 1.0R -0.223% 0.0R 43.6× 96
12h +10.194% 1.0R -0.223% 0.0R 45.8× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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