Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 5.03 XMR at 395.39$ per unit. Take profit: 398.5691 (0.8 %) & Stop Loss: 393.8005 (0.4 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 5.03 XMR at 395.39$ per unit. Take profit: 398.5691 (0.8 %) & Stop Loss: 393.8005 (0.4 %)
Position
Entry 395.39$
Qty 5.0329 XMR
Size 1989.9584$ (margin 100$) (leverage 20)
Risk Setup
TP 398.5691 (+0.8%)
TP $ 16$
SL 393.8005 (-0.4%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8021
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.27×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.22×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.08×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 08:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.26836 15m : 0.301952 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 12/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 12/08 08:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5637 | r1h: 1.012% · r4h: 0.379% · r1d: 0.65% · r3d: 5.23% · ema21_slope: 0.0585% · dist_ema21: 2.108% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6006 | rs_1h: 0.937% · rs_4h: -0.173% · rs_1d: 0.96% · rs_3d: 6.39% · beta_24h: 1.063 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1971 | rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: -0.884 · trend: -15.24% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7251 | ADX: 27.0 (trend) · Chop: 29.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.047% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.417% | 1.0R | -0.238% | 0.6R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.627% | 1.6R | -0.321% | 0.8R | 2.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.386% | 3.5R | -0.321% | 0.8R | 4.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.386% | 3.5R | -1.009% | 2.5R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.386% | 3.5R | -1.262% | 3.1R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
71%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -3.70% | +0.86 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.36 | range_medium | -0.01% | +0.51 | 12/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.11 | range_low | +0.01% | +0.01 | 12/08 08:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | — | range_low | +0.51% | -0.08 | 12/08 08:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 1.045×ATR | p0 | +1.928×ATR | p92 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 3.166×ATR | p39 | +1.167×ATR | p72 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 5.497×ATR | p92 | +1.184×ATR | p65 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 2.441×ATR | p36 | +1.058×ATR | p45 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63969.5
0.00130502
64053
0.26836
63909.7
0.00515222
64239
0.301952
64327.8
-0.000728222
64281
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375.18
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0.55
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12
1
0.3161
0.5689
4.6913
0.5
3.0836
4.8398
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0.3079
0.1782
0.88
0.216
0.7154
0.5045
0
0.5873
-4.474
6.3677
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:40 | 395.39000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 08:47 | 394.76000000 | -0.159% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 06:05:00 | 395.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 07:50:00 | 399.78 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 08:00:00 | 397.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 08:35:00 | 400.15 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 08:40:00 | 396.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:55:00 | 400.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 10:40:00 | 394.23 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 11:15:00 | 396.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 11:50:00 | 400.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 12:35:00 | 395.03 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 17:00:00 | 392.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 19:30:00 | 383.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 00:15:00 | 375.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:45:00 | 382.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 378.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 08:30:00 | 396.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:45:00 | 400.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 10:30:00 | 394.23 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 11:45:00 | 400.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 12:30:00 | 396.11 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 12:00:00 | 380.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 415.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 02:00:00 | 403.94 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 08:00:00 | 392.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 12:00:00 | 401.35 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 17:00:00 | 391.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 01:00:00 | 401.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 10:00:00 | 399.41 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 00:00:00 | 375.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:00:00 | 400.5 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 395.39 | 393.8005 | 398.5691 | 2 | 475.12 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 393.8005 - 395.39 = -1.5895
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 395.39 - 398.5691 = -3.1791
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.1791 / -1.5895 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1989.9584 | 100 | 5.0329 | 20.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.5895 = -5.03
Taille de position USD = -5.03 x 395.39 = -1988.81
Donc, tu peux acheter -5.03 avec un stoploss a 393.8005
Avec un position size USD de -1988.81$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5.03 x -1.5895 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5.03 x -3.1791 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.8 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.4 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.80 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3212 % | 79.9 % | 17 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 395.39 | 393.8005 | 398.5691 | 2 | 475.12 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 393.8005 - 395.39 = -1.5895
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 395.39 - 398.5691 = -3.1791
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.1791 / -1.5895 = 2.0001
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.417% | 1.0R | -0.238% | 0.6R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.627% | 1.6R | -0.321% | 0.8R | 2.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.386% | 3.5R | -0.321% | 0.8R | 4.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.386% | 3.5R | -1.009% | 2.5R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.386% | 3.5R | -1.262% | 3.1R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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